This file is the end of April position – 7 months of processing – 5 months to go. I say that because it is important to remember the VBs are predictive and therefore have only 3 months to go – but we must remember that processing has 5 full months. Also that means the CEAC data itself contains two full months of cases that could not have been interviewed yet.

The issued visas for AF region is slightly below what I expected this month. I suspect that is as much about late/lazy updates from the embassies as anything else. I also noted that Kathmandu embassy issued only 1 visa in the last week – as we know they cancelled some interviews that will be rescheduled for later.

Iran does seem to have had a number of AP cases cleared this month – so the Asian issuances this month were closer to the required pace despite the loss of one processing week in Nepal.

EU has had a strong month, and given the VB movement we can see that pace will continue. To me that reinforces an earlier suspicion that EU will get to the max case number in August (as it did last year). September processing in EU would therefore be from backlog cases, AP closures and so on. OC is on the same sort of trajectory and the assumption would be the same for OC – final number in August.

OK – enjoy the data and let me know your thoughts…


Here is the data

And before you ask me to give you data on “your” embassy – it is very easy to do that yourself. So – here is how to use google sheets to analyze the data.

One more thing. If you appreciate the work I am doing in keeping you informed and assisting you through the process I would be grateful if you could read this page about the “Treehouse fund” and leave a message (which Sofia LOVES) or feel free to donate if you can afford to do so.

CEAC data extract May 1