The new Visa Bulletin has been released. This one would normally be the bulletin controlling interviews in February, but of course we can assume that KCC will not schedule interviews in February because nothing has changed, from their perspective. The ban is still in place.
So – I do not expect KCC to send 2NLs in the remainder of December. The next “changes” that could cause them to start scheduling will be:
- The 10014/10052 ban expiring in January (I expect it will because as I predicted, Trump is too busy lining his pockets and whining about the election)
- The change to the new administration on January 20.
- A legal action such as the Anunciato case.
Of course the other major hurdle for DV2021 cases is the pandemic itself. That is causing some embassies to remain closed and it may well be that the government need to be told (probably because of the lawsuit) to treat DV cases as emergency cases in order to get the partially open embassies to see DV cases at all. It could be that this is the deciding factor about whether KCC will begin scheduling at all, even once the ban is lifted. So – that will mean that the Anunciato case class certification and decision is the key to getting DV2021.
Again, we can see the numbers have only increased slightly, and is lower after four months than normal. That should not be a surprise really because this is an abnormal year where NO cases are being scheduled yet. That means the VB should not be increased much as there were already enough cases that were ready for scheduling from the earlier numbers. That is how the VB works, and you should NOT be calculating expected final VB numbers based on the month to month progress. To understand why that means case number increases had to be small this month, watch the video posted below.
Region | All DV Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed Separately | |
---|---|---|
AFRICA | 12,000 | Except: Egypt 7,200 |
ASIA | 5,000 | Except: Iran 3,000 Nepal 3,950 |
EUROPE | 8,200 | |
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) | 5 | |
OCEANIA | 725 | |
SOUTH AMERICA, and the CARIBBEAN | 875 |
To those new to looking at VBs, let me explain what the “except” XXX country means. Some countries have been called out as “exceptions” meaning that selectees chargeable to those two countries (regardless of where they will interview) are subject to a lower VB number for the month than the rest of the region. This is done to slow down processing for countries with a high number of selectees to spread out the workload over a longer time. Please read this linked article on how to read the visa bulletin.https://www.youtube.com/embed/vw9xgECHTYI?enablejsapi=1&autoplay=0&cc_load_policy=0&cc_lang_pref=&iv_load_policy=1&loop=0&modestbranding=0&rel=0&fs=1&playsinline=0&autohide=2&theme=dark&color=red&controls=1&
January 18, 2021 at 10:37
Hello sir,
First mu sincere condolences for ur lost.
Second i would like to ask you if biden remove the ban do you think that is it possible for KCC to current all numbers? Coz in this way they will be able to process alot more visas than normal procedure. For example countries with a low number of winners will be able to proceed all of them in the remaining months.
Thanks in advance
January 18, 2021 at 15:35
The law that governs the DV lottery says that cases should be handled in case number order. So, your idea would be good for high case numbers in low volume consulates, but bad for everyone else and would just create a situation of chaos.
January 20, 2021 at 00:19
I just cant understand how it would be bad for everyone else!! Everyone agrees that theres no time to issue the 55000 visas. So alot of ppl with high case numbers in low volume consulates will be just waiting while the embassy is not working on any case. So in this way they will have a chance to be interviewed without affecting anyone else since we all agree that this year there is noway to get to 55000 issued visa.
January 20, 2021 at 00:32
Well I did explain…
January 1, 2021 at 00:43
Hi Mr Brit,
I just watched your video that says Trump has extended the ban!
I have booked my flight for January 11 to the USA, please kindly advise me as what to do because I am really confused!
Thanks
January 1, 2021 at 06:40
Read this
https://britsimonsays.com/trump-has-extended-the-pp10014-ban/
December 31, 2020 at 23:29
Happy New Year Mr Brit
December 29, 2020 at 01:23
Hi BritSimon, thank you for all that you are doing!
I submitted my DS-260 in June for DV2021 (case number EU16xxx) and still have not received an email about supporting documents from KCC. I’ve tried to contact them via phone several times over the past two months – should I be worried?
I am Swedish and requested a consular process in Sweden (even though I’m eligible for and AOS as the consular processes are faster). I currently have an F1 visa that expires end of January 2021.
What are your thoughts here?
Best,
Sara
December 29, 2020 at 16:19
No reason to be worried.
December 27, 2020 at 11:53
Hey Brit First of all let me wish you Happy Holidays!
I have a couple of questions. it would be great if you could answer these ones.
I am case eu31k (dv2021) and completed my ds260 since June
1. Should I unlock my DS260 and correct the permanent address if the permanent address on where I intend to live in US has changed? (it’s the same US state and city, just different street)
2. Is it okay if the person with whom i intend to live is completely different from the person (different US state from the permanent address) who might fill the Affidavit of Support Form I-134 for me, if dv2021 process goes well in 2021?
3. When will the dv lottery charts of Xarthisius be available for the year 2021?
Thank you in advance!
Wish you again Happy Holidays!!
December 27, 2020 at 16:38
1. You may as well – you have plenty of time to wait anyway.
2. Yes
3. Yes
December 27, 2020 at 09:26
Will you do CAPTCHA listing on the CEAC from 1 of January?
December 27, 2020 at 16:34
That is the plan.
December 26, 2020 at 19:43
Hello Brit. I just want to ask about the lobbying in Congress to get 35000 visas that were lost due to presidential proclamation. Is Curtis and Charles going to do anything about that? They said that they would take further steps to get the 35000 visas back but they are not talking about that anymore.
December 27, 2020 at 16:23
1. The 35k number is probably not what is required. And if the 9095 visas are won, that will reduce the number needed.
2. The lawyers are arguing for the 9095 through lawsuits, and may use those lawsuits to try to increase the number beyond 9095. That lawsuit will probably not conclude until March or April.
3. Curtis and Charles have both spoken about leveraging lobbyists, or perhaps existing political connections to create political support to do something to increase the number of visas available for people in DV2020 (and perhaps DV2021) affected by COVID impacts. That would require a law to be passed, so would take a longer time. I believe the effots will continue, but you certainly should not expect any fast outcome.
December 26, 2020 at 08:40
Dear Brit,
Happy Holidays, do you think that numbers that are already current and just waiting for 2NL’s can start getting prepped for immigration in the next two Months? Or we might be in danger as well? (AS2021XXX10XX) They might never start? I have rad the article above i understand either law action or biden administration will make a change but as of now it is not even about the BAN anymore but just the Covid, and it’s not leaving anytime soon So… (mutations and all..)
You are not a fortune teller i know, but I’ll appriciate an honest opinion/estimate to when is the best chance by number you think I’ll get my interview? (if..?)
Big Thank YOU Brit!
December 26, 2020 at 17:50
I don’t have any predictions.
December 25, 2020 at 15:57
Happy Xmas sir, pleas I wish to ask if you use you passport to play the dv lottery and the passport got missing ar the long run what are you gonna do? Or you can still apply for a new one with the photocopy maintaining the the very passport number?
December 26, 2020 at 17:43
You can get a replacement, but will be required to show the details of the old passport to show it was real and unexpired.
December 26, 2020 at 20:35
Ok sir thanks much.
December 25, 2020 at 08:01
Hi Brit.
Trump will probably extend the ban for 6 month or 12 months and Biden will not remove it as he said recently in a interview. He said that immigration is not his priority at the moment except family reunification. So only lawsuit can help the DV 2021 winners.
December 26, 2020 at 17:12
Absolute nonsense. Biden has said that he would remove the Muslim ban as a high priority – probably on day 1 of his presidency. That is a better assessment about what he thinks of immigration and fairness than your incorrect ideas.
December 25, 2020 at 07:02
Mr BritSimon!
My expectations was that KCC will schedule interviews for nations without the pandemic. I am very sure that if the second wave hits Africa there will be no interviews for them . I think we should take this as an opportunity and schedule interviews for countries without the virus .
# my opinion
December 25, 2020 at 06:48
Thank you for the updates!
If the numbers continue like this for three months then i think i will have a chance to be part of thoes in the 3rd month. Case number Af 35k ! If i understood thepost well!
December 26, 2020 at 17:09
You are making a prediction that I would not make.
December 26, 2020 at 20:26
Thank you! Then i have retreated my prediction!
December 24, 2020 at 20:22
If the ban is lifted will KCC start distributing the 9095 for dv 2020?
December 24, 2020 at 22:02
No. Because the final decision on the lawsuit itself has not yet been made. That won’t happen until Mid March at the earliest.
December 24, 2020 at 16:32
Dear Brit namaste,
Did DV 2021 starts a new lawsuit? Today I saw one video in youtube that lawsuit for DV 2021 has started which link is lolrg.com. Here in this site I have to fill up some form and also have to pay. Is this real or not??
December 24, 2020 at 18:39
It is real. I don’t recommend it at the moment – but it’s your choice of course.
December 24, 2020 at 21:01
Due to the virus and ban,can’t they make every case current as time goes on
December 24, 2020 at 22:07
Nothing is impossible.
December 24, 2020 at 13:50
With this situation and structure I don’t think many dv winners will want to carry on with the process any more which will leads to lots of holes
December 24, 2020 at 18:38
That is not what creates holes, that would be “non responses”.
December 24, 2020 at 03:05
Hi Brit, I have a question. Suppose if Biden removes the Muslim ban one’s he assume the office, and we won the Gomes lawsuit, does it gonna affect people who are in group 4 with higher case number in other countries in Asia like Nepal. As I’m optimistic to get one of the 9095 Visa since I checked ceac data and it shows 331 Cases including derivatives are ready lasting with Case number AS129XX and my Case number is AS122XX.
Thanks.
December 24, 2020 at 03:34
I can’t predict exactly how things will work.
December 23, 2020 at 23:08
Hi Simon! Here in New Zealand the embassy is open for routine consular processing as we have no covid in the community and are at alert level 1 (no restrictions other than our border coming into the country). Once the ban is lifted, could we expect KCC to be scheduling interviews for embassies that are fully open and have routine processing, or do you think that because other embassies are closed or partially open that KCC won’t be scheduling interviews anywhere? Thank you and have a great Christmas! 🙂
December 24, 2020 at 02:56
Obviously I can’t be certain, but that would be the expectation, yes.
December 23, 2020 at 20:11
Thank you Mr BritSimon from your great expectation and information,
Dear Sir, as you know we have already had the DV2020 VISA in our hand, therefore if the PP 10014 is going to be expired on Dec-31, then it will prepare a chance to enter to USA and meet you with much happiness and dreams after 2 years waiting, frustrating, dreams and struggling s.
Thank you SIR from your EXPECTATION and HARD WORKING.
December 23, 2020 at 19:02
Do you suggest taking legal actions? I am EU 21k
December 24, 2020 at 02:44
What legal actions?
December 24, 2020 at 06:00
To participate in Niccolete suit/ charge for dv2021
December 24, 2020 at 07:30
That doesn’t seem legit I’d rather wait for a lawsuit from Charles Kuck and Greg Siskind. Those folks know what they are doing.
December 24, 2020 at 18:30
I have stated several times that I would not recommend that, at this time.
December 29, 2020 at 23:36
Hi Gil! Fellow Israeli?
December 23, 2020 at 17:23
I think that Anunciato is not a class action anymore. At least, it has been rejected for the PI. That’s what I understood from Charles’ Tweet.
December 23, 2020 at 17:34
I have not seen any tweet from Charles Kuck that says that. Could you show me what you are referring to?
December 23, 2020 at 18:42
Hi Brit,
It’s not a tweet but a reply to a question under his tweet. My bad.
Here is the link of the tweet : https://mobile.twitter.com/ckuck/status/1341087534118518791
Please read the comment of Sami ben Sassi and the reply of Charles.
I’m not expert but what I understood from his reply is that the class action is delayed or rejected for now.
December 23, 2020 at 21:20
You misinterpreted the reply. It does not mean we can’t get a class action approved. It is not yet decided.
December 23, 2020 at 16:50
Hi Sir Simon
How I wish your predictions come to pass. My is fueled with anger towards this Trump administration. This is a life time opportunity for many of us that’s going gradually into the sea.
He may have someone around him to remind him of the ban extension “something I pray against “. Lord hear our prayers please.
December 23, 2020 at 17:12
That would be the jack ass know as Stephen Miller
December 23, 2020 at 17:35
Yes – SM would be that jackass, but even he is running around crying about the election rather than his normal bigoted agenda.
December 23, 2020 at 16:30
Just more 700 for EU?
So basically those who are above than EU10000 just doomed… This years was worst for DV’s… Worse than DV2020
Thank you Trump.
People, don’t waste your time. Improve yourself in your job, excel in what you do and go through EB1/2(NIW).
I am done with DV. Thank you Brit for everything.
December 23, 2020 at 17:36
I don’t agree with your assessment, simply because it is far too early to give up. But that’s your choice.
December 23, 2020 at 15:59
Hi Brit !
That is causing some embassies to remain closed and it may well be that the government need to be told (probably because of the lawsuit) to treat DV cases as emergency cases in order to get the partially open embassies to see DV cases at all. It could be that this is the deciding factor about whether KCC will begin scheduling at all, even once the ban is lifted. So – that will mean that the Anunciato case class certification and decision is the key to getting DV2021…
So, you mean, even if the ban is not extended KCC will not send 2NLs if the embassies are closed?
December 23, 2020 at 17:53
There are different “levels” of closed. If the embassies are closed they will not accept appointments. If an embassy is partially open, they would accept “mission critical” appointments (generally for US citizens), and depending on the level of closure, they may accept some additional types of appointments. Without being instructed to do so, they won’t treat DV as mission critical.
December 23, 2020 at 15:55
But sir, why wouldn’t they schedule any interviews if Trump let the ban expire? I mean not all embassies are closed. A good number of them are operating normally.
December 23, 2020 at 17:55
https://britsimonsays.com/visa-bulletin-for-february-2021-interviews-released/comment-page-1/#comment-255984
December 23, 2020 at 18:58
Thanks Brit, Lets say that an embassy is fully opened and has the capacity to do their routine visa services. Would KCC still need to instruct them to process DV cases? Provided that KCC forwards the case to the said embassy.
December 24, 2020 at 02:45
Fully opened would mean processing every type of case.
December 24, 2020 at 07:31
Thank you sir!
February 1, 2021 at 11:13
Hi brit
Will some of us with high case numbers be interviewed at all ? If till now nothing has started
February 1, 2021 at 14:54
I don’t know.
December 23, 2020 at 15:51
Thank for ur effort.
When to expect an action from the Anunciato case?
December 23, 2020 at 17:55
I don’t know.
December 24, 2020 at 06:09
the HEARING for the preliminary injunction is set for january 22nd, the hearing for class certification on the same day. (https://www.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.368564/gov.uscourts.cand.368564.41.0.pdf , at the bottom, by conclusion) anytime after that, but either the immigration ban will expire or biden will remove it.
December 24, 2020 at 09:24
What does it mean? Immigration ban will be remove after 22 jan… letme clear…..
December 24, 2020 at 18:33
The Jan 22 date relates to a lawsuit, not the ban. The immigration bans will likely be removed once Biden is in the Whitehouse. If Trump extends the 10014/10052 ban, the new administration will probably remove that too.
December 23, 2020 at 15:49
if the ban expires in January , will KCC change their perspective and start interviews?
December 23, 2020 at 17:55
Please read the article above.