For May,2018
Region All DV Chargeability Areas Except
Those Listed Separately
AFRICA 24,800 Except:
Egypt: 16,400
Ethiopia: 23,600
ASIA 6,425 Except:
Nepal: 5,300
EUROPE 18,050
OCEANIA 1,025
SOUTH AMERICA,
and the CARIBBEAN 1,100
The “April” bulletin has been released. It includes details of case numbers that are current for May interviews. There are four months remaining after this bulletin to be scheduled.
I am very disappointed at the EU number. I was hoping KCC would get through the density plateau (which they have) AND add another 1000 or so (which they haven’t). What that probably means is that the decrease in interview capacity we saw last month is not just a single anomaly, but probably indicative of the ongoing capacity. That is sure to make EU high case numbers nervous – with good reason.
The other regions are progressing more or less according to expectation.
Those that are current, and have forms processed early enough, they can expect their 2NL in about 1 to 2 weeks from now. I know I am going to get a lot of people who will ask me this exact question – so let me say that again. 2NLs will be sent in about one or two weeks time – that means the latter part of the month. The schedule is that VBs are published between the 8th and the 15th of each month, and 2NLs go out from the 15th to the end of the month (most typically around the 20th to 24th). This is the same every month, so there is no need to ask me.
To those new to looking at VBs, let me explain what the “except” XXX country means.
Processing is spread out over the full year. You can see the progress of the two previous years in this post about basic questions. However, some countries have a high number of selectees and those selectees are concentrated in the lower case numbers. For various reasons, mainly to do with embassy capacity, KCC slow down certain countries as compared to the region. So – in Africa, any case with a case number shown as under the new number can be interviewed but for cases from Egypt, that number is lower. That isn’t a big problem, it just “slows down” those countries a little more than the rest of the region. Since selectees from those countries all have lower case numbers, this slowing down does not present any risk. It does not (at this point) mean they won’t allow all selectees an interview from those countries.
To understand why some countries get lower case numbers, read this article about the lottery draw process.
Read this link if you are unsure how to read the visa bulletin
March 13, 2018 at 14:09
Darn it! SO close! Would have needed EU to be higher by only 200 cases! Ah well, we’ll prepare for a June interview instead. 🙂
March 13, 2018 at 14:09
I LOST MY HOPE ? EU348**
March 13, 2018 at 14:13
moni, if you want, join our whatapp group! email me if you want! [email protected]
March 13, 2018 at 14:16
Keep calm, drink… )
Ps. 358**
March 13, 2018 at 14:17
😉 you can join too!
March 13, 2018 at 14:25
Gimme the bottle then 🙂 EU38XXX here.
March 13, 2018 at 15:28
You’ll need a big bottle. 🙁
March 13, 2018 at 18:40
I was appyling to this lottery for 13 years. It’s like a joke. Unbelievable 🙁
March 13, 2018 at 19:19
Just not a very funny joke.
March 13, 2018 at 15:37
We can share the bottle ☹️☹️☹️
38xxx
March 13, 2018 at 18:36
no without me 359xx 🙁
March 13, 2018 at 14:10
Thanks for the prompt information and update. In your experience and I knew you will say wait and see ?. What do you think about Asia in coming month, do you think will be current ?
March 13, 2018 at 15:21
I don’t know.
March 13, 2018 at 14:11
mr simon
is it normal for egypt or they still have a more people have low case number??
March 13, 2018 at 15:22
Egypt is normally slowed down like this – yes.
March 13, 2018 at 14:12
Thanks alot brit my interview fall with the month of may
Please do I need any sponsor during my interview????
March 13, 2018 at 15:23
https://britsimonsays.com/all-about-public-charge-affidavit-of-support-i-134/
March 13, 2018 at 14:12
Thanks Brit for all your effort here. I will start to act like a spectator only, not like a selectee. EU28000 seems to be hopeless. They have started to decrease the bulletins in time when we expect to increase. Thanks again.
March 13, 2018 at 15:24
Check back in 3 months.
March 13, 2018 at 14:13
So, Brit. How about EU big case numbers? Can we touch 30*** or more?
March 13, 2018 at 14:15
MY CASE NUM IS EU26XXX, It will be AOS which usually takes 2 months to schedule after being current. I am very said that this year is being so slow compared to the others years.
March 13, 2018 at 14:19
Shoud l i keep my hope alive?
March 13, 2018 at 15:25
You need to learn about AOS early filing. Make sure you know exactly what to do once you go current.
March 13, 2018 at 21:57
Hi brit,
This comment made me to ask a question. If I have not mistaken AOS refers to adjustment of status, Right? . I too have to apply for AOS and my CN is AS89**. Here you have mentioned “You need to learn about AOS early filing” . Could you please explain it little bit or tell me where I can get information about early filing ?
Thanks
March 13, 2018 at 14:16
Thank s sir I please want to know if following this rate we are safe with AF 38500 thanks pls don’t be mad at me .
March 13, 2018 at 15:25
Safe
March 13, 2018 at 14:25
thanks God. I’m current now for intewiew in May.
March 13, 2018 at 14:27
Wow. It seems like end of the story. I wish i could know this earlier.. So much opportunities denied for this. Need a drink… Eu 33xxx
March 13, 2018 at 14:28
Oh, come on, man. They issue about 1500 visas per month. Last year in May 3400 visas were issued, for example, in June only 835. This year there are no such jumps. After 20000 the density drops by half, I believe that they can increase the step to 4000 or more and issue about 2500 visas. This is not a problem for them.
March 13, 2018 at 15:06
And else. I respect your analytics, but i think your conclusions are hasty. We don`t know how much ds260 sent for processing, but they know. Owning the information they distribute the steps as it is convenient for them. I`m sorry for my broken english.
March 13, 2018 at 15:52
Are you arguing with yourself?
March 13, 2018 at 16:28
From time to time. 🙂 Nevertheless, i think they use a new algorithm to analyze the quantity of DS260 sent from May to October and use these data to schedule cut-off for the whole year. Why not?
March 13, 2018 at 16:59
I don’t really understand your point.
March 13, 2018 at 15:30
Last year was odd because they made the regions current very early.
March 13, 2018 at 14:34
Hi Brit,
After being dissappointed in the EU cutoff number, I had a look at the ceac data (file of March 12th)
If I look at it, I see 8274 Issued and 5810 ready. This for a total of 14084 visas up until the April interviews. These are attached to 6094 different cases. So if I calculate it correct, per case we have 2.31 visas granted.
If we think of 18000 visas allocated for Europe, this means we only have around 4000 visas left as of the May interviews. Taking in account the 2.31 these 4000 visas account for around 1700 real cases.
If we start at case 15950 (which is the first case for may), this means the last case for the EU region should be around 19050.
I hope you can explain me where my calculation went wrong cause this is a bit frightening.
Thanks a lot Brit.
March 13, 2018 at 15:36
You have several mistakes – but the biggest is assuming the 5810 ready are all going to be issued. They won’t. Many of those (about 2200) are no shows from earlier months. Of the remaining 3600, some will be no shows, some will be refused and so on. So ultimately your 19050 is the worst reasoned guess I have ever seen. Congratulations for breaking a record.
March 13, 2018 at 15:51
Let’s pop a bottle for breaking a record. 🙂
I already figured out my calculation must be wrong.
But to be clear, the numbers you can see in the column “ready” from the earlier months are not really visa? Cause you said some embassies don’t change the status to issued or are these rather small percentages.
Thanks for your longtime support of us, nerwrecking people.
March 13, 2018 at 16:01
There are some cases where the embassy is slow to update to issued – but out of the 2200 this would be a small number. No shows are a reality.
March 13, 2018 at 14:34
frrom nepal……my case number is 51**….how can i check my status?
March 13, 2018 at 15:37
CEAC – but it seems to be down right now so wait a day or two.
March 13, 2018 at 15:58
it shows me “at NVC”……what does this mean?
March 13, 2018 at 16:17
Waiting.
March 13, 2018 at 16:31
so what message will it shows me after an update? any idea?
March 13, 2018 at 16:59
This is in the FAQ. “In transit” briefly then “ready”.
March 13, 2018 at 17:18
thank you brit
March 13, 2018 at 14:36
Hi BritSimon,
I know everything is still very much up in the air, but I was wondering if you might be willing to lend an updated advice, speculative as it might be, about the Asia region. My case number is AS113XX, and my best estimate tells me that the way things are moving, there is a reasonable chance for an interview in September, maybe even August, and I was wondering if your more seasoned intuitions tell you otherwise. I still haven’t filled my DS, since I don’t want to profess immigration intent, at least not at this point, but I’m worried that with the change in the way DS’s are processed this year, any additional delay will sweep me into the May tidal wave. The bottom line is that I’m not sure which is greatest – the risk of a late submission or the risk of my CN not becoming current.
As far as I can see it, unless something unexpected happens, the May bulletin for AS will cross the 7100 threshold, clearing the Iranian cases and moving into the low density ROA. From there progress should obviously be much more rapid, and I think that a reasonable estimate would be that it will cross the 11xxx mark somewhere around July-August.
If this is a reasonable estimate, I guess a prudent advice would be to wait a little longer, but as said – I’m worried about the process times come May. Also, and this is an independent question I’ve been meaning to ask – my spouse has a STEM background, which in the past has caused her case to be put under a short AP (for two weeks). From you experience, is this something that tends to repeat itself? If so, I guess this is one more reason for me to aim for an August, rather than a Sept. interview, assuming there is a reasonable chance of my CN being current then.
Again, I’m obviously not asking for a prediction–but what would you do if you were in my case?
Thanks!
March 13, 2018 at 14:56
Wait and see
March 13, 2018 at 15:29
Hi Dan
We are having the same situation like you do, High AS case number, hoping to get Asia current by June July, what your email address ? Like to be discuses all in details ?
March 13, 2018 at 15:42
AS region is hard to predict because we will don’t know a) whether the travel ban will stay and b) whether KCC will re-allocate visas that should have been used by banned countries.
In reality the VB number for AS is moving well. Once the Iran and Nepal numbers are gone, density drops massively – so very fast VB progression is possible after that point. However, because of what we don’t know – there is no way for me or anyone else to guess with certainty – so you must wait.
As for the May wave – I don’t think you need worry about that – especially with the change they made this year. Wait until May to submit – people have done that in the past and it has worked fine.
March 13, 2018 at 16:01
Thanks for the solid advice! I guess I will at least wait for the next VB.
The ban is set to be litigated on April 25th, so I’m guessing there won’t be any change before the cutoff for the July interviews is published. I think it is also safe to assume that with the rate of refusals as it is, even if ban is overturned there will be enough visas to cross the 11xxx line, making 2018 similar to 2016, but I guess a significant change in the ban late in the game might also through the KCC off balance.
Do you have any thoughts on the STEM AP issue? In your experience, is it something that tends to have an effect on DV as it does on NIV?
Thanks again!
March 13, 2018 at 16:16
No thoughts on the STEM AP issue.
March 13, 2018 at 16:21
Thanks – I guess I can only hope that it is a non-issue…
March 13, 2018 at 14:48
Hi Simon,
As I am Egyptian; This month VB is disappointed as usual, my case number is AF 20xxx and I think my interview not before next August and I think they will cut off on 24000 in Egypt.What do you think?
March 13, 2018 at 15:43
I’m going to wait and see….
March 13, 2018 at 16:35
Do you think they will increase capacity next four VB for Egypt? I mean do you think they continue by this range level which is almost 2k each VB? I mainly talk about Egypt?
March 13, 2018 at 16:56
Wait and see
March 13, 2018 at 14:56
It is true that the VB is really disappointing for EU. I think the big question is wheather it is a capacity issue as Brit suggests (I hope he is right) or there are more visas issued. My CN is EU 30XXX. I don’t loose hope but I don’t feel it like “safe” anymore.
Brit, do you still consider EU 33xxx as safe?
March 13, 2018 at 15:48
I pointed out that 33XXX was the beginning of the risk zone a couple of months ago. Slow progress in the last two months (really meaning low interview counts) has obviously increased the risk, and decreased the safe zone. Numbers such as 36/37 seem at VERY great risk now – and 33XXX is probably where we have to accept there is some risk. I’ll post more later.
March 13, 2018 at 19:43
when we talk about 33xxx, do we mean 33000 hard cut of or 33somewhat?
March 13, 2018 at 19:48
A weather forecast 4 months ahead of time won’t be precise will it! Same principle.
March 13, 2018 at 14:59
Dear Simon;
I think this so called “slow pace” is mainly due to embassy capacity. Why? I called last Friday one of AF embassy and they told me that they are in shortage of 75% of their employees.
March 13, 2018 at 15:48
That is one embassy – not the region.
March 13, 2018 at 15:00
So the CN for EU can’t go more than 28K.
March 13, 2018 at 15:10
Can I ask you please how you arrive to this figure? Thanks!
March 13, 2018 at 15:53
A lot of misunderstanding and a dose of pessimism.
March 13, 2018 at 16:14
What do you think is going to happen with the visas from the banned countries? Can they allocate them to other regions or they go to waste?
March 13, 2018 at 16:27
We don’t know for sure – but first they will probably be used within the region – so AS region should get a higher final number than would otherwise have been possible.
March 13, 2018 at 15:02
Number Case safe to SA region is around 1500
March 13, 2018 at 15:05
Hi Brit! Is the EU269xx still safe? 🙁
March 13, 2018 at 15:49
Yes
March 13, 2018 at 15:06
For what it’s worth (being historical data, and all) my EU CN has become current in June in FOUR previous years: 2007, 2001, 2000, and 1998 and it looks like it will become current in June again this year. So, unless there were problems for the EU region for CN’s over 30,000 in each of those previous years (were there?), I would think EU applicants with CN’s at LEAST to the 35,000-38,000 point would be safe this year. No?
March 13, 2018 at 15:07
Do you have any formula?
March 13, 2018 at 16:13
I don’t have a formula, I just looked at a spreadsheet Simon made with each year’s bulletin numbers and the months in which they became current.
March 13, 2018 at 15:24
Things don’t work this way, and every year id different. This year they have issued high ammount of visas for EU so they are slowing down EU. Maybe it was different those years and the response and approval rate was lower those years.
March 13, 2018 at 15:52
We can’t really get “much” from looking at historical numbers. The situation in previous years was dramatically different ion so many ways. Density has changed hugely this year from even last year – meaning there are far more people in the first 20000 or 25000 numbers than there would normally be. So – those high numbers yuou mention are in serious risk – almost hopeless. 🙁
March 13, 2018 at 16:14
Heartbreaking, especially given they drew so many extra people this year. It just doesn’t make any sense. 🙁
March 13, 2018 at 16:26
I agree. They seem to be doing 2 year cycles. 2014 and 2015 were overselected, 2016 and 2017 were underselected. 2018 is overselected – and I expect the same in DV2019.
March 13, 2018 at 16:51
But still the cut of number for 2015 was much higher, and I think the selectees numbers for Eu was about the same. Don’t you think that it is the approval rate that is very high this time?
March 13, 2018 at 16:21
This is hopeless ?
March 13, 2018 at 15:22
Will there be another news bulletin in May or is it enough for a certain number?
Note that the year stopped the publication in April 2017 number 34900 at the level of Africa.
Will they continue to publish the remaining numbers in the next few months or not?
March 13, 2018 at 16:18
VBs for DV2018 will continue – there are FOUR more.
March 13, 2018 at 15:35
My CN is current for May but the status still shows at NVC instead of Ready. Is it okay?
March 13, 2018 at 16:13
Obviously. It won’t change until the 2NLs go out.
March 13, 2018 at 16:54
Omg, this is one of the annoying questions I was planning to ask… Thank you for taking fun from me. You just ruined my meaning of life and long preparations… ?
March 13, 2018 at 21:01
I think its true when they say at times you just need to give up on what you really need in order for you to get it.Let.it just happen if it is really was meant to be,it will be without you stressing and being frustrated about it. ??
March 13, 2018 at 15:40
I downloaded the latest csv data from dvcharts and imported them to SQL. I want to show some stats for EU. Here is some data:
According to 2018-03-12 ceac data (I took EU)
8274 visas were Issued
5810 people is Ready (CN < 15950)
A large part of the 5810 people are going to take visa.
18300 (region quota) – 8274 – 5810 = 4216 visas will be left.
I didn't even consider the case numbers between 15950 and 18050. There will be 4216 visas left for people above CN 15950.
Average derivative rate for EU is 2,27.
4216 / 2.27 = 1857 responsive cases are enough to fill the remaining quota.
If the remaining response rate is %54, 15950 + 3438 case = 23k final cut-off
If the remaining response rate is %50, 15950 + 3714 case = 23.6k final cut-off
If the remaining response rate is %40, 15950 + 4642 case = 25.8k final cut-off
…
Correct me if there is something wrong
March 13, 2018 at 16:11
There is lots to correct.
The 5810 includes 2200+ under 10700. These cases are almost all now shows. There are actually about 3600 scheduled cases within the 5810. Some of them will be no shows and refused. So – you are AT LEAST 2000 (and probably 3000) wrong about remaining visas.
Then, the derivative rate. Derivative rate varies by country. If you look at countries like Uzbekistan, the derivative rate is very high. It is lower in other countries. So – overall – the derivative rate will decrease.
March 13, 2018 at 16:37
Hello BritSimon,
What is your’s the most pessimistic predictions for EU region? (for june, jully etc.)
March 13, 2018 at 16:56
I am not going to post that. Really – I prefer to see VB progress.
March 13, 2018 at 18:17
8274/5.5*12=18052- it is almost the region limit. Conclusion: the visa issued speed is ok. 13800*2= 27600-it is the final cut-off, based on current conditions. I didnt take into account any very important factors such as changes of density, response rate and etc.
March 13, 2018 at 19:27
Because you didn’t take into account the important factors, your number is nonsense.
March 13, 2018 at 15:42
What does it mean that there are September bulletins (issued in August) during every year?
March 13, 2018 at 16:05
The September interviews are announced in the “August Visa bulletin”, which is published in mid July.
March 13, 2018 at 15:49
Hi brit how are you?
1. Do you think that for SA one month will be 125 and other 175 and so on?
2. Will be a little jump in the last 2 month like 250 to 350 case number per month? And last one do you think that they will call until 1800?
Thanks
March 13, 2018 at 16:04
1. Yes – about that.
2. Sometimes they reach the max number a month early so you see two months at the same number. What is MUCH more rare is what you are suggesting – a final month of a large jump. That is very unlikely.
March 13, 2018 at 16:26
Cut off for SA could be between 1700 and 1800?
March 13, 2018 at 17:00
Possibly.
March 13, 2018 at 15:53
Hi brit,I want to know if following this late we are safe with AF 45000??
Thanks alot
March 13, 2018 at 15:59
Wait and see
March 13, 2018 at 16:04
Its for MAY, not for april
March 13, 2018 at 16:15
Yep – corrected.
March 13, 2018 at 16:10
Hi Brit! Is the EU290** still safe? ?
March 13, 2018 at 16:31
Thanks Brit
March 13, 2018 at 16:34
Hello, Brit.
Considering the data on graphs, there should be density decrease right from the 19000. It should speed up the pace. Or this way of thinking not works any more?
With big hope, being in very begining of EU32XXX.
March 13, 2018 at 16:58
The density drop is just after 18000 – so in this VB they are now into the final level of density. You have a nervous wait ahead – but plenty of reason to keep hope.
March 13, 2018 at 17:01
can you say the same for EU333xx?
March 13, 2018 at 17:02
or is anything even slightly above 33k completly screwed now that all the factors that might would have enabled a later cutof are pretty mich out of the picture?
March 13, 2018 at 17:14
But Simon, does the density actually even matter at this point, as much as for example the number of real cases before your individual case? For example, my number is EU27XX and there are 5911 real cases before me, according to the Xarthisius’s files, so divided by 1200 real cases per month, that makes me become current in September, even though the density drops a lot all the way up to my number!!! And I am not even that high of a number really. So how does the density drop even help higher number if they won’t schedule more than 1200 actual cases per month from here on until the end?
March 13, 2018 at 17:17
They aren’t even doing 1200 actual cases, the had 760 real cases in the previous VB and this one is around 600 real cases
March 13, 2018 at 17:24
I counted around 1200 in the previous bulletin, I think it is about the same on this one. Still, it is a big drop from 1900 in the beginning to 1700 in the middle to 1200 now…and they are supposed to be increasing, not decreasing the pace. I find it strange. There must be a clear cut logical explanation behind this decision, unfortunately we are not privy to it and have to keep banging our heads in frustration….
March 13, 2018 at 17:18
good point.
March 13, 2018 at 17:30
Brit says “there is always a factor we don’t know”
Thank god for this blog where we can express our feelings cause otherwise we would speak to ourselves (not that I’m not)
???
March 13, 2018 at 17:33
Yes of course density matters! Lower density means there are less cases (that responded) for each 1000 case numbers.
March 13, 2018 at 17:35
but emma only counted real cases- given a path of about 1200…
March 13, 2018 at 18:23
Simon, I don’t mean to be a pain in the ass here, but it really bugs me not being able to understand the logic behind this. I thought “holes” and “density” refers to the numbers that hold no Actual people, as they have been removed for some or other reason during the draw/ selection process (ref: “Those entries removed create gaps or “holes” in the numbers. These holes are randomly distributed throughout the number range. We often discuss the “density” of the cases versus holes. If a lot of fraud within a region, then the density of the cases will be low.”), i.e. empty numbers. You explained in another article how to identify these holes in the files as per the way they are written there (None,None,None). I thought density is the percentage of holes on 1000 people, not the number of people who have not responded per 1000. Where am I going wrong here? When I count the first several bulletins, there are between 1700 – 1900 actual cases that were being scheduled per bulletin for EU. This has been dramatically changed in the last and this bulletin, where only 1200 real cases are contained within the announced visa bulletin numbers for the EU. For example, if they were to schedule 1200 real cases for June, the next EU bulletin should go up to 20 600 only, which is far from 23 050 for example, which was predicted for an increase of 5000 per month after 18 000 due to the decreasing density. It should have been 19 000 – 19 500 for this bulletin if they were scheduling 1700 people per month as they were doing before. This is the point I do not understand. Even if the density decreases further from here on, how are we to see a 5000 number increase if they are scheduling only 1200 per month? There are 2223 real cases till 23050, a 5000 overall number increase. This seems highly unlikely in light of today’s bulletin. Is it a decrease in both actual cases and responders within these cases that will happen? I guess I must be severely confused, I will go back and browse your old posts in an effort to get more clarification. I am really bad at math, so that is not helping me either.
March 13, 2018 at 19:26
Well first, you seem to have the incorrect understanding of how we use the word density. I’m really busy so I can’t fix all your math, but to give you a couple of pointers….
Imagine a forest with 1000 trees. If there are 20% of those trees chopped down, the forest is less dense. There are now only 800 trees. The “density” is 80%. Density is what percentage of cases remain after holes are taken out of the original selectees.
Then for real cases -you are probably also confused about that. Real cases is the density – BUT out of the real cases, some will not have responded.
March 13, 2018 at 19:32
but still emmas question is fair enough. If they keep scheduling that little cases- real cases per month up to july- that woont give us a high number at all….
March 13, 2018 at 19:45
@Rxy You Carlos, Tom et al have had such rapid conversations today that each of you have probably missed some important points and I have not been able to spend the time to respond to all the information and misinformation that has been discussed. Between you, there is much confusion – and what I would like to do is stop responding to every question, or half baked prediction or glass half empty statement. Today is a really busy day for me at work also – so honestly I have just lost a lot of time trying to keep a few of you on track. So – don’t expect constant replies to every one of your comments – wait for my next article.
March 13, 2018 at 20:16
@Emma @Rxy the most important mistake in your reasoning is that you only count cases between cutoffs. This number is *NOT* directly correlated with the number of people being interviewed each month. However, only the latter can be used to explain cutoff progression.
As an example, in both March and April, almost 10% of interviews were allocated to Uzbekistan. Almost all of those have a case number <EU10800, even though cutoff for March was 13800. Without knowing the number of 2NLs for May, we cannot talk about "a decrease of the pace".
March 13, 2018 at 20:23
thanks xarthius! makes perfect sense!
March 13, 2018 at 17:21
Correction, *3911 till my number, but the point of my question remains…thanks
March 13, 2018 at 17:38
Thank you for your support.
Not sure i understand about “they are now into the final level of density”. I look at the 18000 in the graph and see just 44.8% of holes, but on 19000 it is 49.3, then 54.8, 58.4 and so on. Now its far from final level, if i am right.
March 13, 2018 at 19:38
The levels I am talking about are shown here – shown as plateaus in red lines. We will not see the two small final levels – we won’t get to those numbers now. So – the EU density is roughly static for the last 4 VBs
March 13, 2018 at 16:43
Is 1400 Safe to SA?
March 13, 2018 at 16:53
Yes
March 13, 2018 at 20:30
I apologize for the inconvenience but you think that the SA145X CN is safe
Sorry again
March 13, 2018 at 20:39
Yes
March 13, 2018 at 17:00
Brit is AF31000 safe please
March 13, 2018 at 17:10
Brit , last year it went current in May. Was that predictable or was something unpredictable.
March 13, 2018 at 17:35
Last year was underselected – so I was always (from the start) clear we would probably see current – but them doing so in May was a surprise – and unwise.
March 13, 2018 at 17:15
My case number is As67** from nepal and increase rate of VB is 750 this month.can I hope for July interview
March 13, 2018 at 17:32
Wait and see!
March 13, 2018 at 17:38
Hi Simon. How do you think? The June is cut off for EU.
March 13, 2018 at 18:13
Hi Brits..
I guess those of us with very high cn like AF48000 should just surender and give up considering the fact that only four months are left. Its like there’s no miracle for us.
March 13, 2018 at 19:27
All you can do is check back in a few months.
March 13, 2018 at 18:17
Thanks for your work. Is the EU290** still safe?
March 13, 2018 at 19:27
Yes
March 13, 2018 at 21:52
Thanks for this.
– a EU28xxx
March 13, 2018 at 18:40
mr simon
is 205xx egypt still safe???
March 13, 2018 at 18:41
Just out of curiosity, why do they select 120,000 people if they don’t even call 50,000? I am at EU 24000 so I am hopeful for an August interview but I’m just wondering.
March 13, 2018 at 19:19
Because MANY people don’t respond, and some that do respond get refused and so on.
March 13, 2018 at 19:12
Hello Brit, sorry to bother again, after this Bulletin whats your guess for SA 16XX
March 13, 2018 at 19:13
Hasn’t changed – wait and see.
March 13, 2018 at 19:35
Hi Thanks for the help.
Sorry if I misunderstood, but I read you here replying by saying that 33XXX is where the risk zone starts but your answers were all related to questions regarding EU region. So I wanted to know if it applies to other region as well or not.
Thanks again.
March 13, 2018 at 19:39
Of course not. Each region is different.
March 13, 2018 at 19:47
It’s difficult for me to see the logic here but that’s reassuring for someone like me from AF with a high number 🙂
Thanks.
March 13, 2018 at 19:35
Patience has limits .??
March 13, 2018 at 19:39
Do you have any other choice?
March 15, 2018 at 16:40
unfortunately No ?
March 15, 2018 at 17:46
So there you go then. Patience it is.
March 13, 2018 at 19:48
Hello Brits. Thanks for the update. So looking at the latest CEAC data I see that they’ve stepped up the number of monthly interviews for AF to ~2700 new cases . Now simulating this increment I get a cut off of 50k by September. Am I correct? What else could prevent this scenario from happening because the numbers speak for themselves
March 13, 2018 at 19:49
I’m looking at the data now.
March 13, 2018 at 19:57
hello brit
i want to know what i can skim since cn is involved in May in order not to come 2nl
March 13, 2018 at 20:42
skim?? What are you talking about?
March 13, 2018 at 20:47
what are the reasons 2nl may not come
March 13, 2018 at 21:17
If you are current and the DS260 is processed, the 2NL is sent.
March 13, 2018 at 20:03
Hey brit thanks for the update
Is AS11000 safe please
March 13, 2018 at 20:41
Wait and see
March 13, 2018 at 20:31
Dear Brit, earlier you mentioned “AOS early filing” what does it mean “AOS early filing”? My case 26xxx and if “Current” is set should I take some actions or just wait interview? Sorry if I didn’t myself clear.
March 13, 2018 at 20:37
Read the spreadsheet linked from post 1 of the link below. It has all the information needed – and it sounds like you don’t know the basics.
https://forums.immigration.com/threads/dv-2018-aos-only.336256/
March 13, 2018 at 21:23
Hello brit thank you so much for keeping us update
My question is a bit strange I hope you answer, does hepatitis B cause denial or not.
March 13, 2018 at 21:42
Please read the FAQ.
March 13, 2018 at 21:28
Hi Brit,
My case number is AS129** selected from Afghanistan. Do you think case numbers near AS13000 would go current? I also have worked for the U.S. Military and because of my employment with the U.S Government my life is in danger. Do you think there would be an exception because of service to the U.S Government if I ask KCC?
I would greatly appreciate your thoughts!
March 13, 2018 at 21:41
No there can be no exception because of your service. If you were entitled to special treatment, that would not be via the DV program.
As to your chances – I really don’t know what will happen for AS region.