The scraping is complete. Many people around the world helped with this task, and I am extremely grateful for their effort.
Xarthisius has also worked tirelessly over the last few days making changes to the script and even dealing with some idiots (actually one particular idiot) with some malicious activity. By distributing the script we were opened up to a few more challenges than we would have expected, and the data will need some cleaning at some point. However, Xarthisius has released it to make it available for everyone to look at. Here is the link to the DV2019 data where you can see the charts and download the data in csv format.
I know there are many people who are waiting for this data and will form opinions about whether the regions will go current or where the cutoffs will be. But we need to be cautious with those assumptions. The last few years has showed that the quotas cannot always be met in certain regions and government actions can affect the pace of processing. When that happens (as in DV2018), the quotas can be moved to some extent to use all the available visas. This happened last year and favored EU region, but we cannot assume that can certainly happen again. We don’t know what will happen in the next few months.
Let the analysis begin!
January 6, 2019 at 14:57
Hello Brit, i remember contributing last year .. now I’m in USA .. thank you Brit from the buttom of my heart.
January 6, 2019 at 15:19
Hello again. I hope you have settled well!
January 6, 2019 at 15:05
dear Brit we are waiting for your analysis…
January 6, 2019 at 15:09
Thank you for this great job. but finally, what does it retain?
January 6, 2019 at 15:20
Looking at the data quickly, it is clear to me that the Refusal rate in AS is the highest. I have also noticed that in some Embassies (Abu Dhabi and Ankara for example), the Refusal rate for those from AS is very high (actually in Ankara the Refusal rate is 100%). I might be wrong, but it looks like applicants from specific countries (maybe Iran) are getting refused. I might be wrong though.
January 6, 2019 at 16:26
That’s obviously because of the travel ban should “might” get AS region to go current.
January 6, 2019 at 17:08
Yes – Iranians are getting refused.
January 6, 2019 at 15:22
High density in AS Region！
Compare to last year, CN around 8K to 15K had low density 70%++ holes , but now i see 50 percent, does this mean it won’t go current?
January 6, 2019 at 17:07
No – it just means there were far few Iranian entries this year.
January 6, 2019 at 15:23
Hi britsimon, looking forward to your analysis! From your previous posts I have found that NVC means this:
1.The case is not yet current.
2.The case is current, BUT the DS260 has not be submitted at all, or it was submitted but not processed yet – and therefore not scheduled.
3.The case is current, the form is processed, but it is waiting to be scheduled (typically because the cases have not yet been sent to the embassies yet).
However I also see the status “None”. What is the difference between the two? For example I have looked at my case number (EU27xxx) and it says none to me. And I have sent the ds260 form already.
In the end what do you say the “show up rate” for EU? Should I count none and at nvc from the first months (current numbers) as no show up? Or do they still have a chance to get their visa in the folllowing motnhs?
Thanks a lot!
January 6, 2019 at 17:07
None means a hole. If that is in as none in the CEAC file, it could be a mistake. Check CEAC directly.
January 7, 2019 at 04:41
Thanks again! I have checked it and is says at nvc like you said. It also said the same in your document. Obviously I made a mistake
January 6, 2019 at 15:24
Eu region 29000 can i have a chance??
January 6, 2019 at 17:04
January 6, 2019 at 15:29
Hi Brit ! I want say Thank you for ur page! Realy you helped me last year process.now Im in USA .Thank you!!!
January 6, 2019 at 17:04
You’re very welcome!
January 6, 2019 at 15:29
In EU region density is really low,does it mean EU will go current?
January 6, 2019 at 17:03
January 6, 2019 at 15:41
Thank you for your efforts. I have scrapped and solved Captchas as much as i can the last few days, but for some reason the script was hanging when it was solving the AS region! any idea why ?
However, honestly i am having difficulties in understanding the chart. Obviously it has a lot of information but i am not sure how i can utalize it. For example, what does the No Response represent ? does it represent those case numbers did not suibmit their DS260 yet, or does it represent those cases who submitted DS260 but have not received a response from KCC ?
Maybe you have explained this before but i really can’t find this information, so do you have a link that talks about how to interpret the data presented in this chart and how we can utilize it to predict our case numbers please ?
January 6, 2019 at 17:03
No response is someone not yet scheduled. If they are current and still at NVC, they have not yet been scheduled becaus either they were late in sending their DS260/documents or they have not done so at all. Some never will respond.
January 6, 2019 at 15:55
Hi Simon, first of all thank you for your effort. I’m from Italy. I’ve checked my number EU137xx and I’ve seen that is at NVC. I didn’t receive anything yet (letter for documentation subscribing). As you previously told me I know that It happens that someone doesn’t receive this letter and I don’t need to be worried but I do am! Could you reassure me? ?
I wrote to KCC on month ago and they told me that my DS260 is still processing even though I’ve sent it in May 22nd. However they told me that I can send the documentation.
January 6, 2019 at 17:01
Did you send your documents? If yes – why are you worried?
January 6, 2019 at 17:12
No Simon, I didn’t send anything yet because someone told me that certain documents expire in 6 month and I don’t know when I’ll be called. But I’m thinking about submitting them in a couple of weeks, also considering the next visa bulletin.
Thank you Simon!
January 6, 2019 at 17:54
OK – then you should send them soon. No reason to worry.
January 6, 2019 at 19:06
Thanks a lot!
January 7, 2019 at 02:26
Hi…my number is EU131XX BUT I DIDN’T RECEIVE ANYTHING YET…DO I NEED TO WAIT…ANY HELP PLS
January 7, 2019 at 03:16
If you have submitted your ds260 and your documents, then you just wait.
January 7, 2019 at 09:45
Only DS260 submitted in jul 2018 for me,my Wife and Son…and status say Complet to all 3.Then i print last page for all like they say.i don’t get any mail from KCC after i do that…any mail about documents.help me pls Simon
January 7, 2019 at 14:38
So you need to send them documents.
January 9, 2019 at 01:27
i get mail today and they say to send them Passport copy,Birth certificate,Military and Police certificate…i have 1 problem whit my and wife passport….My Wife Expire in 1 September and my in 27 October 2019…my Son 2021(this is not a problem) in 10 days i can get new one for me and my wife.they can unlocked my DS-260 for corrections.What to do Simon…thx
January 9, 2019 at 01:51
You can delay sending while you update the documents, or just send what you have and take old/new passports to the interview.
January 12, 2019 at 01:31
I get all documents what i need and i will send tomorow.Do i need to send Original what i get from my language, or just that in English i translate?
I am Eu131xx when i expect to get 2NL this Januar or Februar
January 12, 2019 at 01:36
Because you have not sent your documents yet, you will have caused a delay so you would probably have an April interview.
Read the letter they sent you and carefully follow the instructions.
January 16, 2019 at 22:26
I send all document to KCC and after i get this(today)
what to do next Simon?
Records indicate you have submitted a complete and valid DS-260 application for each family member, and you have provided all required documentation to the Kentucky Consular Center.
Interviews are scheduled numerically based on case numbers that have completed processing. Interviews for the DV 2019 program will begin in October 2018 and conclude on September 30, 2019. Please refer to the visa bulletin at http://www.travel.state.gov to locate the current numbers being processed. This bulletin is updated after the 15th day of each month. Once an interview date has been scheduled, you will receive notification via email to check http://www.dvlottery.state.gov.
January 16, 2019 at 23:34
January 18, 2019 at 16:58
I work like Security in one school for 6 months,after that from 2008 to 2014 november IT network.
From 2014 to now just at farm.
Simon pls tell me is enought i have total 12 years of school.Economic technician whit 4 years high school.
Thx God bless you…
January 18, 2019 at 19:56
I don’t know if you qualify. The 12 years must be general education (not vocational), and you must attain certain results which vary by embassy.
January 6, 2019 at 16:01
Can you express in words:
What does the charts for EU mean ?
1. Bad news
2. Good news.
January 6, 2019 at 17:00
January 6, 2019 at 16:19
January 6, 2019 at 16:31
Dear Brit and Xarthisius,
Thank you for the great efforts that you made for us! I really appreciate your job.
Since I’m in EU will post my opinion for that region only.
So on first face looks that the response rate is low or 5 448 people are distributed in 8 800 CN (Jan.VB) or vs 10 000 CN (up to Feb.VB). Also it is visible that the density is low and the pace is slow. I would assume that if the consular’s warmly wish to distribute these 18 K visas they are obtain to do one of the following two things:
1. Speed up the process.
2. Make EU current in very near future.
Up to me all the people in DV19 have their chance to take a visa taking into account the statistic so far:)))) (since the last CN is 307XX)
Wish success to everybody hoping in that time!
January 7, 2019 at 17:30
I arrive at the same conclusion too for EU, the percentage of issued visa is two times less than in 2018 with a maximum range of range of 31000 instead of 41000 numbers.
January 7, 2019 at 17:59
You should be careful not to make assumptions based on the partial year. There are many people with low case numbers that have not yet interviewed. Some will not have even submitted their DS260 yet. So – the numbers for response, issued etc will continue to grow – even at the low number ranges.
January 6, 2019 at 17:31
pls somebody can explain to me how to understand these data? for exemple for Africa my case is af37xxx
January 6, 2019 at 17:56
Your number is fine. Just relax and wait.
January 6, 2019 at 19:09
I don’t understand this data. My CN is AF27***
January 6, 2019 at 19:35
You keep saying you don’t understand. I have posted a similar link from a couple of months ago. Honestly – you are supposed to have a High school level education, so it seems you just cannot be bothered to read. So – there is no point me writing things you are not going to read. Put in some effort. I won’t respond to any further questions from you like this.
January 8, 2019 at 00:03
Hi Brit, sorry if the question sounds stupid but why the hole % increase with the case number ranges? There might be a logic reason but I cannot figure it out…It means that the current case numbers should increase faster along the time since the US administration will review less cases. Thanks.
January 8, 2019 at 00:24
January 8, 2019 at 07:57
Thank you, it is well explained on point 4 of your article. Since the density of the cases gets lower for higher case, the visa process should be faster, is it correct? So we can expect increase for the next month of more than 2000 cases?
January 8, 2019 at 14:33
Progress can be faster as density decreases. About next month, I don’t know, it depends on backlog from the new procedure. and which region would hit lower density next month anyway?
January 8, 2019 at 04:09
Happy New year to you and your family!
My case number is AS9xxx. I live in the US. Do I have to get the police certificates from my home country?. I hope it’s so early for me to send the documents to KCC. Many thanks.
January 8, 2019 at 04:40
Are you processing AOS or CP?
January 8, 2019 at 17:15
I am going to process AOS
January 8, 2019 at 18:46
So you need to read the link below. On the first post in that thread there is a link to a spreadsheet that will guide you through the whole process. Your question is answered there.
January 8, 2019 at 20:33
Thank you so much for your response
January 8, 2019 at 18:56
Hi bro brit I check my case status it show that my last case update on December 13 but I did my interview on November 27 what it really mean it confusing me
January 8, 2019 at 19:33
We cannot know the meaning of the case updates, so it’s best to ignore them.
January 8, 2019 at 22:46
Okay because I expecting my case to updated the day I did the interview
January 10, 2019 at 05:12
What does DV1, DV2 and DV3 stand for on the chart showing Monthly IV issuance?
January 10, 2019 at 14:33
DV1 is principal
DV2 is spouse
DV3 is child
January 11, 2019 at 17:43
What the slow process brit??, visa bulletin for march interview is released for Africa it is 15300
January 11, 2019 at 18:00
January 14, 2019 at 02:17
From the DV 2019 data graph for Embassies, Yaounde- Cameroon indicates that from the range 10001 to 14000 no visas have been issued and non denied, even though it also shows the number of cases ready. does this mean that the cases have not yet gone for interview or the data has not yet been updated? Thanks
January 14, 2019 at 04:22
The data was extracted in the first few days of January, so there were no updates at that time.
January 15, 2019 at 08:29
January 16, 2019 at 11:25
Hello Brit,have noticed that my case is at NVC ……my worries is how will i know the time am supposed to send the documents so that they can schedule my interview? as i had told you early , the email i used belonged to cyber guy who keeps on threatening and blackmailing me if i don’t agree to what he wants me to do.
January 16, 2019 at 14:29
So. When your number is getting close, send your documents without being asked.
January 30, 2019 at 06:09
Hi brit I’m a DV lottery winner 2019 I did my interview around November my case last updated on December 13 and it have been 60 days plus my case been updated
Should I write them or what?
January 31, 2019 at 01:52
You can try to contact the embassy.
January 31, 2019 at 09:44
U mean the local embassy right?
March 27, 2019 at 21:31
what is the last update for the data?
March 27, 2019 at 21:49
What data??? Make your question clear!
March 27, 2019 at 21:54
sorry when was the last update for Dv 2019 data
March 27, 2019 at 22:00
You can check here:
May 18, 2019 at 05:22
Hi brit I’m dv lottery winner 2019 with a case number 2XXX I did my interview in October what’s the possibility of me getting Visa?
May 18, 2019 at 13:06
I have no idea.