OK – this is the halfway point of the DV2015 year. We only have 4 VBs left, BUT from a processing point of view we are only halfway through.
AS you can see KCC are on the pace I have described previously. They have issued almost 5000 visas this month. THat is the pace they need to achieve to get all the visas issued by year end.
There are still cases “in Transit” which are not adding to the family member columns. 368 cases in AF, 145 cases in EU, 310 in AS, 27 in SA and 4 in OC region. That means there are about 1400 more “family members” that have been added than the 7800 shown as added this month. So – around 9000 selectees (with family) were made scheduled this month from the VB progress. That is MORE than enough to achieve 5000 issued visas for the May interviews – and shows that despite the slow VB progress, the DS260 backlog is still providing the bulk of the selectees.
The other thing I want to point out is the “real” number of people on AP. The summary shows 2890 people in AP globally. However, this number is lower than it should be in reality. If a case is on AP (meaning the principal is on AP) the derivatives are often not updated as being on AP also – BUT they cannot be approved until the principal is approved. So – in that case we should be filtering all the cases on AP, and counting the family members. Whilst this isn’t 100% accurate either, it gives a better idea of the real number of selectees on AP. So – if we filter that way we have the following selectees on AP:
AF – 1180
EU – 1315
AS – 903
SA – 80
OC – 16
So – that adds up to ~3500 family members on AP. The majority of those will be approved – so from this first 6 months of processing, and with the 6 month VB numbers, we can assume that another 3000 selectees will be approved in addition to the 17818 shown as issued in CEAC – that takes us to ~21000
In addition to the 21000 there will also be some Adjustment of Status (AoS) cases (which are processed in the USA, not at consulates). Last year there were almost 2000 such approvals – so we can assume 1000 will already be on course for approval from the first 6 months.
So – that means they probably will have produced about 22000 visas for the first 6 months. That is pretty much in line with previous years – the second half of the year yields more approvals (some of which, of course, will be those AP cases from the first half of the year).
Let me add one more thing. There are still cases completing DS260 processing from the cases already current. So – even if they did not release a single extra case number ion the VB, the numbers published would continue to grow as cases came forward. So – we cannot do a simple “double the VB number to find the final case number” calculation. If only it were that simple….
OK – I hope that is useful.
Here is the data
And before you ask me to give you data on “your” embassy – it is very easy to do that yourself. So – here is how to use google sheets to analyze the data.
April 1, 2015 at 22:35
Thank you for the effort you put in this
April 1, 2015 at 22:59
Thanks for the thanks!
April 1, 2015 at 22:44
I know it sounds stupid. But does it mean that if limit for march for EU was 24000 and they have 22000 processed then ti fill 50000 they will go all the way till 48000
April 1, 2015 at 23:00
For all sorts of reasons – NO – you can’t calculate that way!
April 1, 2015 at 23:26
Thank u Mr Britsimon for or endless effort in updating our understanding of current development.Does this mean that
1) Kcc will need to let current an approximate number of cases as of the previous number of cases already current ceteris paribus if remaining cases plus derivatives equal the same with that of the previous six months to get approximately about 22 k issued visas ?
2)If yes do u think the coming June interviews VB will be different from or previous guess?
3)What could be or final cutoff prediction for AF region?
April 1, 2015 at 23:39
1. No. During the second 6 months, we will see more DS260 late submissions come through from numbers current in the first 6 months.
2. My estimates already presented stand.
3. It’s too early to improve on the estimates already given. In general I think anything under AF60K is safe, and everything between 60k and 80k has a chance. The deciding factor in AF will be the ending response rate – and it is a big unknown at the moment.
April 2, 2015 at 00:52
What about AS final cut-off 🙁 ?!?
Is there any possibility they put limit to Nepalese CN before August ?!!
April 2, 2015 at 05:07
Maybe – but that is not the point. The AS final cutoff depends on Iranian AP cases, not Nepal.
April 2, 2015 at 12:17
You once said that Iranian ap cases seem similar as last year, and now you say nepal has no effect on the final Asian VB, only the monthly pace.
Then why the hell is the monthly vb progression thus year is much much slower compared to last year? This year the monthly progression is around 400-500, last year it was around 1000. On top of that you also said that this year’s final Asian VB won’t be as high as last year, around 11,XXX
Somethings not right
April 2, 2015 at 13:40
Everything is very clear.
Slow progress – Nepal (with higher density than last year).
Uncertainty about final cutoff – Iranian AP. If Iran takes 2000 visas like last year due to slow AP then there are plenty of visas for Asia and the number will go 12xxx. If they took 3500 like 2013 that would mean rest of Asia get 1000 less – which would mean they don’t go over 10xxx.
What don’t you understand?
April 2, 2015 at 15:21
12,XXX is still 1,350 less than last year.
Really didn’t expect as number to be this low, i thought fiscal year 2015 was going to be a tad better than 2014 since KCC picked 125k people rather than 140k. Turns out i was very very wrong. Disappointed.
April 2, 2015 at 15:28
No – 12XXX is between 1350 and 351 less than last year.
Yes you were wrong – because 140k and 125k are both way more than required, and much of that reduction is from the limited countries being limited at 5000 instead of 6000, plus the exclusion of Nigeria.
April 2, 2015 at 15:36
So you’re implying that this year’s number of selectees is comparable to last year because of Nigeria exclusion and limited countries being limited 1000 less?
So AS12,000 is comparable to AS13,000 last year due to the aforementioned factors?
I hope next year Nigeria gets excluded.
April 2, 2015 at 17:24
No – we were talking about the 140K versus 125k selectees globally. As I have already mentioned, Nepal has a higher density – so that is why the numbers might be slightly lower but again – it depends on Iran.
April 2, 2015 at 15:36
I meant nepal
April 2, 2015 at 17:24
April 2, 2015 at 12:19
In addition, as saw a huge final VB drop from fiscal year 2013 to 2014, before 2014 asia always went current.
There seems to be something wrong during the fiscal year 2014. And it seems that the final vb is getting worse as each year passes..
It doesn’t make any sense no matte how you cut it
April 2, 2015 at 13:42
Again, that is very simple. There was a massive increase in selectees in 2014, so regions stopped going current. All very simple stuff – it makes sense very easily.
April 2, 2015 at 15:22
Why did they feel the need to heavily increase the number of selectees? Like 100k wasn’t enough already?
April 2, 2015 at 15:29
Who knows. They didn’t publish their reasoning.
April 2, 2015 at 15:23
If they go back to 100k selectees again in DV16 will things go back to the way they use to? All regions current.
April 2, 2015 at 15:29
Yes, probably. IF that ever happens…
April 2, 2015 at 01:07
BritSimon, thanks for the new datas, and thank you for all the effort and the time you put in helping others. If every DV selectee you helped get a green card sent you $100, you’d be a very rich man 🙂
I think KCC should strongly considore in hiring you (IT and aplicant’s support or something like that..) – just joking 🙂
Maybe you should put on your blog an option for a small optional contribution ($5, $10, $20,…). If I get a green card and move to US, I would gladly contribute to your blog from my first pay check made in US (this is not a joke). Keep on good work on this blog, please… Cheers.
April 2, 2015 at 05:11
Love it – $100 from every selectee – WOW – that would be a lot of money indeed!
Thank you for the support – my support of selectees will continue in any case!
April 4, 2015 at 09:20
I totally agree with you because it is not a facil work. And I think we need to promote this site and congratulate her work. it is not given to anyone to make analyzes and especially want to satisfy everyone: not only its time consuming but also great patience and determination.
In any case I thank you for everything, and even if I arrrive not getting an interview I already told myself that I will not have lost anything .Car I learned a lot with you.
Thank you for everything
April 2, 2015 at 05:46
Thanks Bris. As always good analysis and advice. I trust KCC will make in time and all AF ranging 50XXX to 60XXX they will make it by September.
April 2, 2015 at 07:09
Brit, one more question please. I read one of your post on Interview for DV selectee. It seems it is a piece of cake,however still there is a refused cases. I am wondering why people get refused. What is the common mistake do they make..Still wondering with no answer…
April 2, 2015 at 12:46
It has something to do with Medical Analysis – Baccalaureat – Background Check ..
April 2, 2015 at 13:34
They don’t meet the education requirement, or they forget there have a wife or present forged documents. Things like that.
April 2, 2015 at 14:12
Sir I can’t understand how Nepal density is higher.in 2014 total selectee of Nepal is more then 6000 but this year less then 5000.at that time Nepal reached 9500 but this year why not. I think number of visa are fixed every year in the context of Nepal….
April 2, 2015 at 14:18
Density is cases per thousand. It is higher this year because of the change in entries between Nepal and Iran.
The visas are not fixed for Nepal – but they get enough to hit the limit that is in place for ALL countries.
April 2, 2015 at 15:33
Oh …in previous year I saw case number around 12000 but this year highest CN is around 9100. That means all case are closer to each other. Am I right ? So what is the final cutoff for Nepal?
April 2, 2015 at 11:27
Hello , thank you for all
What do you think for af48xxx , when will get 2nl ?
April 2, 2015 at 13:35
Interview in July or August, so 2nl in May or June.
April 4, 2015 at 11:06
If it’s CN (range 40) have their interview in August, probably 50 will have their interview in September. So it’s risky for us 61.above everything ends in September.
April 2, 2015 at 11:38
AF we can only wait and see how we go,bcuz the process is slow
April 2, 2015 at 13:16
Issued 17,818 ready 15,700 a total of 33,598. Does that mean a balance of 16,482 visas to be isssued
April 2, 2015 at 13:31
No. The ready cases are not issued. It means ready for interview.
April 2, 2015 at 13:28
I am from Africa and my case number is current and my CN is 32xxx. I submitted my ds 260 form since the 16th of October 2014. I want to know when am I going to receive my appointment date?
April 2, 2015 at 13:31
Your 2nl will come in about 3 weeks time. June interview.
April 2, 2015 at 13:59
What about UE final cut-off ?
April 2, 2015 at 14:50
In reference to my earlier comment, I meant 16482 slots for visas remaining. If that is correct what impact does it have on the final cn especially for AF
April 2, 2015 at 15:25
The answer is still no. There are around 30k visas remaining. Soome of those will be taken by the cases at READY – but not all the 15700 will be successful.
April 2, 2015 at 17:16
Wait what 😮 ? if they took 15700 that is more than the half , and there is only 3 VB left , UGH!!!
April 2, 2015 at 14:54
BritSimon, do you have any new updates for AFyet? Thanks again.
April 2, 2015 at 15:22
Huh? The data posted includes AF – 2nd tab.
April 2, 2015 at 15:44
Heloo mister britsimon and do you think that africa will reach high case number this year in fact many reason stay in front of it wars and deseases ebola….my case number is 52000 when i will be called for interviw.and realy do i have a chance to do it sir…..
April 2, 2015 at 17:25
Your chance is 100%. Relax.
April 2, 2015 at 16:05
Hello! I’m from Nepal.
The average number of visa issued from Nepal (KDU) is 224 per 500 cases. In this way, if the maximum number that Nepal can have is 3500, then the final cases for Nepal will be 7800. Is my analysis OK for the final cut off? Or it is more complex? Thank you.
April 2, 2015 at 17:29
Yes, that is about right – although it might vary a little which is why I stated it could be as soon as 7600 (460 per thousand) as late as the low 8XXX range (say 420 per thousand) .
April 2, 2015 at 17:37
what implication does this post have on the final cut off for EU? Still there not much progress on the approval rate.
April 2, 2015 at 17:49
CE what EU number are you? and where do you thionk the cut off may lie?
April 2, 2015 at 17:54
Clive, I am around EU39600. What about your number?
I have no idea of the final cut off projected number. It is Simon, who can do projections.
April 2, 2015 at 18:16
I am around 40,400. I am still very hopeful. 150k down to 125k, larget increase in quota from Nigeria allocation, EU being the least overselected region this year, responses are low, refusals/AP are high. I still think it will reach circa 42’s. It’s going to be scary though.
April 3, 2015 at 21:03
Clive, let us hope we will also become current.
April 2, 2015 at 17:50
It’s just a progress report…..
April 3, 2015 at 13:12
Dear,I have dream to publish report on Egypt and Egyptian ,that report covered the density and evaluation statistical, ……….,really appreciated your effort in understaning the DV game
April 3, 2015 at 17:05
I’d be interested in seeing that report when you publish it.
April 3, 2015 at 21:57
Sorry ,I mean that I waiting you to publish report on Egypt and Egyptian opportunity in DV2015 based on the updated CECA For April as we reached to critical zone
April 3, 2015 at 22:37
Ahhhh – I see. I have posted before about that and there is nothing that tells me my numbers for Egypt need adjusting.
April 3, 2015 at 22:51
Thanks ,finally do you think that they can reach to 30xxxx and when in case reached
April 5, 2015 at 23:20
30XXX for Egypt is risky. If they reach it – it will be in August or September.
April 3, 2015 at 16:40
hi britsimon love ur blog
April 3, 2015 at 16:47
I applied for a scholarship some long time ago and that was about 2004 .I was granted a full graduate assistantship but on the i-20 i had something like Soc Sec No @00 and the numer continues. But unfortunately i was denied a visa. so when i was filling my DS260 i got to a place where they asked if i had ever applied for a social security number but i said no because i have never apply for one . so please help i donôt know if i had to say yes
April 3, 2015 at 17:09
Not a big deal. When you enter the USA you can sort it out with the social security office.
April 3, 2015 at 16:53
sir please I submitted my ds in November my cm is af44xx when do u think I will get my letter
April 3, 2015 at 17:10
Maybe May for a July interview…
April 3, 2015 at 17:27
therefore saying NO
will cause me no problem
April 3, 2015 at 19:20
Tell the truth as you know it.
April 3, 2015 at 20:05
Hi Brit and many thanks for your support
Please can you give us a logical explanation for what is happening now to the official website of DV-Lottery ?? The website is Down !!! “”””dvlottery.state.gov””””
April 3, 2015 at 20:22
Someone broke it. That is all – nothing mysterious.
April 4, 2015 at 02:01
There was a large group of clearances last night, including good number of Iranians being approved. Could this affect the next VB for Asia?
April 4, 2015 at 16:48
How do you know that a good num of Iranians have been approved ?!
April 4, 2015 at 17:40
I’m Iranian and there is a Persian site where people report their lottery status. Each clearance process can range from few days up to months. We have individual clearances, and large group clearances. Last night, we had the second or third(not sure) of large group clearances in this fiscal year. Not sure why KCC does it this way.
April 5, 2015 at 06:15
April 5, 2015 at 23:28
The CEAC data shows issued numbers.
April 5, 2015 at 23:23
No – the VB is not based on issued visas.
April 4, 2015 at 10:43
Hello I submitted my DS260 in March 2015, when do you think I will receive 2NL?,
April 6, 2015 at 00:03
Possibly May or June if you are current at that time.
April 4, 2015 at 11:14
thanks for your continue support ,really am start worry about my chance my CN is 70XXX.so as your long experience what about my chance percentage.
April 6, 2015 at 00:04
I don’t quote percentage chances… you have some chance – just wait and hope – good luck!
April 4, 2015 at 15:14
Hello Brit, I have never known you but falling for you already, happy Easter,
Please what do you think about my CN AF77XXX
April 6, 2015 at 00:06
That is a high number with lots of risk. Your only hope is a low response rate – so wait and hope. Good luck and happy Easter.
April 4, 2015 at 15:26
Please what i mean is that i like the way u are so concern about people
April 5, 2015 at 05:56
Good day Brit
My cn is AF73K DO I stand a chance for an interview?
April 6, 2015 at 00:15
Some chance – but it is in a risky range.
April 5, 2015 at 10:07
Hi I’m sure you’ve received this question a 1000 times but someone recommended me to ask anyway my Case no is AF81XXX but I’m a realist and looking at the data There’s a very high chance it won’t reach those numbers Your views?
April 6, 2015 at 00:15
Yes – a very high chance that number will not be reached. It is MUCH higher than the same number last year because of Nigerias exclusion. Your only hope would be very unusually low response rates from cases lower than yours
April 5, 2015 at 10:27
nana dvlottery.state.gov is down someone broke it so what’s going to happen to us are they going to repair the site
April 6, 2015 at 00:08
Yes they will repair it soon I imagine.
April 5, 2015 at 15:09
Do you think the EU 44000 has no chance to go current.?
April 6, 2015 at 00:11
Very very small chance – not NO chance.
April 6, 2015 at 08:14
Thank you for your answer. But when we know more accurate data?
April 6, 2015 at 14:16
Well, July is when the last VB is out – you won’t be certain until then…
April 6, 2015 at 04:52
🙂 the same her. Mine is EU 44000 as well
April 6, 2015 at 08:17
All those selected should have a chance
April 6, 2015 at 14:17
In the letter to selectees it makes it clear that selection for further processing does not mean you are certain to get a Green Card – 125000 people are selected and they have 50000 Green Cards.
April 6, 2015 at 20:30
I know but this selection has shattered any dream has come to the US.
I am in the masters last year and wanted to apply for a visa to work and travel . But I was refused because of this selection .
April 6, 2015 at 20:50
You cannot be denied a non immigrant visa simply because you entered and were selected for the lottery. IF you complete the DS260 – that is a display of your intention to emigrate which is why some people should wait and consider whether they should complete that form. Even if you do complete the DS260 – there are many cases where people can still demonstrate that they will not emigrate during the term of a temporary visa – so – how did you fail to convince them??
April 6, 2015 at 21:33
Sorry about that. I am in the same situation. Because I am in US and wanted to do AOS. I had to submit my DS260 and now I want to switch to F1 for grad school. It will be tricky now that I have showed my intention. Pray for me guys.
April 6, 2015 at 20:42
And the company who enroll in the program it asks me $ 1400 because I was selected science that I have no chance to get a visa .
April 6, 2015 at 20:53
Very foolish to use an agent. Surely if you have a masters degree you are smart enough to know not to pay someone to fill out a form for you!!!
April 7, 2015 at 07:06
I was registered 5 years ago then I no knew that there dv lottery official site . this company then you automatically records every year until you win .
April 7, 2015 at 14:55
Very bad idea – first there is no need to pay to enter such a simple process and second, they could easily enter you without up to date details causing your disqualification.
April 7, 2015 at 07:52
Over 1,000 people are fooled by this company. most of them will get a visa and try to forget the company. But the rest of us what we do ! we live in a country where corruption is at home and virtually no chance of winning in court .
1000 * 1400 a good amount not ?
April 7, 2015 at 14:58
The way to avoid this is not be a customer of theirs.
April 7, 2015 at 15:00
By the way – the FBI are looking for people scammed in Russia and Ukraine by a list of companies. http://m.fbi.gov/#http://www.fbi.gov/cleveland/press-releases/2014/seeking-assistance-in-us-state-department-diversity-visa-lottery-and-green-card-lottery-investigation
April 7, 2015 at 15:26
I Thank You
I am from Moldova neighbors Ukraine is not excluded that the same crooks are just another company name
April 7, 2015 at 15:54
Ahh right. To their credit, Moldova are also taking steps to make sure selectees are not tricked by these firms.
April 5, 2015 at 19:28
Brit where have you been. Please i have one more question. I played the lottery with 2 names and when my ds260 came it had my 2 names but when i was filling the space of name as it appears on the passport, i wrote 3 names because my husband name was added to my passport when the immigration office in my country asked for my marriage certificate.Please will that cause me problems. please help
April 6, 2015 at 00:13
Been away for the weekend!
The name issue should be OK as changes often happen to due with married names.
April 6, 2015 at 09:33
hi sir please answer my question well do the us department of state want to cancel the dv lottery everything is messed up now I sense they want to cancel the dv lottery
April 6, 2015 at 10:01
My cn is EU32xxx
Do I have a chance for this VB?
April 6, 2015 at 17:58
April 6, 2015 at 11:22
hi sir please answer my question well do
the us department of state want to
cancel the dv lottery everything is
messed up now I sense they want to
cancel the dv lottery
April 6, 2015 at 17:57
There are certain politicians that want to cancel the DV lottery – but that cannot happen soon – so DV2016 is safe and I imagine DV2017 will go forward also.
April 6, 2015 at 15:06
how do I print my 2NL since the dvlottery website is down?
April 6, 2015 at 17:56
You can’t until it is up.
April 7, 2015 at 15:32
I had a query case I’ve worked interview on March 4 (approval)
The case is still Ready
I sent an email reply I was mandatory administrative measures
Question Now.? Is something called Random administrative measures
April 7, 2015 at 15:55
Administrative Processing. That happens to some cases – the length of time varies.
April 7, 2015 at 19:14
Indeed there are some measures . If you address to receive amasada certainly cases to avoid paying agents number . But shortly after I completed form dv- 260 I received a letter from agents that will be given to court.
April 7, 2015 at 22:08
Interesting – the only way that could actually result in a win for them in court is if you had an agreement that you would pay for the services they provide at the price that was agreed. If you did agree that – then you should have paid….
April 8, 2015 at 08:07
here and I wanted to get. agreement exists and is valid when they were selected . the result will lose money nor the state will not come.
So dvlottery is a reason of joy for some and for others a little drama.
if there was more information despreprogramul would have been better.
many still do not know much about this program majoritatead think usaimigration ( agent ) is the official site and give green card .
April 7, 2015 at 19:37
What happen in this administrative process?
April 7, 2015 at 22:16
It varies, but background checks typically.
April 7, 2015 at 20:15
Sorry , this post was supposed to be a little above
April 8, 2015 at 04:40
How is the background check done without the finger prints
April 8, 2015 at 05:23
Well, you have given them your passport details, full names, education and work history, travel history, parents details and so on. So… I think they have some info to use without your prints.
April 8, 2015 at 10:14
Thanks alot bro for this great source of DV knowledge.
would you kindly give us the CEAC update as of this week
April 8, 2015 at 16:43
Still working on it.
April 11, 2015 at 07:33
Hello , thank you for all
What do you think for af598xx , when will get 2nl ?
April 11, 2015 at 16:26
Probably June or July for August or September interview.
April 17, 2015 at 15:45
Hello Carla, we have almost the same num…
April 12, 2015 at 17:45
Hello brit , thank you gor your effort , i saw tahat af max case number is 89000
what do you think about AF67500?
April 12, 2015 at 20:06
That number has a good chance….
April 13, 2015 at 03:30
Hi britsimon, I sent my DS-260 form late, on 05 April, and my CN AF59000 is that I have a chance to be programmed for the interview. thank you
April 13, 2015 at 19:12
KCC seem to have speeded up the DS260 processing – so yes – you should still have a chance. Your number is safe – so you need the DS260 to be processed, and hopefully you will get an interview in August or September.
April 13, 2015 at 22:29
I hope you guys are getting prepared most importantly. Reading your conversation is quite interesting but I will suggest that you look at the visa bulletin released on 2007 it quite the same. Aftermath the Case Numbers will become current for august and september 2015 and will allow all qualified applicant to receive their visa.
April 14, 2015 at 00:54
You clearly have not been reading my blog have you…. This year is NOT the same as 2007.
April 13, 2015 at 23:47
thank you some much, but with the publication of the “cut-off numbers” of June 2015 today, the stress continues for NC high Africans, as my NC 59000 made from them there; So should I worry too ??
April 14, 2015 at 01:01
No you will be ok
April 14, 2015 at 06:08
The anxiety continues,Af region is so slow,hope kcc put things together and get a big jump next month @britsimon,please tell us how u think next month will be and if kcc is improving please
April 15, 2015 at 00:21
ok thank you
April 17, 2015 at 13:38
I am wondering about you mentioned density of 460 per 1000 CN for Nepal. But as I analysed from April CEAC data in your blog upto 4727 CNs, I found roughly 505 per 1000 and after deducting refused CNs, I found it 494 per 1000 as net. In line of my analysis, I found that case numbers from Nepal could be current upto 7100. There is vast difference between my analysis and your anlysis. Could you please share your idea of calculatng density per thousands.
April 17, 2015 at 20:12
Your numbers are incorrect. The file showed 2386 family (504) of which 1892 were issued (400). Check your calculations again – and check the new file for more data. Don’t forget however, that the full number of cases includes cases yet to be interviewed.
April 18, 2015 at 06:32
Thank you for your valuable suggestion Simon Sir. Your calculation is correct and genuine in the case of Nepal about which I was talking and am talking as well. However, my concern is that out of total family members of current CNs is more than 500 per 1000 if you take in gross where refused case is very rare in Nepal. For example, while looking upto 5273 CNs based on your CEAC, the gross members waiting for VISA are more than 500 per 1000 (2692 family members while reaching CNs 5273). But once the process will be completed, then there will be bit less rejection which is shown in upto 4700 CNs. It looks about 72 members while calculating upto 4718.Nevertheless, I might have some lack of insight and technique in drawing cases/1000, so could you please clear me on it?
Next can you make clear about how many CNs have no response alike in other countries of Asia and other regions?
At last but not least, I am wondering about reaching your fact of predicting minimum CN reaching point of 7600 for Nepal.
April 18, 2015 at 06:45
This is all just estimation – you are getting too hung up on it. Plus you don’t seem to be accounting for denials and no shows. Let’s just watch for a while and see how the numbers mature.
April 18, 2015 at 06:54
Thank you for your precious suggestions and I’m trying to follow your way of best predictions.