The numbers are released – theses are for May interviews.
AFRICA 32,700 (Last month 30,700)
Except:
Egypt: 20900 (Last month 18,200)
Ethiopia: 25750 (Last month 22,550)
ASIA – 5275 (Last month 4725)
EUROPE – 30300 (Last month 28450)
OCEANIA – 1075 (Last month 975)
SOUTH AMERICA, and the CARIBBEAN – 1025 (Last month 1025)
I would not be surprised to see the SA number change in the next couple of days – although the problems in Venezuela could be driving the no increase.
Just as a matter of interest – these were my predictions from my 2NL analysis a couple of weeks ago. I think I let my “optimistic” side take over a little (although many will have thought I was being pessimistic)
AF – 34XXX to 35XXX.
EU – 32XXX to 33XXX.
AS – 53XX to 54XX.
SA – 1100 to 1150.
OC – 1050 and 1100.
If your number has become current AND your DS260 is processed, then you can expect an email in about 7 to 10 days from now. The email doesn’t have the appointment details but simply prompts you to check the ESC website where your 1NL (selected letter) will have been replaced by an appointment letter.
If you do not understand how to understand the Visa Bulletin – please read this – How to read and understand the visa bulletin.
Also please see the historical visa bulletin numbers here to compare progress this year to previous years.
March 11, 2015 at 18:23
I dont understand europe is going slow this time
March 11, 2015 at 18:36
EU has gone fast to this point – and now there are a lot of cases that were current in earlier months that are only just getting their DS260s completed.
March 11, 2015 at 18:25
I was waiting for this VB 🙁
I didn’t expect this jump of CN for AS, anyhow my CN is 54XX and mostly I will be current for June interview.
March 11, 2015 at 18:37
Yes – June it is….
March 11, 2015 at 18:33
it’s low
but the good news for me, I’m current for May after a long wait
March 11, 2015 at 18:57
Congrats!
March 11, 2015 at 18:42
Ow boy, this is very low. I wonder if KCC will ever do the usual 10k jumps to reach some high cn
March 11, 2015 at 19:49
That should still happen – but as I have written before case numbers for AF even above mid 60s are in a risky range – the risk increasing as the numbers go above 70K
March 11, 2015 at 18:43
I’m waiting more for CEAC data 🙂
I think Asia will jump in June by 1000 or more what do you think?
March 11, 2015 at 19:48
I’ll take a look at the CEAC data and make an updated estimate once I see the 2NLs go out.
March 11, 2015 at 19:00
Any ideas why the SA number didn’t increase?
Can that be changed in the next couple of days or once the bulletin has been released there is no way the number can Increase?
March 11, 2015 at 19:46
It could be changed, but it could be that political issues in Venezuela are meaning they won’t take any more this month (beyond the cases already current that have just completed their DS260 processing.
March 11, 2015 at 19:05
This shows that Europe will not go current? (((((
March 11, 2015 at 19:45
THat was always unlikely.
March 11, 2015 at 19:08
There is also the announce of the opening of the Embassy in Havana Cuba. May be affecting SA ;(
March 11, 2015 at 19:44
Good news for Cubans…
March 24, 2015 at 17:51
Why do you mean that?
March 11, 2015 at 19:33
So worry of Egypt cutoff like this
March 11, 2015 at 19:51
It is about right. I expect the final Egypt cutoff to be around 27.5/28 – and there are 4 VBs after this one. So – increases of 2000/2300 per month is about all Egypt will see for the next 3 months (they will try to hit max in August).
March 11, 2015 at 19:47
I’m from Egypt and my CN Is AF 27xxx do you think it will be current?
March 11, 2015 at 19:52
I expect the final cutoff to be around 27.5 to 28000.
March 11, 2015 at 20:22
Thank you for your reply
March 11, 2015 at 19:55
Why not transfer selected for another year if you already met forms?
March 11, 2015 at 19:59
It is against the rules/law that control the lottery….
March 11, 2015 at 19:59
This is very low increase for Asia. My cn is 77** from nepal. Do u think that my number will go current in august? Loosing hope now.
March 11, 2015 at 20:25
Still got an excellent chance – and yes still for August
March 11, 2015 at 20:07
Hi Simon,
So Europe has gone up less than 2000 places. Do you think this is approx the monthly increase to expect for the remaining months?
With EU39500, at this rate I wont make it!
Is the DS260 backlog so significant that we will not see large jumps again? Do you expect it to be a trickle like this to the end of DV2015?
Thanks,
Michael
March 11, 2015 at 20:28
39500 is risky – there is no doubt, but you still have a chance. There are 4 VBs left – so they could easily get to the number with this pace – the issue is how many responses came in late…
March 11, 2015 at 20:12
Thank you for your kindly and usual help
March 11, 2015 at 20:23
dear sir could you tell us how many selects from Egypt in DV 2015 got them visas till now?
March 11, 2015 at 20:29
That is in the CEAC files.
March 11, 2015 at 20:44
Hi, Getting a little confused here. The last visa bulletin for DV2015 will released roughly on July 7th – 10th? This will be Septembers bulletin / interviews. This is correct Britsimon?
So 4 bulletins left. April 8th for June interviews, May 8th for July interviews, June 8th for August interviews and July 8th for September interviews. So July 8th is date for last bulletin for DV2015?
So its not out of the questiion to see 2/3k per month for EU for remaining 4 months. And if we got one jump like Dec/Jan or March we still could see EU breaking the 40k mark.
March 11, 2015 at 21:19
Yes – 4 bulletins left after today – and early July will reveal the September final cutoffs.
March 11, 2015 at 21:05
Hi Simon. Do you think that AF 40k is at risk with this gruelling pace? We r waiting for your predication when 2ndL released. Thank you for ur effort.
March 11, 2015 at 21:13
No – AF40k is not risky….
March 11, 2015 at 21:46
Thank you v.much. .. they have being adding 2k/month Last 3 months. 2k* 4 +32 700= 40700. I understand this calculation is simple n childish n not taking consideration into any important factor ;). I hope everything will go well.
March 11, 2015 at 21:57
That is nothing like what will happen.
March 11, 2015 at 21:07
And for eu37300 what do u think :/
March 11, 2015 at 21:13
Very good chance.
March 11, 2015 at 21:30
I Just wanted to thank you brit for your continous support & help. & above all excellent predictions … Egypt is following the track you have predicted. Am AF22xxx( less than 100) so i hope i could be current next month( you expected. June or july interview)
March 11, 2015 at 21:33
Hello sir, my CN is AF48××× from Sudan,when do you predict i get 2NL & interview?
March 11, 2015 at 23:55
Probably 2NL in May for a July interview.
March 12, 2015 at 00:22
Thank you
March 11, 2015 at 21:46
How about EU35XXX – would I still make it?
March 11, 2015 at 21:56
Yes.
March 11, 2015 at 21:52
Hi BritSimon i am from Venezuela my case number is SA 175X . do you think i may have any chance?,
March 11, 2015 at 21:59
John,
The political situation in Venezuela is an issue right now – so your number was already in the risky range. Maduro made it mas duro.
March 11, 2015 at 21:54
Hi Simon
I submitted my DS-260 quite early in May and then unlocked it to change my current address and enter my new passport number. I did it in the late October. My case number is 76XX Asia. Do you think the unlocking process will make me wait longer than the time my number becomes current?
March 11, 2015 at 21:59
No – those changes will be fully processed by now.
March 15, 2015 at 00:21
Thank you very much for the info
March 11, 2015 at 22:26
BritSimon for president! Thanks for all your valuable information.
AF 52xxx safe or doomed?
March 11, 2015 at 22:31
Safe – by presidential order.
March 11, 2015 at 22:56
I like your answer….Thank-you Mr President:)
March 11, 2015 at 22:40
Oh gosh, going too slow for Asia, I’m in early 7***s and was hoping for June, but I guess I should now wait till July. What’s your prediction for Asia in July?
March 11, 2015 at 23:51
Too early to say.
March 11, 2015 at 23:08
Hello, do you think that I might have a chance with EU375XX now? Or very unlikely? Thank you
March 11, 2015 at 23:51
still a great chance.
March 11, 2015 at 23:33
my CN is AF70xxxx ,what do you think about it ?there is some hope or not?
March 11, 2015 at 23:53
There is some home – but it is obviously in a risky range.
March 11, 2015 at 23:48
Hello, my just found a tiny typo error on my DS260 when I was preparing my documents. KCC just unlocked for me today. Will it delay my process? My number is AS10xxx.
March 11, 2015 at 23:54
No it won’t delay as you have to wait until August at the earliest anyway
March 12, 2015 at 00:01
Do you think my number is risky?
March 12, 2015 at 00:04
For anything above AS10000 there is some risk…
March 12, 2015 at 00:09
Hi Brit, i have a big number for SA 18xx, do you think that can I reach it for september?
March 12, 2015 at 00:38
It is risky – but Venezuala is a big unknown right now – so we have to wait and see what happens.
March 12, 2015 at 01:13
My case number is 2015AF29000
What do you think Will I get chance to get interview or not?
Because I don’t know why Af is very slow ?
March 12, 2015 at 01:31
What country are you from and when did you submit your DS260?
March 12, 2015 at 01:24
My case number is 2015AF29000 from EGYPT
What do you think Will I get chance to get interview or not?
Because I don’t know why Af is very slow ?
March 12, 2015 at 01:33
i am from EGY and i submit my DS 260 at 20\5\2014
March 12, 2015 at 02:51
Then your number is very risky. My prediction is for Egypt to be limited at around 28K. You can only wait and see what happens.
March 12, 2015 at 01:37
Disappointing number as always for asia, Why is this year much slower than last year?
AS13,3XX hopeless, no way they’re gonna catch up with last year, it’s already 1000+ behind.
March 12, 2015 at 01:47
They always increase the number by 500 each month, last year 1000
March 12, 2015 at 03:38
No – they increase by as many as they need until Nepal maxes out – then numbers can jump more quickly.
March 12, 2015 at 02:52
I explained that all here https://britsimonsays.com/april-2nl-analysis/
March 12, 2015 at 01:44
Hi sir #Britsimonsays my cn 57*** basing on this slow do u thing will i become current? thanks!
March 12, 2015 at 03:33
Yes
March 12, 2015 at 02:06
what about AF60XXX please Mr Simon ?
March 12, 2015 at 03:37
Not 100% safe – but very high chance.
March 12, 2015 at 02:26
So sad to see the number is going so slow this year. My number is AS108xx, and I submitted my DS-260 two week ago. Now I start losing hope…
March 12, 2015 at 03:34
You still stand a very good chance….
March 12, 2015 at 03:22
Hi Britsimon,
although you have previously predicted the final cutoff for Asia will fall in 11000, but by the pace of Asia now (only 500 jumps), are you still confident to say so now
March 12, 2015 at 03:35
Yes. The pace now has little to do with the end result.
March 12, 2015 at 04:58
thx Simon, but I am still a bit confused, as to catch up with 11000, meaning that the VB will need to boost up for 1000 each month for the folling 4 months, is it really possible though?
March 12, 2015 at 05:22
FORGET the month to month VBs – that is meaningless. Once Nepal maxes out the rest of Asia density is tiny, which means that September (and possibly August) can see a large jump of 2000 to 3000.
March 12, 2015 at 05:26
Please something that can give me the faith again. Can EU382** be current? Its left 4 month and if it increases 2k every month it can be, right?
March 12, 2015 at 06:04
Yes – it isn’t 100% safe – but quite a good number…
March 12, 2015 at 11:13
thnx. i do hope VB will reach till my CN . thnx for ur reply
March 12, 2015 at 05:37
Hello Britsimon
What do you think about the number EU 40900?
Still a chance?
March 12, 2015 at 06:04
still a chance – but risky of course….
March 12, 2015 at 05:55
I am beginning to get worried now, at af58xxx, what are my chances and the possible interview date
March 12, 2015 at 06:01
August probably. safe number.
March 12, 2015 at 06:31
@britismon,when can I receive a 2NL AF40***…CEAC status shows at nvc…i am scared since af region is low
March 12, 2015 at 06:54
Probably May 2NL, July interview.
March 12, 2015 at 06:43
I have a CN of AF75XXX my chance is close to zero i think right?
March 12, 2015 at 06:55
Yes – not o% but not much more.
March 12, 2015 at 06:47
“EUROPE – 30300 (Last month 28450)”
Isn’t this very slow? I thought for April it was gonna be something like 32.000
Is the EU37*** very far from interviewing if the pace keeps so slow?
March 12, 2015 at 07:01
Don’t forget – my lower estimate range is only about 38000 – so they have 4 VBs to get from 30300 to 38/39. Not – crazy….
March 12, 2015 at 07:21
Thanks @britismon….but I got butterflies in my stomach..
I can’t wait to get my 2nl that will help
March 12, 2015 at 07:52
Hello BritSimon, i am a nicaraguan and my CN is SA139X, do you thing i will have an interview?, i am living in Spain, thanks you for your support.
.
March 12, 2015 at 16:32
Yes I think you will get an interview. My wife is from Spain – I hope you’re enjoying it there!
March 13, 2015 at 07:43
Y es….Spain and its tapas, terrazas, wine are nice, you are welcome any time.
March 13, 2015 at 15:32
Thanks!
March 12, 2015 at 08:08
Dear Simon, so do you think AS90xx is safe in this matter?
March 12, 2015 at 16:33
If the case is not from Nepal or Iran then it is safe.
March 12, 2015 at 09:53
Hi Simon My Cn is AF65xxx do you think is ti safe a this time?
March 12, 2015 at 16:35
Not 100% safe no – we will know more later….
March 12, 2015 at 10:49
Good afternoon, how do you think what’s the maximum case will be this year in Europe?
March 12, 2015 at 16:45
I have predicted before betweem 38XXX and 41XXX