Time for an update at about the halfway point of April.
There has been a delay in getting the data. The CEAC website was modified in a way that blocked my script for a while. They will sometimes do that if they feel the website is being hit by robots (which is how they see me!) – and so we have to find another way around their measure. A game of cat and mouse. I spent several days investigating and rewriting the process from scratch and got a second version of the extraction tool work. However, my process is slow and thankfully the original developer of the “old” extract script diagnosed the change and fixed the script. So – we are back in business. Also added to this version are two columns to show counts for the at NVC cases, and the in Transit cases.
I have also added some information to show the regional response rate. Just a word about that, the countries such as Egypt cannot be current, so the AF response rate is understated. Likewise, EU region is understated because of the U2 countries having such a low response rate. I have explained those things in this previous post on response rate analysis.
AS you can see KCC are on the pace I have described previously. They issue around 5000 visas a month, this is half a month so 250 visas. Contrary to what it feels like – KCC know what they are doing!
Here is the data
And before you ask me to give you data on “your” embassy – it is very easy to do that yourself. So – here is how to use google sheets to analyze the data.
One more thing. If youi appreciate the work I am doing in keeping you informed and assisting you through the process I would be grateful if you could read this page about the “Treehouse fund” and leave a message or donate.
April 24, 2015 at 14:26
helo brit, im from Ethiopia, and my cn is 28***, im waiting the 2nd letter fo today , do u think i will receive???
April 24, 2015 at 14:54
They are being sent now….
April 24, 2015 at 14:45
So when will you publish the 2nl Analysis? the seconds letters are out!! eagerly waiting…
April 24, 2015 at 14:56
A few hours after the 2NLs go out they will update the CEAC data with the “in transit” cases. I’ll be watching for that. Then I extract the data (takes a few hours and make my predictions – so – maybe today, and if not, tomorrow.
April 24, 2015 at 15:04
Great, thanks for your hard job again. Just waiting to see if Asia an go above 7000 or not!!!
April 24, 2015 at 15:49
are the 2nd letters coming out yet???
if yes we are waiting for your analysis!
April 24, 2015 at 19:26
2NLs are going out now, but so far the CEAC data is not updated. I am watching, and once it is updated I will run the extracts.
April 24, 2015 at 17:24
Do you think you will publish the new CEAC with the 2nls today or tomorrow? It seems 2nls are already out..
Thank a lot!
April 24, 2015 at 21:14
Some 2NLs are out already but the CEAC data is not yet updated. When it is, I will start the extract process….
April 24, 2015 at 21:48
Thanks, Simon! waiting for the CEAS data impatiently). Hope you will publish it tomorrow.
April 25, 2015 at 03:53
It is updated now to “In Transit”
April 25, 2015 at 14:10
Yep – got it – thanks!
April 24, 2015 at 20:26
hi simon I please I tired to check my visa status this was what An unexpected error has occurred while processing your
previous request. The error has been reported to the site
administrator; no further action is required.
April 24, 2015 at 22:56
April 25, 2015 at 10:03
I checked on CEAC site and noticed that “Transit” cases already.
Do all the cases, which are planned to be scheduled in June, become in “Transit” together or it happens in batches with the receipt of 2nls?
If all become in “Transit” at once, then we should expect info from you as soon as you will have time).
April 25, 2015 at 14:09
Yes the in Transit update (2NLs) are all in the system. I am extracting now. I’ll produce the predictions this weekend.
April 25, 2015 at 15:10
We really appreciate your hard work – to satisfy everyone here.
But can you post “CEAC Data Extract April-25” as usual, then by end of this week you can post “June 2NL analysis”
May you would prefer to combine both of them in one post, then this is your call 🙂
April 26, 2015 at 01:35
I will post them as separate posts as usual… The April 25 one is here now…
April 25, 2015 at 13:59
when your analyse sir ?
my cn is af 48000 i’m afraid sir
April 25, 2015 at 14:13
You have no reason to be afraid. Your number is safe – but it will not be in July.
April 25, 2015 at 15:35
Today or tomorrow for analysis? As we are getting closer to the final months, people like me are getting more excited about your predictions
April 26, 2015 at 01:35
I plan to work on this tonight….
April 28, 2015 at 08:30
Hi Simon,just want to say thanks for your great work,my case number is AF40000,l wanna know when can I get my intervieuw?
April 28, 2015 at 14:41
You might squeeze in to to July interviews, but August is more likely…
July 8, 2015 at 07:59
I am selected for DV-2016 and currently in the process of of 2NL, i had filled my DS-260 as single but recently i got married and i want to add my husband, is there any way to unlock DS-260 form to update.
How can i process my husband.
July 8, 2015 at 19:02
Once you are scheduled you cannot unlock the DS260 – contact the embassy for instructions on how to include your spouse.