{"id":3416,"date":"2022-12-04T11:37:17","date_gmt":"2022-12-04T17:37:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/britsimonsays.com\/?p=3416"},"modified":"2022-12-04T14:02:45","modified_gmt":"2022-12-04T20:02:45","slug":"dv-2023-basic-questions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/britsimonsays.com\/dv-2023-basic-questions\/","title":{"rendered":"DV-2023 Basic questions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
We will have many DV2023 selectees with very basic questions. Let me try and address the most frequent ones here in the hope that people will read this. If you ask a question and I give you a link to this page, it is to indicate that your question can be answered by reading this page and using some common sense. Please use the links in the title at the top of this page for Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)<\/a> and the DV lottery guide<\/a>. There is LOTS of information available on my site \u2013 so a look through the FAQ and guide will take care of most questions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Please read the ground rules at the bottom of this page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Here are two links to help those still not able to check their entry: And here is a video to explain how to check your entry result<\/a>. This one with tips about submitting the DS260<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n And for those that cannot submit their DS260. Is there a deadline to submit my DS260?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n There is no official deadline to submit your DS260. People will continue to submit DS260s for DV2023 cases well into 2023. Submissions as late as April, May or perhaps (but more riskily) even June of next year will still get processed in time. Now – submitting as early as you can without rushing and making mistakes is always the “normal” advice, unless you want to delay your interview date for some reason (which does apply to some people).<\/p>\n\n\n\n How long does it take to process the DS260?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The actual processing time of the DS260 is quite short \u2013 probably 3 to 4 weeks, but since KCC are flooded with DS260s in May and June, there is a backlog that builds up meaning you will wait for them to even start processing your DS260. That backlog should be mostly removed by January or February at the latest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Does every DS260 take the same time to process?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n No. There is some background checks required on each case that vary according to the situation of the selectees. The precise details of the checks are not published, but we can guess they are mainly about ensuring security of the USA. That means they communicate with agencies and foreign governments about the details you provide on the DS260. Some countries co-operate with the USA, some don\u2019t. In countries that don\u2019t co-operate you can expect DS260 will take longer. So, some cases are very simple, and some not so simple. If a selectee was raised in Western Europe, works in an office and has never travelled to certain high risk countries we can expect the DS260 processing (once the case is ACTUALLY processed, not queued) to be quick. If on the other hand someone has travel history around certain countries in the Middle East or lists their work as \u201cNuclear weapons specialist\u201d, well they can expect the US government to take longer over those checks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So \u2013 never assume that all DS260s submitted on the same day will complete processing on the same day. There will be variations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When will I be interviewed?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Interview timing is mainly based on your case number, and where that number is ranked within each region. If you submitted your DS260 early, but have a high case number within your region, you will wait until that case number is ready to be interviewed. So \u2013 if you are case number 10000 in AS region for example you can expect a long wait before being interviewed. However regions have their own numbering, SO that same number in AF region (where the highest case number could be a lot higher) that 10000 number would be very low. So \u201clow or high\u201d number is relative within the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When will interviews start and how will I be told of my interview date?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n No DV2023 interviews will happen before October 2022. DV2023 interviews will continue until September 30th 2023. So stop packing your bags. It\u2019s a long process. Interview scheduled are notified in monthly batches about 6 weeks before the interview month. The notification for an interview is called the 2NL (an email telling you to check the ESC page).<\/p>\n\n\n\n When will KCC send the first 2NLs?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The first 2NLs (the interview notification) for DV2023 will go out in mid\/late August. That will be for cases that have been processed AND are current for October, AND have submitted their documents. Then 2NLs will come in a monthly schedule, also late in each month. So \u2013 late in September for November interviews and so on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When are the visa bulletins published? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The visa bulletins are published around the 8th to the 15th of each month. It can be a little earlier or later, so don’t get worked up if it hasn’t arrived on the 15th.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cMy case number is XXXX when will I be scheduled?\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Oh man. These questions are tiring. I really expect people to use some thought process about this, and if you can\u2019t do that, then asking me to think for you is not going to be warmly welcomed by me. I have made available more than enough information to get an idea of how scheduling works, but remember, cases are scheduled according to ALL<\/strong> the following three things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n How do KCC schedule the cases?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Roughly speaking all interviews are spread out over the year, starting in October and ending the following September. KCC release numbers via the visa bulletin to say which case numbers can be interviewed. Check out this article to understand how to read the visa bulletin<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n KCC will increase the number made current on each region at a pace that ensures they have enough interviews to match the embassy capacity during each month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So \u2013 to take an example. If OC had a highest case number of 1000, we could roughly expect to see that number increase by 100 each month. It might be 75 one month and 125 the next, but you get the general idea \u2013 it is a slow progression over the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n Should I unlock my DS260 or will that cause a delay?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Unlocking generally causes no delay to DV2023 cases. It is far more important to have an accurate DS260 than be worried about a delay, but unfortunately some inexperienced lawyers have misunderstood the process and comments made by government officials to give an impression that unlocking should be avoided. They are quite clearly incorrect. We have many people that have unlocked DV2023 cases and have been fully processed. So – if you need to unlock, do so. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Will there be a second draw?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n In some years it is possible that there would be a small second draw around September\/October. We don\u2019t know how likely that is for DV2023 yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Selectees, cases and case numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n OK \u2013 so there is some confusion about this \u2013 so let me cover it here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When the selectee numbers are published (in the July or August visa bulletin there is a number shown for each country within each region. That number is the number of *selectees \u2013 INCLUDING derivatives*. So \u2013 if a winner was single, that is one selectee on one case number. If the winner was married and had one child, that would count as three selectees. The global quota of visas is ~55,000, so if the three person family were to be approved, that is 3 out of 55,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Each winner gets a case number. The derivatives are on that same case number. Each region has it\u2019s on set of case numbers \u2013 so there can be an AF1, AF2, AS1, AS2, EU1 and EU2 ands so on. So when you tell me your case number is case number 12345 \u2013 it is meaningless. I need the year and region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As I explain in this post about holes theory<\/a> \u2013 the case numbers assigned have \u201choles\u201d (or gaps between them). So \u2013 case number 2023EU20000 does NOT have 19999 cases in front of them. The number will be less. However, there may be less case numbers \u2013 but each case has the selectee and derivatives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To understand your \u201cplace in the line\u201d, you have to understand the density of cases, number of derivatives on each case, how many cases will respond, how many will be approved and so on. There is a lot to understand. I wrote a series of articles a couple of years ago \u2013 and all can be understood by reading those \u2013 start with density analysis<\/a>, and use the links at the bottom of that article to get to the others. The analysis was specific to DV2016 \u2013 but the principles are the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first few months of the new program year we don\u2019t have much data. In January we get access to the CEAC data and then we will understand a lot more. The CEAC data is all the case status info for every case \u2013 but again we will not have DV2020 CEAC data until January 2023. In the meantime, you can see excellent visualizations of the DV2018 and 2019 data at the site maintained by a smart guy call Xarthisius<\/a>. The site illustrates well the density, response rate and so on, which are things you will hear me explain (and can read about on my site).<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the published information, there are almost 55,000 visas available globally. However, the visas are allocated through a quota system to each region. They are NOT allocated by country. However, no one country can receive more than 7% of the global allocation. \u2013 so regions have an allocation of the 55,000 global quota. This is explained in more detail here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Can DV2021 be stopped by Trump\/Republicans\/Aliens?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This was fully detailed in this post from August 2017<\/a>. Since then, Trump and the Republicans have continued to achieve almost nothing, and there has been no credible progress toward immigration law changes. Please read that article, and don\u2019t ask me the same questions again until an actual real law is passed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I don\u2019t work for the government, I don\u2019t get paid for this. I work for a living and I sleep sometimes. So \u2013 I expect people to respect my time. That means the following \u201crules\u201d exist on my site.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We will have many DV2023 selectees with very basic questions. Let me try and address the most frequent ones here in the hope that people will read this. If you ask a question and I give you a link to… Continue Reading →<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n
https:\/\/britsimonsays.com\/faq\/checking-esc-page-check-without-mistakes\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n
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https:\/\/britsimonsays.com\/faq\/ds260-case-number-doesnt-match-case-number\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\nNow \u2013 some questions.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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More information about the bad advice to not unlock is here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\nHow many visas can be issued for DV2023?<\/strong> How about XXX country?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
GROUND RULES for BritSimonSays.com<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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