So – a BIG thank you to Xarthisius who has stayed up all night and gathered the CEAC data for DV2025. You can now go to the link below and get all sorts of insights into the distribution of cases, highest case numbers per region, derivative rates, density of cases, embassy performance so far and so on. Those of us that like to monitor the DV lottery program know how important this data is.
So – go to the site and have a look. I will be recording a video shortly to explain the data and how it can help us understand the program.
https://dvcharts.xarthisius.xyz/ceacFY25.html
January 10, 2025 at 13:13
Hi Simon, Although KCC indicates my case is current for interview processing, I would like to request a transfer from Accra. Please that’s the next step to initiate this process?
January 10, 2025 at 13:23
Once you are in that stage (stage 4 is “current for interview processing”), KCC won’t unlock your DS260. So to change embassies, you have to convince another embassy to ask KCC on your behalf to reassign your case to their embassy. That is very difficult to achieve – and I don’t have any suggestions about a reliable way to make that work.
January 10, 2025 at 04:55
Hi Simon, my case number is 2025AU250XX Do I have chances this year?
January 10, 2025 at 09:00
AU is not a region. However you can watch my video analysis for your region here:
https://britsimonsays.com/dv2025-prediction-videos/
January 10, 2025 at 00:18
Hi Simon – it appears the SYD consulate is processing DV-2025 applicants very slow in comparison to Suva and Auckland. For 2025OC1XXXX, do you think it is worth transferring consulates?
January 10, 2025 at 08:57
Your number is ambiguous. If your number is low 1000 range rather than high 1000 range, I wouldn’t transfer.
January 8, 2025 at 14:14
Good evening, Mr. Samoun, my case number is 2025AF67.5k. Is there any hope of getting an interview date at the Casablanca Consulate in Morocco? What is the solution to get an interview date?
January 8, 2025 at 16:59
I will be publishing a video on AF region later today.
January 8, 2025 at 05:02
hi simon
one question does all dv winner who pass interview, ceac status check pass through Admirative processing(AP)?
January 8, 2025 at 08:56
No, some go straight to issued OR the stop in Administrative Processing is not noticed.
January 7, 2025 at 15:52
Hi Simon
I controlled my case nr in CEAC and it is said: this is a hole nr .What does it means ??Case nr EU 15XXX.Should i be worried about?
Thnx
January 7, 2025 at 23:19
Most likely, you made a mistake.
January 7, 2025 at 10:01
Hey Brit, what should I do if by mistake I checked that I am in the USA. My case number is 2025AF 78xx, I am supposed to have the 2NL but never get it till now. When I wrote KCC, they asked be to request address change to KCC. When I did that, they reply with the same exact answer saying that I need to submit a request. What should I do ?
January 7, 2025 at 14:20
Camille – you keep asking and I already answered…
January 10, 2025 at 11:22
Thanks Brit,
Maybe this will be helpful to other people in the situation. They won’t change the interview location until you clearly put your physical address in the request. They will keep sending again and again the same email, asking to request address change from KCC.
Here is the sample that I have sent :
Full names of the applicant: xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Case number: 2025AF000078xx
Date of birth: xxxxxxxx
Physical address where the interview is preferred: LOME TOGO
Explanation or reason for the location change: When filling out the DS-260 form, I selected the incorrect location for my interview. However, I currently reside in Togo and would like to request that my Diversity Visa interview be processed at the U.S. Embassy in Lomé, Togo.
My Physical Address:
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
LOME, 2
TOGO
January 10, 2025 at 13:19
Yes thanks, that certainly helps.
January 7, 2025 at 03:13
Hi BriSimon,
My case number is AF316xx from Nairobi. I submitted form ds260 on late October. As I read some online articles, I realize that for one to receive 2NL, he/she must submit official documentation to NVC. My question is, how do you submit these documents? Or you must be invited from the embassy?
January 7, 2025 at 14:00
It is no longer needed to send documents to NVC/KCC. They changed the procedure and updated their instructions.
January 6, 2025 at 23:16
Hi Brit, thanks so much for your work. Your recent video with EU predictions helped me stop worrying… a little (though I still don’t like the Bomb, if you know what I mean).
I understood that, based on your prediction, the danger range for the EU is somewhere between 27-35k. My case is 2025 EU 34XXX (very early 34k). I’m from Russia and scheduled at the Tbilisi embassy. Should I be strongly worried, just a little concerned, or is there a realistic chance I could catch one of the last trains in this DV?
Happy New Year, and many thanks again!
January 7, 2025 at 13:57
Well I described the bell curve as a way of saying that the most likely chances are in that sweet spot I pointed out. However, there is “some” chance at your number gets current, perhaps for reasons that we cannot reliably predict yet. So – you can’t “give up” just based on a prediction, but you also shouldn’t be selling the family car at this point. Unfortunately you just have to “wait and see” and frankly “hope” for other cases to have challenges that raise your chances.
January 6, 2025 at 16:18
Hi Simon,
Up to AF22k case numbers should now be current. Got married early December though we’ve been together for nearly 10 years, same address for about half the period. We submitted DS260 just after mid-December.
1. How do you think the case might be going?
2. Any chance I could be expecting 2NL soon, given that my case number is current according to VB??
3. As a private person who doesn’t take too many photos, how else can we prove the recent wedding was legit?
KR, Hans.
AF15k, BRS.
January 6, 2025 at 16:34
1. I don’t know.
2. It will probably be a couple of months – but depends on the status of your embassy.
3. Even private people have wedding photos these days. But use your imagination.
January 6, 2025 at 20:58
Hi BritSimon
does 2025 AF79k has a chance for interview in DV 2025? what number is considered a high case number in 2025?
January 6, 2025 at 22:30
I’ll be publishing predictions for AF region in a couple of days, but of course that number has some risk.
January 7, 2025 at 15:48
I mentioned Brussels Embassy.
Thank you.
January 6, 2025 at 15:25
Hi Mr. Simon
I am 2025 AF79xxx, from Monrovia, Liberia..
What’s the possibility for me? Please
January 5, 2025 at 14:42
Dear Simon,
EU 27k, WRW embassy. Do you think that there is a good chance of the interview in DV25 with this case number? I was having my hopes high but after CEAC data got published I started to worry after comparing data to previous years of DV. According to CEAC data my case number puts ~15k case in EU before me and ~5k cases after me making it like 75% of all cases… I am thinking if it is worth submitting DS-260 already or I should wait and see… however from your numerous videos I conclude WRW embassy is doing fine and there would not be much I can do.
Happy new year!
Bart
January 6, 2025 at 09:26
Your number is probably OK – I will be publishing an EU video today.
January 5, 2025 at 13:34
Hi Simon, my case number is AF182×× from Ghana, I emailed Kcc today to unlock my ds 260 so I can change my interview location from Ghana to Abidjan, is it safe to do that? Thank you
January 6, 2025 at 09:24
Well if you don’t move from Accra, you won’t get a greencard. So asking if unlocking is safe is kind of a silly question.
But yes, it is.
January 5, 2025 at 11:29
Hi Brit
This is from sri lanka (CLM). Now CEAC data is out and AS12### is safe case number for 2025? And CEAC says,
There are 7722 cases before and 4334 after you in the AS region. That yields approximately 14857 people before and 8339 after you.
Embassy has already schedule below 5500 case numbers interviews in February..
Thank you for your valuble idea..
January 5, 2025 at 13:20
Should be OK.
January 5, 2025 at 05:59
Hi Simon , when the case number becomes current and still NVC does the only meaning for that ( the applicant doesn’t submit the DS 260 ) ?
January 5, 2025 at 09:30
At NVC is shown for any case that has not been scheduled. The reasons for that could be:
Case not current
DS260 not submitted
DS260 submitted but not fully processed
Embassy backlogs
January 6, 2025 at 19:11
Hey Brit, what should I do if by mistake I checked that I am in the USA. My case number is 2025AF 78xx, I am supposed to have the 2NL but never get it till now. When I wrote KCC, they asked be to request address change to KCC. When I did that, they reply with the same exact answer saying that I need to submit a request. What should I do ?
January 4, 2025 at 14:21
Hi BritS, is case number AF00031644 safe? My location is Nairobi
January 4, 2025 at 15:30
The number itself is *OBVIOUSLY** safe (so much so that you are wasting our time by asking). So the question is only about NRB – for that we need to wait and see.
January 3, 2025 at 20:47
hai Bristimon
I am a Dv 2016 winner .Went for an interview along with my wife as principal Applicant. The consular give us a sheet and return our passport.
later our Ceac system was still updated as Ready though we have finised the interview.
Later in August it was still in ready afther the second update.
Now reading the raw Data of 2016 entire cases,I am noting offically that our Dv case was not refused.in fact my wife case in ready,and my case is placed under potenteial AP.
we wrote legal affairs concerning our cases when it was still valid for visa issued and was told they will address it.
Embassy was Monrovia,Liberia.
2016AF321xx MRV Ready 8-Oct-14 17-Aug-16 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
January 4, 2025 at 10:24
Well first, you are reading an old extract of data. THat data is not available in CEAC now. However, cases are frozen as of September 30th each year. There is nothing you can do with your case after the end of the fiscal year (i.e. September 30, 2016).
January 3, 2025 at 04:56
Thanks, Brit. You have always been helpful to so many of us. Happy New Year to you and your family.
January 4, 2025 at 10:03
Thank you!
January 2, 2025 at 22:40
Case number 2025AS1106* from Nepal.
Is it safe Number?
January 4, 2025 at 09:48
I can’t say it is totally safe, but you have a good chance.
January 2, 2025 at 09:50
Hello, I was wondering if there’s any recent data on the number of entries in the lottery? The latest info I can find from the DoS website is from 2021, I don’t know why they don’t update it anymore.
January 2, 2025 at 13:07
No. We have to wait until they publish the next 3 year batch for 22, 23 and 24.
January 2, 2025 at 09:01
What is happening with the embassy in Sarajevo? Why has no case been processed?
January 2, 2025 at 13:06
I dont know.
January 2, 2025 at 08:05
Hello Mr Brits,
Thank so much for your tireless efforts in helping us. I’m DV 2025 winner but very worry about My embassy bad record of issuing Visa. My embassy is Monrovia Liberia and the percentage of denial last year was very high. This year is even worst because when I checked the data yesterday, issues 4, AP 8 refuse 22 so far. 2023 DV I was refuse visa on ground of not properly listing mate which was not true despite presenting all evidence. God give me another chance by winning 2025 and this is happening.
1, do you have any advice for us so that we can miss the second chance?
Hoping for your response very soon.
January 2, 2025 at 08:17
Case number 2025AF22###
January 2, 2025 at 12:59
If you have followed the instructions correctly you should be ok
January 2, 2025 at 07:54
Do you think 2025AS000229** is a safe case number for Sri Lanka? Thanks
January 2, 2025 at 12:58
I cannot say that is safe. I will be studying the data this coming weekend
January 2, 2025 at 07:08
I emailed KCC & asked them to confirm if I will be interviewed in Lome’ and this was their response. Does that mean my request to change my interview location has actually gone wrong? Because the data shows Lome’ has gone passed CN 11k.
Thank you for your inquiry.
Your interview location is Accra and will be used by KCC for scheduling purposes. When we have scheduled your interview, you will be required to log into the Entrant Status Check (ESC) to view your appointment notification. At that time, please verify that your appointment is scheduled for the correct post. If for any reason it is not, you may contact KCC again at [email protected].
January 2, 2025 at 12:56
So they have not changed you to Lome. You need to ask them to change. Do that immediately.
January 2, 2025 at 17:50
Thanks Brit, I emailed them immediately & asked them to change my interview location to Lome. I even included my physical address in the email. I’m waiting patiently to see what their response will be. Once again thank you so so much.
January 3, 2025 at 06:56
Hello Brit, I believe you’re doing well.
Below is the email I sent to KCC yesterday.
Dear KCC Team,
I hope this message finds you well. I am writing to kindly request a change in my interview location from Accra, Ghana to Lome, Togo due to my relocation.
My Physical Address is: 172 ******
And they’ve replied with this same message again which reads
Thank you for your inquiry.
Your case number is now current for interview processing. If you are scheduled for an interview date, you will receive notification via email to check https://dvprogram.state.gov. If you need to make changes to your DS-260 you should contact the consular section where you will be interviewed, or bring the information about your changes to your interview appointment. Because your case is ready to be scheduled, KCC can no longer unlock your application or change interview locations.
January 4, 2025 at 10:06
It sounds like they have you LOCKED IN to Accra on AV status. It is difficult to get reassigned at that point unless you can show that they made a mistake (because you had already informed them of your move to Lome) or you can somehow get the embassy in Lome to ask KCC to move your case to their embassy.
January 2, 2025 at 06:55
Hi Brit, is the CEAC data updated monthly?
January 2, 2025 at 12:55
It is constantly being used, but Xarthisius will extract it weekly.
January 2, 2025 at 05:03
Accra, Ghana Embassy has issued only one 2NL, really?
January 2, 2025 at 12:53
And that was a transfer.
January 2, 2025 at 02:31
Dear Sir,
I would be grateful if you would consider my request to participate in the comment section for future troubleshooting questions.
Thank you.
Have a Great New Year!
January 2, 2025 at 00:42
Sir, if you could see this comment please approve me for comment section. I couldn’t post questions because of that. Thank you!
January 2, 2025 at 00:39
Appreciate your great work!
January 1, 2025 at 22:48
Hello boss Brit, my case number is AF11xxx Freetown embassy when I checked the Ceac date there are 81 2nl ready and they have already sent 40 2nl from 01 to 8000 which is ready do I expect my 2nl this January or February. Thanks God bless you.Happy prosperous new year to you and your family
January 2, 2025 at 00:00
Maybe a March interview. Wait and see.
January 2, 2025 at 04:00
But I may expect 2nl this month right.
Thanks so much sir you are really a blessing to us and this generation may Almighty God give you many years to live Amen
January 2, 2025 at 12:53
Yes
January 2, 2025 at 13:10
thanks boss GOD bless you
January 1, 2025 at 21:07
Hi Mr. Simon, hope you are doing well. Based on the data, do you think that 2025AS2139X is a safe case number from Sri Lanka
? Thanks.
January 1, 2025 at 23:57
I will be posting predictions in a few days.
January 3, 2025 at 06:53
Thank You, The total cutoff numbers for all the countries in the Asia region is 23,198. the cutoff number for Sri Lanka in the DV-2025 program is 1,618. There are 10036 cases before and 2020 after me in the AS region. That yields approximately 19310 people before and 3887 after me. My case Number is 2025AS213XX.
January 1, 2025 at 16:34
Hello Brit
How are you hope you are doing well
Brit after ceac data what do you think should I wait for my Dv lottery the case number is AF168xx is it possible that my case will be scheduled for interview in have selected American embassy in Pakistan,Islamabad please give me information Thanks.
January 1, 2025 at 18:10
That is a low number, so it just depends on the embassy
January 1, 2025 at 15:56
Happy New Year sir and thank you for the sacrifices you make to walk us DV winners through our journey. I am AF2000 and yet to submit my DS 260 do you think I am will be late doing it this February?
January 1, 2025 at 18:07
That would be OK.
January 1, 2025 at 15:55
Hello Simon, Happy New Year. Please base on the data do you think the case number 2025AF86xx , is safe ? i choose U.S Embassy in Doha to proceed.
January 1, 2025 at 18:05
Of course
January 2, 2025 at 15:48
Thank you dear, stay blessed.
January 1, 2025 at 12:59
Bonsoir Mr simon
Au Ghana combien de personnes ont été sélectionnés et combien de personnes ont pu décrocher leur visa dans l’année 2023
Merci
January 1, 2025 at 18:03
English please.
January 1, 2025 at 12:55
HI Simon, when I check CEAC status with my case number, i get AT NVC status. Is that fine? My case number is 2025EU13xxx
Thank you and Happy New Year!
January 1, 2025 at 18:03
That is normal.
January 1, 2025 at 12:21
Hi simon, what’s your opinion in AS17K, do you think it will be VB ?
January 1, 2025 at 18:02
I will be posting predictions in a few days.
January 1, 2025 at 11:33
Hi Brit!! Happy new year to you. I have checked the CEAC data & I noticed the embassy at Lome’ has scheduled case up to 20K plus but my concern is that, I unlocked & updated my new address and emailed KCC to changed my case from Accra to Lome’. My CN is 11K and my forms were processed in early November. I want to know does that means KCC didn’t change embassy for me now that they’ve scheduled passed my case number? Just as you said that it could go wrong?
January 1, 2025 at 11:38
No need to be stressed at this time. Obviously Accra is working badly, but you can email KCC and check they have you assigned to Lome.
January 1, 2025 at 11:33
Hey Simon, hope you are doing well. Based on the data, do you think that 2025AS12XXX is a safe case number? Thanks.
January 1, 2025 at 11:40
If it is not Nepal or Iran, yes.
January 1, 2025 at 11:44
Thank you, it’s Afghanistan.
January 1, 2025 at 21:17
Hello simon. Hope you are doing well. What is your opinion on 2025AF57k at Nairobi embassy. Thanks
January 1, 2025 at 23:57
I will be posting predictions in a few days.
January 3, 2025 at 20:29
Simon,as you answer this…am case no 48k and am planning to shift to South Africa…from Nairobi embassy….
Whats your advice…
January 4, 2025 at 10:21
No need to make that decision yet. I would see how NRB behaves this next month at least.