I had an interesting question this morning from “Ilyas” who had looked at the DV data provided by Xarthisius. He calculated (correctly) that the file shows 13726 visas have been issued so far. Given that we have had 4.5 months of processing, he speculated that seemed slow progress.
Well – I have been doing this for a number of years and have old data to look back on. So – I decided to compare to data extracts I took in previous years at about this same point. So – below I give the per region numbers for the latest data file we have in DV2018, and below it, the data for February 18, 2015 (DV2015).
My issued number is out by one visa, because I excluded North America region. from both sets of data.
14-Feb-18 | ||||
Region | ISSUED | REFUSED | AP | READY |
AF | 4965 | 1043 | 1287 | 6301 |
EU | 6417 | 537 | 818 | 5420 |
AS | 1743 | 642 | 645 | 1734 |
SA | 377 | 15 | 60 | 323 |
OC | 223 | 30 | 28 | 255 |
Totals | 13725 | 2267 | 2838 | 14033 |
18-Feb-15 | ||||
Region | ISSUED | REFUSED | AP | READY |
AF | 3910 | 397 | 722 | 5255 |
EU | 4467 | 215 | 912 | 4096 |
AS | 2119 | 61 | 888 | 1204 |
SA | 385 | 23 | 62 | 251 |
OC | 227 | 48 | 22 | 181 |
Totals | 11108 | 744 | 2606 | 10987 |
Furthermore, here is the Visa bulletin that covered the same time period (meaning current numbers for interviews in February 2015)
AFRICA | 26,000 | Except: Egypt: 12,000 Ethiopia: 15,500 |
ASIA | 3,825 | |
EUROPE | 20,500 | |
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) | 5 | |
OCEANIA | 775 | |
SOUTH AMERICA, and the CARIBBEAN |
875 |
As we can see there are a few points to note.
- EU region has issued MANY more visas in DV2018 compared to DV2015, despite the fact that the DV2015 VB number was higher. This is because of the dramatically different density that I have described in recent articles.
- Similarly, there have been MORE visas issued in AF region this year compared to the same point in DV2015, and again, the VB number is lower this year than that year.
- Point 1 and 2 show why it is almost USELESS to go back and compare year to year based on VB numbers alone. That is a point I make often but seems hard to understand. Case density (along with other factors) means a number such as 30000 in one year is NOT the same as 30000 in another year.
- Asia pace is behind DV2015. I think that is obviously because of the travel ban impact (mainly Iran).
- SA and OC are roughly the same as DV2015.
- Looking at refused and AP numbers alongside Issued numbers shows that the embassies are very busy.
- Refusals are exceptionally high in AS region (10x higher than DV2015!). I assume this must be travel ban impacted cases – I would be very interested to hear from Iranians in particular as to how the embassies are processing the cases.
- Refusals are also somewhat higher in EU, and AF, but that is probably just in line with the increased number of cases that have been interviewed. Again – this reminds us about density being critical.
- Lastly – there are more cases “ready” in DV2018 than the DV2015 comparison. Again, that is in line with additional cases (density). Those ready cases are generally future interviews, but also cases where the applicant didn’t show up for the interview, or the interview happened but the embassy has not updated CEAC yet.
Now I posted all this information to provide a pulse check to all as well as a response to a specific question. I am seeing “normal” progression at this point in the year, even though the VB numbers are generally lower.
I will be studying the data as usual, and will post updates as I see trends.
February 14, 2018 at 18:58
Thanks for thw tips Mr simon
February 14, 2018 at 19:07
I wanna unlock my ds 260 and add the name of the petitioner who field a petition on my behalf with the uscis and it was denied because lack of evidence can this third unlock cause the delay and the denial of my application my number is Af3267#
February 14, 2018 at 20:01
You can unlock 1078 times.
February 14, 2018 at 19:08
Good job my bro
February 14, 2018 at 19:12
I am very worried and I am 2018af16400 from Egypt. I am in danger
February 14, 2018 at 20:01
Sheesh. Leave the worrying to people with high numbers. Yours is not high.
February 15, 2018 at 04:35
?Thank you for caring
February 14, 2018 at 19:18
Thanks for the analysis and the deep dive you made in the DV data.
One more thing I am interested to see here; what would be the max safe number to have for each region.
February 14, 2018 at 19:59
I have published that in the past – read some of the articles.
February 14, 2018 at 19:20
Thank you Simon!
February 14, 2018 at 19:24
Thank you
February 14, 2018 at 19:25
My number case is safety SA13xx?
February 14, 2018 at 19:58
Yes.
February 15, 2018 at 14:07
Great post! as always!! taking into account that the case numbers for SA is 4995 vs much less in 2015 does a SA 16xx should be safer this year? also looking at your numbers more or less 1/2 of case numbers ready for february are the visas issued at the time
February 15, 2018 at 15:37
Hi, If you check the statistics CEAC in this year only there are 2457 cases,and more than 129 holes, therefore there are not 4995 cases
February 15, 2018 at 17:24
4995 selectees.
February 15, 2018 at 15:44
SA16XX has a better chance this year because of the small increase in quota for SA.
February 15, 2018 at 17:07
Thanks a lot for your comment , let’s hope so!
February 14, 2018 at 19:31
Thank u Simon
In Afghanistan all the DV people.I.know their cases are at administrative process no issue yet, why it is so
February 14, 2018 at 19:58
I would guess enhanced background checks.
February 17, 2018 at 06:23
Dear bro
Can i have your contact information, because i will have an interview soon, and have questions,
Thanks
February 17, 2018 at 08:08
Sure. Wow.Facebook.Com/smash.black
0783467094
February 14, 2018 at 19:39
Hey Brit,
I am from Iran, but I am not sure what to tell you about visa processing. People there had interviews when the bona fida law was still in place- then put on AP for further proof of bona fida relationship. But with that proof, they were still long on AP so when their case was cleared, the bona fida was replaced by total ban. Now, I have heard that all current numbers get 2NL, but just from what I can detect, most people dont go to interview, because of the expenses (medical, immigration fee…). I think the refusal rates must be from the earlier months, when there was still bona fida, because many iraniens have relatives in the states. They went to the interview with that, but then got to AP and than later with total ban, they were refused. Now, there is no one in the forum who will attend the interview (also not me) , because it is just a waste of money. I would think that non-response rate (or “no shows”) for AS region should be high. Me, myself, I will move to Canada instead, with a scholorship from McGill university. I have always had a good oppinion about the USA, but with that president, and especially with that peaople that selected him, my motivation to go to that country shrank. If I wanted to live in a country were woman and majorities are discriminated against, I could stay in Iran.
Anyways, to sum up- Iranians, from what I have heard, dont attend the interview to avoid useless fees.
February 14, 2018 at 19:58
Thanks for that info – it makes total sense. Best of luck.
February 14, 2018 at 19:41
Does this mean that it is early to panic those with bigger CN that it is still possible to increase the number? (Here is Eu 348xx)
February 14, 2018 at 19:56
There are several more months to go – so wait and see is still the best response.
February 14, 2018 at 20:31
Just the fact that more visas were issued, I think makes the high cn number even at more risk.
February 14, 2018 at 20:33
Well to be clear – the idea is to issue visas!
February 14, 2018 at 20:51
Right , right, but what I was thinking is that this year the high cn numbers are at more risk due to high issuance. I would love to think otherwise, but the numbers you just showed us speak for themselves.
February 14, 2018 at 21:02
No – the numbers do not show high issuance *per case*. They show good progress has been made. It does not mean visas are being issued at a higher rate per case than previous years. My data did not include that analysis.
February 14, 2018 at 20:39
I do not think the same we will see how will be progress maybe the density will be less in the higher numbers
February 14, 2018 at 19:43
hi brit firstly thank u for ur help. my question is that when can i apply for my green card itsbefore or after inter in united state
February 14, 2018 at 19:54
As you enter the airport you are “inspected” and hand over the envelope from the embassy. That is how they process your GC.
February 14, 2018 at 20:18
means i dont have to apply now befor entry
February 14, 2018 at 19:44
Sorry, is it “hopeful” as Ilyas said?
February 14, 2018 at 19:55
He said it was hopeful because not many visas were issued. I pointed out MORE visas are issued than the same point in DV2015. That is clear – right?
February 14, 2018 at 20:12
What was the final number of issued visas at the end of the lottery in 2015 ? Do you have that information ?
February 14, 2018 at 20:14
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2017AnnualReport/FY17AnnualReport-TableVII.pdf
February 14, 2018 at 20:49
The same as every year 50000 with 1000-2000 fewer maybe
February 14, 2018 at 20:05
HI Mr. Simon my case number is AF21550 from Egypt is this safe number or high
Have i interview ?
February 14, 2018 at 20:05
Patience.
February 14, 2018 at 20:12
hello, brit Are 2018 looks like 2015?
February 14, 2018 at 20:14
The 201 is the same but the 5 is different from the 8.
February 14, 2018 at 20:20
LOL …I’m sorry. I mean 2015 and 2018. Will the last number be 50,000 for Africa
February 14, 2018 at 20:21
Wait and see.
February 14, 2018 at 20:22
Mr. Brit.
Based on new data, is it As12000 safer than before? Or still same prsentage of un certainty
February 14, 2018 at 20:26
Still wait and see.
February 14, 2018 at 20:41
im still wondering if you actually were to bring up agent involvement again looking at the progress now
February 14, 2018 at 21:04
I haven’t looked at success rate etc.
February 14, 2018 at 21:26
when will we have enough data to look into that?
February 14, 2018 at 21:49
It’s ongoing. You are looking for a black and white number. Mid July we will have that. Until then we find out more and more in small pieces.
February 15, 2018 at 14:34
andis there a new “small piece” that we have found out since last month?
February 15, 2018 at 15:49
I explain everything I know.
February 14, 2018 at 21:38
Rxy just take a look at Ukraine and Uzbekistan… You can see that success rate is low compared to other countries. Lets hope some people don’t want to follow their opportunity and don’t think for agents.
I have a question for anyone who could explain this…
I have seen and Uzbekistan numbers and there is a gap between EU105xx … to … EU122xx and it looks very interesting. It makes me wander that some series of numbers has been DISQUALIFIED for some reason!
What can we say about it????
February 14, 2018 at 21:48
Uzbekistan was the first cutoff. The 122XX number was problem someone charging to another country.
February 14, 2018 at 22:00
What do you mean with this? Did you have any article that explains these cutoff? I thought there is only one cutoff when some country reaches the 7% rule. Till now there are about 800 cases scheduled and the numbers of selectees are about 4500!
February 14, 2018 at 22:09
Countries are limited during the draw. I have explained that many times.
February 15, 2018 at 09:03
I think i understand now so i calculated Uzbekistan cases and it shows that in 852 cases are 2220 people.
So 4494 – 2220 = 2274 people are not listed yet.
Does that mean they doesn’t fill their ds260 yet?
If yes do you think they will be ready later?
“The 122XX number was problem someone charging to another country.” Does this mean that someone from another country chooses to be interviewed in Tashkent.
February 15, 2018 at 15:11
Cases may be interviewed later.
For 2, yes.
February 15, 2018 at 14:35
Ukraine and Uzbekistan always had higher refusal rates than other EU counties-that is nothing new and most certainly already included in the math
February 15, 2018 at 15:49
Uzbekistan does not normally have a high refusal rate.
February 14, 2018 at 20:45
I noticed that Mr. … that in the last 3 months it has been increased by the same number 3400. Does it mean it will stop at 38000. Because I collected the number 3400 in the next 5 months + 21100
February 14, 2018 at 21:03
It does not work that way.
February 14, 2018 at 21:04
No, starting from 24000 the holes percentage will go up to 50%. right now we’re at 18%.
February 14, 2018 at 21:22
Hi Brit,
Thank you so much that you spend countless hours in helping others with their DV issues. You are truly the best resource I found when it comes to DV related matters.
My case number is EU23XXX. I always was and still am pretty sure that my case number will be ready for an interview in June. You explained in some of your posts why the VB numbers should increase faster in the next months.
We are from Austria but we live in the US. At first, we thought we adjust status here. But, because we wanted to go back to Austria to see family and friends and because it is way cheaper to go through consular processing, we decided to have our interview in Vienna, Austria.
I have a couple of questions:
1. Do you agree with me that my number will be ready for an interview in June?
2. Do you think three weeks is enough time to get the medical exams done, go to the interview, and receive the passports with the visas in the mail before returning to the US?
February 14, 2018 at 21:51
1. That is the best case scenario.
2. Tight timeline. Check with the physician to see how long they need.
February 14, 2018 at 22:05
Thanks for your answers.
Regarding question 2: Physician needs five days.
So, I thought that we will schedule an appointment with the physician (1 week before interview) as soon as we find out the day of the interview. The passports with the visas should arrive within a week after the interview (the last time we applied for our visas in Austria, they arrived within 3 days). This is why I thought three weeks should be enough time.
February 14, 2018 at 22:11
It might be OK, but there is little time for slip ups.
February 14, 2018 at 22:29
You are right. No time for slip ups.
One more question regarding your answer to question 1. You said, “That is the best case scenario.” In your post “Interview capacity and Visa Bulletin pace” you wrote that you expected between 17000 and 17500 for April interviews. We know it is way lower at 15950. And I was disappointed, too. But, you also said that you expect between 21500 and 22000 for May which is 4500 more than April. Let’s apply that to the 15950 for April. That would bring us to 20450 for May. So, for June we would only need less than 3000 more to actually reach my number because my number is in the low 23XXX. Or do you expect a slower pace for April and May?
February 14, 2018 at 22:50
We will know more when we see the 2NLs for April interviews. My assumption is that they reduced interviews, so the question is whether that carries on for June also, or whether it is a new, lower, level. Ignore case numbers, consider real cases. I expected a minimum of 1800 case numbers to be made current for April. They actually made around 1200 current. There are 3432 cases between 15950 and 23000. So – two months of progress like last month would not see you current. Two months like the month before, would. Really – as ever – “wait and see”.
February 14, 2018 at 23:06
Brit, thank you so much again for your help!
February 14, 2018 at 22:14
Wow, so you think it can’t speed up more than that… !
February 14, 2018 at 22:21
What?? Please think about what you are saying!
The gap between 15950 (April interviews) and 23000 is over 7000 case numbers (about 3432 cases). That isn’t going to happen in May is it? Therefore, June is the “best case scenario”. Really – that doesn’t deserve a “Wow”, does it?
February 14, 2018 at 22:30
June is so close already…
February 14, 2018 at 22:51
The calendar is the same every year apart from leap years.
February 15, 2018 at 13:56
How do you know this information that there are 3432 cases between that CNs?
February 15, 2018 at 15:43
The CEAC data.
February 15, 2018 at 17:42
As I have around the same case number, I have read your comments on this thread. You last comments elegantly remove some dust that was covering dv progression in my head. Thank you again Brit, you pointed out well about actual case numbers that has to be considered.
February 14, 2018 at 21:41
The incomparable cannot be compared. 2018 + trump 2015 + obama
February 14, 2018 at 21:47
Huh?
February 14, 2018 at 21:50
any chance? SA***22XX
February 14, 2018 at 21:53
Risky.
February 14, 2018 at 22:00
Do you have density chart for DV2015 and how many selectees were announced for that year?
February 14, 2018 at 22:10
Have you tried searching?
February 14, 2018 at 23:12
Dear Simon
from above data and your old articles about that the rate between visa bulletin for every month will the same around 2000 especially in Egypt (2350-4300-6300-8300-10400-12400-14500)
we can predict that will no jump in the upcoming months and density is very high till 22000 in Africa so Cut off will be around 22000 to 24000
February 14, 2018 at 23:21
Hello Brit. We are in middle February and no visas for cuba. I read an article about what they have to do to go to Bogotá for a visa.
Do you think that that phenomenum could affect to increase cutoff numbers?
Thanks
February 14, 2018 at 23:32
Maybe.
February 14, 2018 at 23:47
Chance for SA184X ???
February 15, 2018 at 00:21
Wait and see
February 15, 2018 at 01:49
Any chance?? OC13**
February 15, 2018 at 04:38
As I have explained before – safe.
February 15, 2018 at 04:21
hi dear
is there any chance for AS11000?
will i get 2nl in june?
February 15, 2018 at 04:36
Wait and see…
February 15, 2018 at 04:58
Hi Brit,
I know u mentioned that OC 2018 is running similar to OC 2015. What are the chances of OC 2018 reaching OC17xx since 2015 was up to 1490.
I am extremely nervous.
Thank you!
February 15, 2018 at 05:56
Slim to none.
February 15, 2018 at 05:25
I would say that the differences (lower number of issued visas for higher cut off number) are not only related to density but also to the processing method of DS-260s.
February 15, 2018 at 05:56
Yes that’s true to some extent.
February 15, 2018 at 05:48
Hi BritSimon, what do you think about EU33XXX? I must be calm?
February 15, 2018 at 05:56
You must wait.
February 15, 2018 at 06:02
Dear Brit, would you update your safe number expectations. I know this year brought lots of surprises but nobody have more reliable opinion than you. Indeed almost every question aims to get an opinion whether he-she is safe or not.. if possible may you please share your expectations-updates (although with a big disclaimer).
February 15, 2018 at 06:09
I have done that just a couple of weeks ago.
February 15, 2018 at 07:12
Thanks Simon. This is an interesting synopsis. Although your comparison would be somewhat complete if we know the number of cases (or densities) below and above the current numbers i.e 21100 for Dv-2018 and 26000 for DV-2015 to the final cut-offs 50k dv2015 and hypothetical 46k dv2018 . But so far Africa is doing good I have to admit , both for issued and refused.
One other thing about your “gallons ” analogy to VB progress; if KCC realises they are running out of time to pour out water, will they decide to pour out faster or maintain the same embassy capacity especially in the final months of VB ,knowing many people would never clear AP in time.
February 15, 2018 at 14:54
Yes I will add the case count if I get time.
About pouring water fast. That inevitably makes a mess, and we have seen KCC try that BUT we have also seen them undershoot the quota because their pace meant there wasn’t enough time to fill the bucket. So – I don’t know. The next couple of VBs are crucial.
February 15, 2018 at 07:14
Hello Brit. Do you keep your EU forecast: 33000-37000? Or is it much worse? Thank you. (EU30***)
February 15, 2018 at 14:54
No change at this point.
February 15, 2018 at 07:23
Hello Brit,
on of your previous posts, you guess it would be 16K until April interviews and then VB will increase by 5K. Is your thesis still valid ?
thanks again
February 15, 2018 at 14:56
Although we are within 50 of where I expected, the last VB was a surprise to the downside. So – we have to see the next VB or two to know if that was a temporary blip, or whether the pace is just going to be slower.
February 15, 2018 at 08:00
And another question: Did i correctly understand that to CN EU15000 will be issued approximately 12,000 visas from 18300 possible? Thanks.
February 15, 2018 at 15:02
I have no idea where you got that idea.
February 15, 2018 at 08:54
Hi Mr.simon
Thanks for the hard work you always do for us.
Now In Asia due to the ban of Iran, Syria and other countries, that will make the process faster in the next few months and make more visa number available am I right?.
If I’m right that mean the higher number in Asia will have more chances because my number is 11*** but my problem is I need to do AOS, so what’s the best time in your opinion to prepare my package and send it to USCIS ?.
Appreciate your help.
February 15, 2018 at 15:10
As I have said many times, I cannot be certain the travel ban will stay in place OR how it will affect AS processing. Wait and see.
February 15, 2018 at 15:20
Good morning Mr.Brit
I saw comments says many of Iranian people won’t go to the interview and pay the fees that’s why I asked you just to know what’s your opinion about the visa numbers and the process and I’m not from a ban country
February 16, 2018 at 10:03
Hi Ali,
I have the similar case number as yours from Japan.
Obviously, Simon cannot answer such questions which is in certain.
In this case, there’s no data on how many Iranians or people from banned countries are going to attend the interviews. It’s really up to the people. There’s no official announcement whether ban will be revoked or kept in place and how it is going to affect DV lottery.
This is my personal opinion so don’t take this seriously, but if the ban is kept in place and all the Iranian/Syrian AP cases get refusal, I would say for Asia, 11000 is pretty safe if all case numbers in Asia got current. If AP is slowing down embassy interview capacity, then I would expect 11000 to be current around August or September. Again, this is just my personal assumption.. but I think with the current situations, there are enough visas for all Asia because of the travel ban but we have no idea whether process is gonna slow down nor future of travel ban.
February 16, 2018 at 10:41
Hi Kento
No, Mr.brit if he doesn’t know the answer he will said wait and see but I think he is busy, he is a very helpful man.
Maybe you are right I think Asia will be current at June it’s my opinion if it will continue in this slow rhythm with high refus rate.
February 16, 2018 at 15:02
I say wait and see because we don’t know whether the travel ban will stay, OR whether the unused visas from banned cased will be reallocated fast enough.
February 16, 2018 at 10:13
And again, my personal opinion but if there’s more refusal for banned countries, I’m sure a lot of people won’t even attend interviews which involves USD600 cost just to give it a shot thinking GDP per capita of banned countries, which sound not cost beneficial to commit a financial risk.
February 15, 2018 at 10:16
good morning
please does 9 years of being a PVC EXTRUTION OPERATOR and a CRANE OPERATOR qualify me for the job experince?
February 15, 2018 at 15:13
No
February 15, 2018 at 10:23
Greetings. I just checked Addis Ababa for visa issuance: how is it possible that some visas are issued in the 11k_12k region and no visas issued in the 10k to 11k region with 40 cases in AP in the later. thank you.
February 15, 2018 at 15:13
What is odd about that?
February 16, 2018 at 00:59
ok. let me just guess by chance all ds260 from 10 _11k took longer to process and all the cases needed more background checks!
February 16, 2018 at 06:39
Oh good grief.
January interviews for Ethiopia only included numbers up to 9200. Other cases from AF could have been heard at Addis, but not in high volume. It’s not rocket science.
February 15, 2018 at 10:29
Hi Simon, do you have a guess as to why they have made only 1200 actual cases current rather than the expected 1800? I have seen in the data file that there are 1174 people before us and I am wondering if they will stick to that 1200 for next time or will go even lower, this is the reason I am asking. Is it because some embassies have disproportionately more cases to interview than others? Thank you.
February 15, 2018 at 15:16
I don’t know for sure – but with only 1174 cases, you don’t really need to worry. Wait and see.
February 15, 2018 at 10:44
Thank you Brit for answering the Q clearly also Thank you for made me famous LOL.
February 15, 2018 at 15:17
🙂
February 15, 2018 at 12:09
Hi everyone this is the distribution of ready cases for EU, 10700 to 13800. as you can see we have 80 % of all cases divided by 10 countries. Maybe they are slowing down the process a bit. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OEoeQqBen2ECn2Ss9UXv6ycl8TBhLowIViRxJ-QHuME/edit#gid=735570460
February 15, 2018 at 12:32
mr simon
Q1: is the refuse rate in egypt is “normal” like previous year??
Q2: is the chance of acceptable in egypt is high this year ??
February 15, 2018 at 15:40
1. Yes
2. Normal.
February 15, 2018 at 12:34
Hi Im worry with my number that us EU201833xxx . What do you think with new information ?
February 15, 2018 at 15:41
Wait and see.
February 15, 2018 at 14:12
Hi Simon, we have the EU29xxx. We fly at the beginning of May already in the states and wanted to fly back by the interview appointment to Germany. We have 90 days of ESTA (visas Waver programme). Now we have the doubt which takes place the appointment later. We would have to apply therefore for not immigration visas for 180 days. Could such a visa be injuriously for the DV 2018?
Thanks
February 15, 2018 at 15:46
I have no idea of your question.
February 15, 2018 at 17:06
What are the Chances for SA146x …..
February 15, 2018 at 17:21
https://britsimonsays.com/dv2018-selectee-numbers-published/
February 15, 2018 at 17:23
I understand that and have read than some time or the Other but i was wondering after 6 months if your view on that remains the same …..
February 15, 2018 at 17:32
Nothing changed.
February 15, 2018 at 18:35
Hi Sir with the addition country added to SA will the quota increase in a previous post I saw that u mention that the quota was 1500.
Do u thing it possibility that the person’s in early 16xx may stand a chance give that the increase the quota.
February 15, 2018 at 18:52
Yes – the quota is not directly the same as the case numbers.
February 15, 2018 at 19:08
Thank you yes I know they are different. I was referring to if persons with cn in early 16xx will be able to get an interview as a result of the increase in visa available.
February 15, 2018 at 20:18
Dear Brit. Do we know the derivative rate of eu? Is that number very high compared to previous years? I couldnt find, sorry if u explained already.
February 15, 2018 at 21:05
2.25 for now, approximately
February 15, 2018 at 20:45
Thank you a lot Sir. It’s amazing, what you are doing for us, especially those of us with high numbers from all regions.
Just like king, I had a dream my AF467** will go current. Lol
February 16, 2018 at 16:29
I am around the same range Nibs,from which country are u from? I am from Cameroon, maybe we could get in contact and talk more encouragement to one another . email me at [email protected]
February 15, 2018 at 21:12
Good day Simon. Hope you are well. I will not bother you with a questions am i save or not – time will show. But please, tell me one thing, i am confused – near 15k visas is already issued from the 50k visas over all. Why there could be a any visa shortage in this procces? We are in the middle, density will decrease soon, why it should not mean, that there is enough visas for everyone? Sorry in advance, if i missed something important, and ask another one stupid qestion. Thank you for your time.
February 15, 2018 at 21:27
The processing to get to the 15k has only been 4.5 months of the 12 full months – and the process always starts slow.
February 16, 2018 at 15:35
Hello again. I have read charts for previos years more attentive, and there is always about 20k visas for europe over all. Now 15k visas is already issued, and i can’t understand, how it is possible to spread the rest 5k for half of year 🙁 If it is matter of density, so it should decrease dramaticly. I was pretty confident and calm before, but now i am become worry. Did i missed something in this process? I thought i understand it…
February 16, 2018 at 17:56
Europe has 18300 quotas and 6.4k has been issued yet. it means we still have the 12k quotas
February 16, 2018 at 15:42
Oh my! Not 15k, just 5k! I am sorry, Brit! Everything clear now.
February 16, 2018 at 17:51
I guess most selectees for 2018 have already submitted their forms until Feb. but in the previous years, i am assuming people who had lower cases number were waiting for the late interview.You says process always starts slow but i don’t think so its not going to get as fast as previous years.
February 16, 2018 at 18:39
Please understand I know what I am talking about. If you “don’t think so”, it is probably simply that you don’t understand as much as I do.
The process starts slow because of several factors:
October involves cleanup of prior year cases.
Thanksgiving, Christmas and New Year breaks reduce available time.
In the early months, cases are starting AP – but none are resolving. Then later, monthly issued numbers include cleared AP cases as well as fresh interviews.
February 17, 2018 at 02:17
I am not telling you I do understand as much as you.You are the king of DV process, good for you.i am trying to do my best to explain myself. English is not my first language like most people here.You should be more polite. I did not blame you for anything nor tell anything bad for you. I am just trying to understand for making a plan for future.if it’s too hard to explain I am sorry, I am not going to ask you any more
you did not have to snap at me like that.
I wish the best for everyone who really wants to get Green Card here.
Regards
February 17, 2018 at 06:35
Believe me. That isn’t snapping at you. But don’t tell me to be more polite.