I’ve gathered the Historical Visa Bulletin Numbers from various sources for a few years to give an idea of progression in previous years and I will maintain these numbers as future Visa Bulletins are released.
Knowing visa bulletin progression is sometimes a useful reference, and is certainly interesting. To use the data, click the tab for the region you are interested in and check the cutoff number for the month.
There may be some similarities with number progress from year to year, but there may not. So – don’t rely on these numbers as a predictive guide for this year. One thing that confuses people is that the selected numbers vary each year depending on entries and other factors. For instance, certain countries in the past have had huge entry numbers and once those countries are excluded from the lottery the range of numbers selected changes from one year to the next. That was the case in 2014 to 2015 in AF region when Nigeria was excluded, or in Asia in 2012 to 2013 when Bangladesh was excluded.
To understand how to read the Visa Bulletin works and can be read – please check out this article.
What does CURRENT mean? That is published when KCC believes that there are enough visas for all remaining demand. All case numbers can then be interviewed.
If you prefer a direct link to the data you can see that here.
March 24, 2015 at 05:28
Hi Simon,
Based on the low number of 30700 for Africa for May, do you think that it will get to 71 000? (My wife’s no. is 70xxx). I read your blog post where you estimated between 68000-72000 a while ago and was wondering what your thoughts were now, seeing as there was only a 2000 change between April and May….
I also thought that high no. individuals had a better chance with Nigeria being out this
year, but now it seems like almost no chance of an interview with a no. of 70xxx.
Please could you let me know your thoughts.
Thank-you.
April 4, 2015 at 10:33
Hi jpadminer
hope this reply find you well
this is milanalo from Africa ,and my CN same to your wife.am little bit confuse about my chance so am great full if you support me about that.
may you get answer from Simon.
kind regard.
Milanalo.
April 6, 2015 at 00:03
AF70XXX has a small chance still – we won’t be sure for a while – you just have to wait and see…. good luck.
March 30, 2015 at 16:55
I have a feeling that it will be current this year for Asia like in 2007 .. and some other regions maybe
What do you think !?
March 30, 2015 at 16:57
That feeling ignores facts and logic.
April 15, 2015 at 05:57
Ni Britsimon, looking at the numbers, i think TVE cutoff for SA will be 1400, what do think? Regards.
April 15, 2015 at 06:54
That would be surprisingly low.
April 23, 2015 at 10:54
Hello, What does ‘current’ means ? and what do u think what are the chances for EU 2015 39***? thanks in advance
April 23, 2015 at 13:53
A region can go current if there are enough visas for remaining demand. Or a person is current when their case number is less than the number on the VB – and therefor they can be interviewed.
You have a good chance.
April 23, 2015 at 18:38
Thanks a lot BritSimon
May 1, 2015 at 21:05
767** what you think sir?
May 1, 2015 at 23:17
That is a risky range – at this point it is unlikely to get current – but you obviously have to wait and see…
May 1, 2015 at 23:48
Thank you sir…We will wait
May 5, 2015 at 10:19
Dear Sir,
do you think AS90xx is perfectly safe as of now, based on the VB progress we have seen so far?
May 5, 2015 at 13:51
As long as it is not Nepal, then yes.
December 3, 2015 at 10:36
My number is AS 91XX DO U THINK THAT I WILL GET A CHANCE FOR INTERVIEW
December 3, 2015 at 15:06
I dont know for sure.
May 7, 2015 at 14:06
Do you think AF55XXX is safe based on the poor VB we have seen for the past months?
May 7, 2015 at 19:18
Yes.
May 9, 2015 at 13:26
Thanks Mr BritSimon.
May 8, 2015 at 09:30
Hello Simon!
My number is AS…40xx and I am from Nepal.
What are my chances of getting visa please?
Thanks.
May 8, 2015 at 14:11
Please quote your year because you could now be DV2016 or DV2015. If you are DV2015 you are already current, if you are DV2016 your chance is very good but we will know more later.
May 8, 2015 at 17:54
Thank you so much Simon for the answer and mine is DV2016 , so i have a very good chance and very happy to know that. I have one more question please. So, now my next step is to carefully fill up DS260 form and submit it online and then wait for 2NL. Is it correct?
May 8, 2015 at 20:28
Yes correct.
June 26, 2015 at 17:58
Hi Peter- I am also from Nepal and in dv2016. Let us connect at [email protected]
May 8, 2015 at 17:02
My case number is AF 68xxx i have a chances?
May 8, 2015 at 20:31
Some chance still yes…. good luck!
May 8, 2015 at 22:41
I have big case number AF84xxx is that big number can make me have not an interview appointment
May 9, 2015 at 00:47
No – that number is too high to be interviewed.
May 9, 2015 at 08:25
Hi BritSimon!
My number is 2016,,,41xx. How safe is this number? Is it totally safe, quite safe or risky.
I would also like to know if I submit DS260 now, then when can I expect my 2NL and interview.
Please ?
Thanks
May 9, 2015 at 21:08
Totally safe, early 2016 interview.
May 9, 2015 at 21:52
Hi BritSimon!
It is for Asia , Nepal. Still it is totally safe?
AS2016,,,,41xx.
Thank you
May 10, 2015 at 06:10
yes
May 9, 2015 at 08:27
sorry i forgot to mention my region and country.
So, here it is in details: 2016AS,,,, 41xx(Nepal)
May 9, 2015 at 11:26
Hi Simon i won the DV 2016? i have a AF417xx number, is it good?
May 9, 2015 at 21:00
Yes.
May 9, 2015 at 17:48
Do you think AF605XX is safe based on the poor VB we have seen for the past months?
May 9, 2015 at 20:33
Good only a small risk.
May 9, 2015 at 21:47
Bro Im Graphic designer and I have experience more than four years and in DS 260 section Work and education, there is a question says = Does this job require at least 2 years of training or experience? I don’t know I put yes or no
May 10, 2015 at 06:12
Put yes, but make sure you understand how you need to qualify
Read this
https://britsimonsays.com/education-or-work-experience-qualifying-for-the-dv-lottery/
May 9, 2015 at 22:04
Hi Simon!
First let me thank you for this great blog.
I was very surprised yesterday when I find out that I have been selected.
Now I don’t want to get too exited cause I don’t have the visa in my passport yet..so Im gonna try and pretend this is nothing and keep on living like usual 🙂
Anyways, I’m case 2016EU00010XXX which I belive is a low number.
My questionis: “what’s next?”
I filled in my DS260 and sent it straight away yesterday.
I checked the VB of previous years so if I understood correctly I should expect to receive 2nd letter telling me itv date around december/january 2016? Am I correct?
If not can you please provide me with your estimated timeline from now untill I get ( God’s willing ) a visa?
Thanks a lot!
May 10, 2015 at 06:10
You have the right approx. timeline – now all you do is wait!
May 10, 2015 at 07:42
Thank you!!!
May 11, 2015 at 07:32
Dear Simon,
Thanks for your website.
I winner 2016 US Lottery. I filled my DS-260 form on 9May online.My case number is :2016AS 62xx
When my interview maybe ok ? which month?
Thanks again
May 11, 2015 at 14:09
Probably interview about June or July 2016.
May 11, 2015 at 16:11
Thanks Simon for your reply,
So, do i have any chance for my visa becasue of my higher case number.
Because, I see some site that if case number is high, have very little chance to get my visa?
What do you think about this? is it true or not? I have a lot of stress.
Thanks again.
May 11, 2015 at 17:25
THey have only selected 84000 winners – compared to 125000 in DV2015. That means there should be no issues for DV2016 selectees. Relax.
May 11, 2015 at 18:06
Dear simon,
Like before, i trust you.thanks again for your reply.Take care.
May 11, 2015 at 18:12
hello every body and thanks to simon for this website
i am winner for dv 2016 with number AF000011xxx from algeria
me and my husband if we fill ds260 in june when aproximatively we got the inteview ? thx
May 11, 2015 at 18:17
November/December
May 11, 2015 at 18:33
Hi Simon,
So when you say “THey have only selected 84000 winners – compared to 125000 in DV2015. That means there should be no issues for DV2016 selectees.” if this holds true for 2015 and 2016 so don’t you think that it should be true for 2014 and 2015 too? meaning since they selected less number in 2015 (125000) compared to 2014 (145000) so we should see that the final cut-off number going at least as much as 2014 or even more and high CN should be less risky than 2014?
Another question, do have any news on Iran APs? are they going to have the same pace of 2014? are they clearing sooner?
Thanks Simon,
Amer
May 11, 2015 at 19:32
No the same cannot be applied from 2015 to 2014.
IN years prior to DV2014 the selectees number was always around 100k. THe 140 was completely absurd – and the 125 is almost absurd. If you have a bucket that takes 10 gallons and you try and pout 14 gallons into it or 12.5 gallons into it – either way you end up with wet feet.
Now, if it normally takes 10 gallons and you pour 8.4 gallons into it you are probably going to do better….
May 12, 2015 at 02:33
Thank you, what about my second question about Iran especially after today’s VB? Do you have a cut off number in Mind for Asia?
May 11, 2015 at 22:58
Hi Simon,
any chances for 2015EU39754? The cut off is now 35700…Thanks
May 12, 2015 at 00:15
Still a chance, yes.
May 12, 2015 at 06:09
704** what you think sir?
May 12, 2015 at 13:12
Not looking good is it…
May 12, 2015 at 06:16
Hi Simom
What do you tthink end cut off about the africa
May 12, 2015 at 13:13
I had hoped it would at least reach 60000 – now I have some doubt about that…
May 12, 2015 at 07:46
hei britsimon why this dv 2015 working slowly which problems there are then,it is any chance tobe current in africa
May 12, 2015 at 13:47
No chance to be current.
May 12, 2015 at 15:47
My CN is 52xxx will get a chance to be current?
May 12, 2015 at 19:16
I think so yes.
May 18, 2015 at 14:35
Hello, BritSimon,
Just stumbled into your blog by chance; I know i’m a little late here but my CN is AF54xxx for DV 2015. Do i stand a chance? Thank u so much.
May 18, 2015 at 15:24
Yes you have a chance still – https://britsimonsays.com/africa-estimate-update/
May 13, 2015 at 02:14
My CN is AF000009xxx from egypt is that safe ? And if it is when should i expect my interview
May 13, 2015 at 05:06
Yes safe. Maybe around January…
May 13, 2015 at 12:00
Thanks alot your help is much appreciated
May 13, 2015 at 07:34
Hi my number is AF65xxxx do you think I have a chance?
May 13, 2015 at 21:47
Some chance – but it is riskier now since the latest VB
May 13, 2015 at 11:39
i am eu 374xx afraid, yes eny chance????
May 13, 2015 at 19:46
Still very good chance
May 13, 2015 at 13:31
Thank you sir.Your blog is so important.My CN is AF2016 9xx. I want o fill the DS260 because I had issue with that. Is it create a problem on my process?Then when do I expect the interview date? Thanks.
May 13, 2015 at 14:16
Do you mean you don’t want to fill in the DS260? What do you mean?
May 13, 2015 at 16:09
I do not want to fill DS260 form now. I will do it after my marriage with my long time girl friend in September, 2015. My fear is that failing to fill the form now may create the delay on my further DV process because my case number seems very low (AF20169xx). The other is my girl friend had a daughter from her ex-husband. Can I include her daughter in the form or leave her? Thanks.
May 13, 2015 at 18:41
Your interview cannot be scheduled until the DS260 is submitted and processed. That processing can take a few months. Submitting the DS260 will delay the interview – but so what. You won’t miss your chance due to your case number being passed, once your forms are processed you will be scheduled for interview.
Once you have married yes you can add your step daughter to the application.
May 14, 2015 at 10:14
Dear Simon,
Thanks for your good information.
I have some questions about DVLottery 2016 :
1.My case number is AS62XX, if my interview time schedule for june or july and if officer send my information for administrative process, do i have any chance to get my visa before september?
2. How long does it take for AP ?
Thanks again
May 14, 2015 at 15:18
You know you are talking about 2016 dates – right? So yes if you interview in June/July 2016 you have time for AP to clear before December.
AP lengths vary from a few days to several months. Iranian cases are the worst on average – often taking around 4 or 5 months to clear.,
May 15, 2015 at 09:51
Dear Simon,
Thanks for your reply, but i heard that AP process should be finish before September, if not, i didn’t have any chance to get my visa, and my case close after September, is it true or not?
Thanks again.
May 15, 2015 at 13:32
If an AP case is not resolved by September 30, then the outcome of the AP is meaningless. No visa can be approved after September 30. That happened to thousands of people last year…
May 16, 2015 at 21:21
will get a chance to be current?
May 16, 2015 at 21:35
Your number is very risky. I think it is unlikely, but you will want to wait and see
May 21, 2015 at 12:12
Dear Sir,
I am from nepal…..Simon sir do you think 2016as00067xx is safe CN?..i had submitted ds 260 form in may21 ..if i would be selected than when i would get 2nd letter ? is my CN is current?
May 21, 2015 at 19:28
It should be safe but we wil know more later on. Your 2NL will be coming around 1 year from now.
May 22, 2015 at 09:03
Hy
I would to know is possible the number of CN beetween AF36500 to AF45000. Thanks ….
May 22, 2015 at 14:18
Please check the CEAC file linked from the Africa estimate update post. That file has all the numbers.
May 23, 2015 at 00:52
My case number is 45300 what you see sir
May 23, 2015 at 00:57
for africa 2015
May 23, 2015 at 07:29
Totally safe.
May 27, 2015 at 03:52
hi sir how many visa is separated for asia for the year 2016
May 27, 2015 at 05:34
Do you mean the quota – around 8000 to 8500
May 29, 2015 at 14:15
Hi Simon, sorry to bother. But for DV 2016, my case number is AS10XXX, is it safe??
May 29, 2015 at 16:29
We don’t know the breakdown of cases numbers for 2016 yet – so it is too early to say it is safe – although it seems a pretty good number.
May 30, 2015 at 08:55
Hi again Brit. My wife and kid’s passports will be out in 45 days.Their current passports are expired so cannot be added to the DS-260. We have other passport from other country. Can we just add this to the DS-260 and then add the other passport when it comes out in 45 days time.
Thank you Brits…
May 30, 2015 at 16:35
Yes you can do that – or simply wait to submit the form.
June 1, 2015 at 10:21
Hi Brit, your website is so helpful, thank you.
My CN is 2016EU00010xxx. DS260 completed on 10 May. Any idea if and when I can expect interview?
Thank you.
June 1, 2015 at 19:11
Your number is excellent – so safe for an interview – probably around December or January.
June 2, 2015 at 01:53
my number is 2016AF00022xxx from egypt . so according to egypt allocated visas (4,024) and total selected Entrance 91,563
do I still have chance of getting the visa and what is the expected interview date , if any
What is your expectations of the maximum number for egypt this year
Thanks you
June 2, 2015 at 03:18
It is too early to be talking about the max CN for Egypt – but 22XXX sounds pretty good.
June 3, 2015 at 19:18
Thank you Dear , when do you expect to have my interview
June 3, 2015 at 21:06
JUne/JUly 2016 perhaps….
June 3, 2015 at 21:46
Thank you Dear , I’m comparing my case with DV2009 which they has select 99,600 and egypt visas was 4,831. In this year the September cutoff date was 22,900. So in case we do number calculation (from my point of view) 2016 might not reach the same cutoff as they have allocate only 4,024 and selected number are lower
1. So do you think my above assumption is correct or wrong, or they is another way of calculation for 2016
2. Can you please share an calculation example of my Egypt case
Your advise is highly appreciated as usual
June 3, 2015 at 23:36
Don’t compare with previous years because too many factors are different. You can compare to DV2015 to some extent. Later this year we will have more data and you will know accurate info then.
June 17, 2015 at 20:47
Dear Britsimon, i had found some Egyptian had reported their numbers on some sites like (27XXX , 23XXX , 20XXX, 19400 , 14XXX) , does this give any indication on the safety of my number (which is 22XXX) and interview month
June 17, 2015 at 21:04
I have already considered those in my comment to you.
June 3, 2015 at 04:17
sorry this could be meaningless and perhaps i’ve entered the overanaylzation stage of the game.
but it seems all the bulletin numbers are in multiples of 5
so that would mean that KCC would always round off to a multiple of 5 is that true? LOL
it sounds silly but im on the fringes of making it or not.and in my opinion……..a little thing like that could wind up helping me just squeak by believe it or not lol
June 3, 2015 at 06:01
well yes it is true and a bigger yes you have entered the “overanaylzation stage”.
June 3, 2015 at 18:23
when i chek my case number give me At NVC is that prouve my number came in next Visa Bulletin Numbers
June 3, 2015 at 21:03
No “at NVC” doesn’t mean anything….
June 4, 2015 at 16:14
HI M.BRITSIMONS I AM VERY ANXIEUX. MY CASE NUMBER IS AF 514566 DO YOU FINK I HAVE CHANCES ?
June 4, 2015 at 18:26
Your number is written incorrectly – but I assume it is 2015AF51XXX – if that is correct you still have a chance.
June 5, 2015 at 09:57
Thinks for the correction my case number is effectively 2015AF51XXX. This chance is it large or thin ?
Furthermore, there is one thing I do not understand either. you estimated that the 2015 DV could stop in the interval between 55xxx and 60xxx. So do you think your estimate of June which is 39xxx to 44xxx, the KCC could make a jump and reach the interval between 55xxx and 60xxx ? How is this possible with all these statistical analyzes you made us ?
June 5, 2015 at 18:20
Your number is fine.
Large jumps in the final month or two is common.
June 6, 2015 at 04:46
hello
any chance for AF71600
June 6, 2015 at 16:14
Sadly no, I don’t think so…
June 6, 2015 at 22:06
hello
thanks for your job
say there are any chance for AF49XXX and AF50000
June 6, 2015 at 22:37
Yes.
June 7, 2015 at 19:49
when i’ll receive approximatly a second notification?just an estimate?
June 8, 2015 at 03:36
hello
when i check on ceac Visa Status Check
by immigrant visa case number
i see to many cases still at nvc
even cases under low numbers af5***
what is mean that.i think there is problem with kcc
thats why vb is moving slowly you think next vb this week will be big jump or not?
June 8, 2015 at 15:27
That is normal – some people do not respond and those cases stay at NVC.
June 8, 2015 at 03:48
i think visa bulletin for dv2007 look like dv2015 for africa moving slowly vb for jul 35500 than aug and sep current.2007 Approximately 82,000 applicants have been registered ,ithink 2015 will go to 72000
June 8, 2015 at 04:02
2015AF1 still at nvc that’s crazy…….
June 8, 2015 at 15:28
It just means the winner does not want to proceed. Relax!
June 10, 2015 at 16:44
HELLO M.BRITSIMON personally I’m very proud of you. I would thank you for all you do to help us. Your analyzes and predictions distress and helps us to better understand how the KCC runs. Also, we hope that the latest visa bulletin will go beyond 60xxx. thank you.
June 10, 2015 at 22:19
Thank you for the kind words!
June 10, 2015 at 16:48
You were right the visa bulletin for the month of August is 44 250. Thanks.