AFRICA | CURRENT | Except: Egypt: 21,325 |
ASIA | CURRENT | Except: Nepal: 6,950 |
EUROPE | 23,325 | |
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) | CURRENT | |
OCEANIA | 1,400 | |
SOUTH AMERICA, and the CARIBBEAN |
1,585 |
This is for August interviews and is the penultimate VB for the DV2018 year.
For the inevitable questions. CURRENT means all case numbers in the region can be scheduled. AS region being current was expected, AF region was not.
Those that are current, and have forms processed early enough, they can expect their 2NL in about 1 to 2 weeks from now. For the last three months there have been delays in 2NLs for a large number of people – so we still expect some people to be interviewed that were current in June and July. It is obvious that there has been some delay in scheduling interviews – at least in some embassies. Since this is not normal I don’t have good answers for what that means, what impacts that will cause and so on. Because AF regon is now current it means that the AF embassies that are scheduling interviews as normal will be able to have ANY case number scheduled, but I suspect there will still be some scheduling problems in some of the embassies. It’s going to be interesting.
It looks like there has been a small redistribution from Asia (because AS region cannot use its quota while the travel ban is in force), and that has benefitted OC, SA and EU. Because of this OC and SA might exceed their previous expected numbers (so people with borderline high cases just got some good news) whilst EU is still a low number despite more visas from AS.
One more VB to go for DV2018.
For DV2019 winners – remember this VB is NOTHING to do with your numbers – this is just DV2018.
To those new to looking at VBs, let me explain what the “except” XXX country means.
Processing is spread out over the full year. You can see the progress of the two previous years in this post about basic questions. However, some countries have a high number of selectees and those selectees are concentrated in the lower case numbers. For various reasons, mainly to do with embassy capacity, KCC slow down certain countries as compared to the region. So – in Africa, any case with a case number shown as under the new number can be interviewed but for cases from Egypt, that number is lower. That isn’t a big problem, it just “slows down” those countries a little more than the rest of the region. Since selectees from those countries all have lower case numbers, this slowing down does not present any risk. It does not (at this point) mean they won’t allow all selectees an interview from those countries.
To understand why some countries get lower case numbers, read this article about the lottery draw process.
June 15, 2018 at 16:28
Hi Brit,
I just check my status at ceac to see if it has gone current after the latest visa bulletin but yet it still shows “AT NVC” so when will the numbers be current?? Am 2018AF41xxx. Will it be in August or before 2NL are sent?? Thanks
June 15, 2018 at 16:41
Mine is 2018AF290xx but still “AT NVC” too very worried
June 16, 2018 at 15:09
Hi
Pls which website did u use. Wanna check mine as well but don’t know how too.
June 17, 2018 at 18:32
2NLs aren’t updated immediately when the VB is released so you’ll have to check again in a few days. Interviews will be in August anyway so there is time and no reason to be worried
June 15, 2018 at 16:49
OK let’s just wait this month may be they will just arrange us in the days ahead just wait because u might have it by the last two weeks of June since u r schedule for July
June 15, 2018 at 17:07
Hi Brit,
My number is current for August. We live in the US and we are doing CP in Vienna, Austria. Because the Austrian Consulate is not busy at all regarding DV cases and our guess is that the interview will be at the beginning of the month, do you think it would be a good idea to buy flight tickets now? We are planning to be in Austria from around 25th of July through 20th of August.
Thanks!
June 15, 2018 at 17:11
I meant the US Consulate in Austria
June 15, 2018 at 18:17
I think that would be a silly risk to take for the sake of a few days.
June 15, 2018 at 17:12
Dear .
I have problem , from sudan my case from AF is current and i applied in DV from sudan , but the birth certificate from egypt ? This will affect in interview ?
And what can i do ?
June 15, 2018 at 18:13
You are at risk of disqualification, because you gained an advantage by not putting your correct country of birth.
June 15, 2018 at 17:19
Ok friends,I’m also waiting for my turn with my EU238XX but I don’t want to burn Simon’s brain with this kind of questions he allready answered thousend times ages ago…So please ask questions with thinking about he is also a humanbeeing and is not working in the embassy, he answers this questions to help you,not to earn money or something like it.
June 15, 2018 at 18:13
🙂
June 15, 2018 at 17:27
Hello Brit. I really apologize for any inconvenience and thank you for all the help you give us. Well I read and reread as you said but I would like you to explain to me what mean AFRICA CURRENT AND AS CURRENT? I really need to understand this because my CN is AF43 *** I would like to know if all the numbers will have interview … Thank you thank you and thank you again for answering me
June 15, 2018 at 18:03
“CURRENT means all case numbers in the region can be scheduled” – isn’t that clear????
June 15, 2018 at 18:06
Yes and thank you for your answer God bless you
June 15, 2018 at 18:11
So the same words in the article above *didn’t* make sense – but this way did.
June 16, 2018 at 01:40
Hahahahahaahahaha… i love this blog
June 15, 2018 at 19:08
Just for those who still don’t get it :
Will and Can are two auxiliary verbs that are often confused when it comes to their usage. Strictly speaking, they are different in their usage and application. The auxiliary verb ‘will’ is used primarily in the future tense. On the other hand, the verb ‘can’ is used in the sense of ‘ability’.
In other words, the verb ‘can’ indicates ‘ability’, but it does not indicate future tense as ‘will’ does.
June 16, 2018 at 10:53
what you mean by saying “can be scheduled” ,is it not sure to everyone will get 2l ?
June 16, 2018 at 13:08
No. There are people in some embassies still waiting for the interviews even though they were current in June and July
June 15, 2018 at 17:29
Hey brit thanks for your help ..I happen to have to 2 emails one of them isn’t working properly tho (I just noticed that and I noticed that it’s the one in my ds260 form ) and my number just got current. .is there still time to unlock the form to change the email ,and will it cause any delay if I did ..or can I just keep checking the website regardless of weather I got the 2nl or not
June 15, 2018 at 18:02
Don’t unlock now unless you really need to – and IF you **really** need to, do it IMMEDIATELY.
June 16, 2018 at 06:05
Is the email update nessecary to unock ? Will it cause delay?
June 16, 2018 at 13:26
No need to unlock.
June 15, 2018 at 17:30
Simon, how do you think is it possible that EU regions numbers will be interviewed after 30 september? it has been ever?
June 15, 2018 at 17:38
Read the bulletin, it specifically says that’s not going to happen.
June 15, 2018 at 18:00
No – that would NEVER EVER happen. Ever.
June 15, 2018 at 17:34
Dear Brit I am very disappointed. I got a 267** do you think that ther is a hope? Hope for redistribution or something else?
Thanks
June 15, 2018 at 18:01
I don’t know. Wait and see.
June 15, 2018 at 17:36
Good news for AF! I am not going to say I expected it (quite the opposite) but I knew there were only two choices. Either they insisted on scheduling all cases they made “current” (in this cases they wouldn’t have gone higher than 43XXX) or the fairer option, making all the continent “current” and leaving the responsibility to the embassies.
I thought they were going to choose the first option, but fortunately, I was wrong. Now some caution,….I don’t want to sound pessimistic but some current cases “MAY” not get scheduled for lack of capacity (or whatever the problem they have) in some embassies! I hope they will bve able to schedule everyone, but some prudence is advised.
Good luck!
June 15, 2018 at 18:00
Quite.
June 15, 2018 at 18:01
soo my nr is 22xxx EU,completed the ds260 on june first week last year,that means im gettin a 2NL right? sooner or later. thank you
June 15, 2018 at 18:13
how many visas do you estimate that are going to redistribute?
Thanks
June 15, 2018 at 18:28
I am not estimating how many they will redistribute, but the redistribution is unused AS visas. That **could be** (not WILL be) around 3000 visas (max). It is distributed according the quota percentage – so if 3000 were redistributed it would be 90 additional visas for SA.
June 15, 2018 at 19:33
Brit I understand that the quota for SA is 3% when all region are participating but now AS and AF are not participating in the redistribution so I think that the quota would be bigger than 3% for SA. Am I right?
Thanks
June 15, 2018 at 20:22
The redistribution is FROM AS region (not AF). so the additional visas is 3% of the redistribution amount.
June 16, 2018 at 00:20
Why redistribution is only from AS? Africa also will not use their visas.
June 16, 2018 at 01:07
That is how the law is written (INA Section 203(c)(1)(E)(iv))
June 16, 2018 at 02:03
So what is the percentage fir EU? Is it still around 37%? AF don’t need aby visas so they won’t take their 43%…
June 16, 2018 at 03:18
The redistribution (IF it is happening!) is based on the original percentage.
June 16, 2018 at 03:48
Sorry for all of this questinos. I am tryting to understand that. So you are talking about original percenteg. Are you talking about 36.576% go to EU? If yes, what will happen with 43.086% for Africa? They are already current and they don’t need more visas.
I understand that everything here is hypothetical. Thank you.
June 16, 2018 at 04:38
Those visas would not be used.
June 16, 2018 at 05:46
So HYPOTHETICLY (we are only considering some things). IF there is this redistribution and 3000 visas from AS is available (which is MAX, it can be less) in that case 37% (which is ~1100 visas) go to EU, and 1100 visas is around 1500 CN. And there is no chance for redistribution from AF. Is my thinking correct? I am only considering this scenerio, I know there are a lot of “IFs”.
June 16, 2018 at 13:27
Really – wait and see. In less than 30 days we will know.
June 16, 2018 at 12:15
Anna, it is simple. It is based on region’s quotas, not on the number of selectees. For instance, in DV-2017 quota for AF was 38.44%, for AS 15.31%, for EU 41.05%, for OC 1.53%, for SA 3.66% and for NA 0.01%. We do not know quotas for DV-2018, so let’s base calculations on DV-2017 quotas. We need to redistribute quota for AS, and we know that AF and NA are already current. We are sure AF is current including Egypt in August VB (even Egypt is not current in July VB yet). Then we have only 3 regions to redistribute from – EU, OC and SA. EU gets 41.05/(41.05+1.53+3.66) = 88.77% of excess of number of visas available. OC gets 3.31% and SA gets 7.92%. Clear and simple.
June 16, 2018 at 13:05
… But – we don’t know
Exactly how many visas will be considered unused/available.
OR
Whether KCC will assign them according to the law
OR
Whether there is enough capacity to use them.
SO – “wait and see”.
June 16, 2018 at 16:04
Dtrump, it is not so simple. We know what is the region quotas. For EU for DV2018 it’s 36.576%. (https://britsimonsays.com/update-about-quotas/). Brit said that visas which normaly would be redistributed to AF will not be used. So 43% (quota for AF) is just lost. For EU there is only 36% from the redistributed visas.
June 16, 2018 at 17:14
Actually, re-reading the law I think the distribution would be among the three beneficiary regions in their relative proportions.
June 16, 2018 at 17:16
That is what Brit said, that he knew quotes. If his knowledge were correct, he would not predict 36000 final cutoff for Europe. If visas for AF are not used (and that is correct they are already current and are not used), they are redistributed again and so on,because they are unused too, and for each redistribution you have the same percentage. Finally you get 88% from EU, 8% from SA and 4% from OC. AF would not be used but would not be forfeited as well. It’s share would be taken from other regions in proportions dictated by law.
June 16, 2018 at 18:58
Oh Please.
Your AF prediction was 36 to 41. You predicted both regions low. You explanation for the AF miss is the travel ban – which is nonsense if you consider how many AF selectees were affected by the ban (very few, FYI).
The reality is that early (long range) predictions are not accurate. They can’t be. People behave differently and many factors come into play that we cannot predict. You plucked a couple of pessimistic numbers from the sky. Your EU guess has been exceeded already (maybe because of redistributikon, but we cannot know), but there is one more VB left. Your AF prediction was nowhere near.
Even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
June 16, 2018 at 22:43
Come on. Noone knows how to take travel ban into account. Especially noone knows if he is impeached yet.
June 16, 2018 at 23:48
The travel ban affects a specific set of countries, with a defined number of people.
For AF region the countries affected (with their TOTAL selectees) are:
Chad 85
Libya 441
Somalia 436
So – about 1000 people possibly affected – half of whom would not have responded anyway. So – maybe 300 cases – tops. Say they are ALL banned – do you really think that justifies your 36 to 41 difference to current?
Of course not.
Asia on the other hand had Syria, Yemen and Iran banned – over 6000 selectees.
June 17, 2018 at 18:58
What I think is going on is the following. Previous VB cutoff for Africa (38000) corresponds to the amount of entries that are needed to fill African quota (complies with my prediction 36000 to 41000). This VB African cutoff (Current) already included African share of redistribution for Asia. However, this VB European cutoff (23325) does not include European share of redistribution for Asia, and only corresponds to the amount of entries that are needed to fill European quota (still almost complies with my prediction 22000 to 23000). Next European cutoff would include Eurpoean share of redistribution for Asia. If you ask me why there is a shift in one month when they include Asian redistributon share (between Africa and Europe), I’d say because of possible quicker turnaround time for Europe than for Africa (between being under cutoff and issuing a visa). The whole situation is brought up because of travel ban, and this is exactly what I meant when addressing the travel ban as the reason.
June 17, 2018 at 19:33
Well there are massive holes all over that theory. For instance – AF 38000 being enough to fill the quota. That is OBVIOUSLY not correct. As I already explained the impact of the travel ban (for AF) is knowable and tiny. There was no way AF38000 would have filled the quota. None. AF is NOT even benefitting from any redistribution – so the decision to go current was based on the original AF quota. You only have to look at issued numbers to date to see why.
Then on to EU. You don’t know that 23325 is without any redistribution. That is your guess, largely because it means your earlier EU prediction was closer. In other words, as can be seen in your comments about AF, you are trying to fit the numbers to your earlier estimates – even though both numbers have been exceeded. And again – it is NOT because of the travel ban… not in AF or EU. However, the massive underfilling in AS region IS because of the travel ban.
June 17, 2018 at 20:44
It is not AF who is benefitting from any redistribution, it is AS who is benefitting. The decision for Africa to go current was based on redistribution for Asia.
June 18, 2018 at 03:27
You are very confused. That is completely wrong.
June 18, 2018 at 12:24
Based on my completely wrong theory I predict final cutoffs for the next VB – EU 27770, OC 1575, SA 1825. The theory is based on redistribution for Asian visas, and on the assumption that Africa has already used it’s share of redistribution for Asia, and on the fact that KCC tries to redistribute all visas taken by travel ban, so that the overall quota is filled. Of course, noone really knows if KCC is really going to do that, but the assumtions are reasonable, in order to fill the yearly quota.
June 18, 2018 at 12:33
Typo. 27270 for EU, not 27770.
June 21, 2018 at 02:32
Law (INA Section 203(c)(1)(E)(iv)) reads:
(iv) Redistribution of unused visa numbers. – If the Secretary of State estimates that the number of immigrant visas to be issued to natives in any region for a fiscal year under this paragraph is less than the number of immigrant visas made available to such natives under this paragraph for the fiscal year, subject to clause (v), the excess visa numbers shall be made available to natives (other than natives of a high-admission state) of the other regions in proportion to the percentages otherwis e specified in clauses (ii) and (iii).
Why do you say that redistribution from AF to EU wouldn’t happen?
In what clauses I can find that thing?
Previous years EU was benefited from AF, why not again?
Please explain it more clear.
Thanks!
June 21, 2018 at 04:15
Well for one very obvious thing there are plenty of AF people waiting for interviews! Look in less than 4 weeks we will see the final VB. Wait and see.
July 13, 2018 at 12:29
Well. Interesting. African cutoff was rescinded to 39500, within my original prediction 36000 to 41000. So, the main reason for my EU, OC and SA final prediction was incorrect – the desire to cover travel ban. They decided not to redistribute Asian visas.
July 13, 2018 at 14:55
LOLOL. YOur original prediction on AF was presumably based on filling the quota. This number won’t. So – despite your WH connections, you were completely wrong… but that’s OK – this has been a weird year for sure.
July 13, 2018 at 12:33
Even for EU predicting 22000 to 23000 with final cutoff 25775 is not bad. Though not precise.
June 15, 2018 at 18:32
Simon, first of all BIG THANK YOU as always for sharing this info and your perspective. Could you please elaborate why you think that EU benefited from redistribution of numbers from Asia? I understand for OC and SA but I know that for all of us looking at EU number, this is another disappointing month. I was hoping that they will keep in EU the increase of at least 1600 range so that in the last month one can hope for jump but with decline of increase to 1425, things just got a lot more complicated in EU. My sister has EU265xx and while this looked very promising number until few months ago it almost seems that miracle is needed in the last month to make it.
We know that EU numbers can only improve if they benefit from redistributions from other regions and in my mind that meant larger increase of numbers so would appreciate your perspective. I know that there might still be possibility of increase in the last month and we will all wait to see but understanding your perspective on redistributions would be very helpful.
In my post from few months I also mentioned that I feel number of issued visas is the key trend to look at so let’s see if all regions that became current can pick up the pace OR if they will increase EU quota. I have been monitoring weekly trend of issued visas across all regions and AFRICA is not showing an increase but I know that there were all these scheduling issues.
I also wanted to ask if Embassies have to follow sequence of numbers in scheduling interviews or each Embassy can choose names from the list that they feel are likely to meet criteria even if that means skipping people with lower numbers (especially relevant for those regions that are already CURRENT)?
June 15, 2018 at 18:41
Prior to this VB there were already about 14000 visas issued in EU (remember, we don’t see AOS issuances). The pace of issuance will slow slightly, but we have been seeing OVER 1500 a month in EU. So – if June and July take something nearing 3000 combined – that would already see us at 17000. In reality, they didn’t need many more cases in August and September to fill the quota so seeing an increase as we saw today will probably hit the quota (without redistribution) and gives them the option to let the quota be exceeded.
The best advice is still “wait and see”
No, KCC/ embassies do not have to schedule in strict CN order during the month.
June 15, 2018 at 18:36
What are the expectations for Egypt next VB
June 15, 2018 at 18:42
I don’t know.
June 17, 2018 at 12:18
Egypt and Nepal are expected to be either current or effectively current(what means the cutoff above their max number)
June 17, 2018 at 18:42
You can expect that if you want – I prefer to wait and see.
June 15, 2018 at 19:26
Hi Simon, Do you think that there is any possibility as July DV nm 23325 for EU is remained at August bulletin?
June 15, 2018 at 20:23
It’s possible.
June 15, 2018 at 19:49
EU 30xxx ?? no chance
June 15, 2018 at 19:49
Hi Simon,
As you say, VB for August 2018 is nothing to do for DV 2019. In your opinion , when will the government published data on how many selectees there are across regions about DV2019 like the last year?
Thanks a lot.
June 15, 2018 at 20:21
That would normally have been in the VB today. It wasn’t – so we wait and see.
June 15, 2018 at 20:02
Hi sir!
I am from Afghanistan I have been interviewed on this month June and from Afghanistan no one have received their visas yet all cases are at administrative processing so can you please tell me what is happening?
Any idea
June 15, 2018 at 20:20
I don’t know the specifics, but it is likely they are performing additional background screening on those cases.
June 15, 2018 at 23:45
Salam Jemme,
I am also a winner from Afghanistan. When did you give your interview? You said no one has received any visa from Afghanistan yet?
June 16, 2018 at 04:40
Hi dear Ali!
I had interview on June 3rd and yeah there is over 100 cases in administrative processing so there is only two visa has been issued since from start of this year .
So what about you when you are going to have interview?
You can contact me on Facebook(Ayub khan)
June 15, 2018 at 20:06
Hi Brit waoooo Af region just did it!!! !
*pls do you have any idea if Cameroon embassy asks about bank statements or affidavit of support? Thanks in advance for your kind answers
June 15, 2018 at 20:17
Normally they ask about a host, but if I were interviewing, I would over prepare.
June 16, 2018 at 18:15
Brit please when u talk about a host what do u mean?
June 16, 2018 at 18:53
britsimonsays.com/all-about-public-charge-affidavit-of-support-i-134/
June 17, 2018 at 07:11
My cases number is 49xxx so I want know if I can be interview in August
June 17, 2018 at 18:35
Maybe.
June 15, 2018 at 20:21
I’m also from Cameroon with CN Af290xx. Have you receive your 2nl yet Michael? and what is your cn?
Can we link up and chat Michael?
Email [email protected]
June 16, 2018 at 18:13
Not yet
June 15, 2018 at 20:58
Hi Simon,
I am a DV2018 winner from SA living in the US and my CN is SA173X. There are about 111holes before my number and about 790 at NVC last I checked. If the next VB makes another 160 jump I will be current. Do you think there is a big chance the last VB will include my number? Do you have an updated prediction as to which CN might become current for SA.
At this point it is almost like a battle against the clock since I would be doing AOS.
I understand it is hard to make predictions so I know I have to wait and see in case you do not feel too comfortable making a prediction.
On a second note, I wanted to thank you for all the time and effort you put on this blog and at the forum along with Mom and all of them.
Thanks a lot and keep the good work!
June 15, 2018 at 21:40
I can’t predict it. Really.
June 15, 2018 at 21:08
Guys if you need to know if your case number will make it or not you should go to fortune teller otherwise don’t bother Mr britsimon! just wait and see?
June 15, 2018 at 21:54
Hey Brit, I salute and thank you for your good work my case number is 2018Af51xxx I want to ask if the will schedule the interview in an increasingly order following the CN or does the time in which we submit our ds-260 form matter, those who submit earlier will be called first?
Thanks for your reply in advance
June 15, 2018 at 23:12
Within the cases that are current, there is no ordering that we can discern. It is not case number or DS260 submission date.
June 15, 2018 at 23:25
That’s the million dollar question ..
I kept thinking about it and I don’t know why some cases 28300 and let didn’t get scheduled .
June 16, 2018 at 08:21
What about those who where current for july interverview and haven’t received their 2NL yet are they concerned ???
June 16, 2018 at 13:13
Of course they are concerned!
June 17, 2018 at 09:25
Which means we shouldn’t expect to receive our 2NL’s for July interview.
In AF region.
June 17, 2018 at 18:39
I doubt any more July interviews are being scheduled – they are scheduling August now.
June 15, 2018 at 22:03
EU240xx here. I believe the chances for September are slim at best. Very crude extrapolation shows that if the current issuance rate persists – and for now the graph is almost linear, EU will get to 19K (sorry, what’s the total number of visas for EU, again?) in late August.
Maybe it’ll slow down a little bit. Maybe they’ll throw in some more visas. Maybe it wont happen.
Let’s wait and see. And good luck to us all.
June 15, 2018 at 23:14
The rate isn’t linear. There is a slowdown (as predicted) because as the VB numbers were reduced, interviews reduced etc.
But yeah – wait and see.
June 16, 2018 at 12:32
My original January prediction for final September cutoff for Europe was precise – 22000 to 23000. I missed 325. But because of redistribution it could go higher.
June 15, 2018 at 22:19
Hi Simon,
Thanks for everything. It was pleasure to read your reviews and opinions from month to month.
If you can answer me on my last question: By your opinion, which number will be the last for EU?
Thanks
June 15, 2018 at 23:17
If you have been reading my opinions – you already know my answer….
June 15, 2018 at 23:50
Thanks so much for all the help and advice you give (both here and elsewhere). I’ve got a low 1300s OC number and thought my number wasn’t going to come up until the last month. Was pretty shocked to see OC jump by so much.
I unlocked and fixed a small issue with my DS260 (I changed jobs and wanted to fix that info) in late May. I did it without thinking. Is this likely to delay when I get the 2NL?
June 16, 2018 at 01:05
No
June 16, 2018 at 02:03
Hi Simon, shouldn’t the DV 2019 selectee numbers have been published with the latest bulletin?
June 16, 2018 at 03:15
Yes – but the results was delayed so possibly that affected their announcement. But anyway – it doesn’t mean anything.
June 16, 2018 at 03:21
What are the chances of OC going current?
June 16, 2018 at 04:39
Nil.
June 16, 2018 at 03:46
hello Brit
AF,AS, NA,are current So now this 3 country having their all case are ready for interview (apart from those 5 country listed individually )…..is it true sir??
help me …I m waried ?
June 16, 2018 at 04:38
Read the article above!
June 16, 2018 at 13:10
Hello Brit
Iam case EU2955..
Do you think there is a chance to get current in Eu ?
Thank you in advance
June 16, 2018 at 05:09
Hi brit am from Africa and when i check i see currently at KCC don’t understand yer any hope there
June 16, 2018 at 05:22
What is your case number and your country please. Am from Cameroon
June 16, 2018 at 18:09
Hello Paul I am also in Cameroon so how do we meet
June 16, 2018 at 18:12
[email protected] that’s my email
June 16, 2018 at 05:26
am from kenya Af 49***
June 16, 2018 at 05:27
Ok
June 16, 2018 at 06:13
Hi mr Simon
I was not expecting my case to be current 2018AF50xxx but I am going to Malaysia next week for university. Will changing my interview location cause me delays right now?
June 16, 2018 at 13:21
Probably. Contact KCC on Monday.
June 16, 2018 at 07:16
Dear Simon;
This seems to be a personal/private question but I think may be there are others who are facing the same issues.
My interview were suppossed to be in july in AF(Senegal) and I hope it will be in august(as KCC guys told me) and I think that Senegal US consulate ask for the sponsor(i-134 right?) but this is not my main issue/question.
All of my friends in US does not have the sufficient income. So sad. I have a little saving with me( I think this is promissing right? Considering that I will be interviewed in august or september(we never know) AP has to be avoided at any cost right?
So here is my question:
1. Do the applicant’s background(academic, age, marital status….) taken into consideration in determing if he/she is likely to be a public charge?(I am single, under 35, 7 years experience and a master degree in Finance)
2. What is the best way way of proving that I am not likely to be a public charge?
a) Combine my savings with the i-134
b)Leave my savings and find a sponsor who meet the income requirement?
3.I know that COs are different and of cause you can not predict their behaviours but logically the fact of being part of my sponsorship(my contribution/savings) isn’t a good start to be taken into consideration?
Thanks and good lucky to all of you(Selectees)
June 16, 2018 at 10:12
Hi Rutanga
could I have your email please … I’m from Senegal too, I’m in the same situation as you .. My interview was supposed to be scheduled in July. but so far no second letter .. Case number: 29xxx.
June 16, 2018 at 16:34
Here is my e-mail: [email protected]
June 16, 2018 at 13:19
1. Yes. If your 7 years experience shows you can earn a good living, that would help. Experience carries more weight than education in that sense. Many masters educated people are hopeless.
2. A sponsor that doesn’t meet the income requirement is useless to you. So – B works, savings help.
3. You can apply logic as well as I can…
June 16, 2018 at 07:34
Hi Brit ..Af went current…nobody knew that…was suprise…now kcc will has more simple situation for next vb…do you think Eu can go current ,,,yes or no
June 16, 2018 at 13:15
No
June 16, 2018 at 09:04
Hey Brit,
Last years EU region issued visas number was around 19900. Is there any changing circumstance in this year that would cause to influence number of the visas to be issued either upwards or downwards compared to last year? Was Iran (or any other country) ban also effective as of last year?
June 16, 2018 at 13:13
LOTS of things are different this year!
The ban started during DV2017, quotas were different, DV2017 started when we didn’t have a moron in the Whitehouse…
June 16, 2018 at 22:17
But how? All the time you are telling us that this situation with DV2018 does not have anything to do with Trump…as we supposed from the beginning. From february we started to be afraid because of EU CN’s higher than 25k…But you convinced us that we have to stop spreading panic…Today, numbers lower than 25k are risky…
June 16, 2018 at 23:49
How what?
June 17, 2018 at 00:58
By the way – this Trump thing is so silly. Trump would stop immigration if he could – you understand that – right? OK – well if you seriously thought that Trump somehow was so inclined, surely EU would not be issuing at the pace they are – especially to Muslim countries. It’s obvious – isn’t it?
June 16, 2018 at 11:28
Hi Simon,
Selectees numbers for DV-2019 were not included in VB of this month, strange … looking back at previous years, I see it also happened in 2012 and 2013 where they were never published.
Any other resources to find these numbers?
Thanks a lot
June 16, 2018 at 13:07
Once they are published – yes.
June 16, 2018 at 13:12
Hello Brit
Iam case EU2955..
Do you think there is a chance to get current in Eu ?
Thank you in advance
June 16, 2018 at 13:35
EU cannot go current.
June 16, 2018 at 15:03
Why Europe cannot go current? How much redistributed visa can be expected from Asia and Africa? Moreover, what about NACARA and iimit of 55000 visas? Dont you think that in a year (2018) when US unemployment is lowest in history at 3,8% currently Donald Trump administration should use this opportunity and atract maximum labor available?
June 16, 2018 at 15:32
There are too many cases still remaining and only one more month.
Trump doesn’t see immigration as a benefit.
June 16, 2018 at 15:44
I think Trump reacts only to illegal immigration, DV Lottery is legitimate way to attract fresh labor. If there is some year where total DV Programme should come close to 55000 , 2018th should be the one, due to massive US economy and full employment is obtained.
June 16, 2018 at 17:29
DV has nothing to do with attracting labor – and there is certainly nothing about the process that is varied because of the employment rate. Lastly – Trump and his supporters barely understand the difference between legal and illegal immigration. To them, immigrants are just people “costing” them money. That is the rhetoric, and the belief of the largely undereducated Trump base.
June 16, 2018 at 14:50
Our number is current for august.When can we expect our 2NL?I read it will be about a week or two, but is there any diferences bcs it’s summer holidays etc. and any concern of delay?We saw problems with AF region.We are from EU region.
June 16, 2018 at 15:31
The article above explains what I know.
June 16, 2018 at 17:14
ye, i read the article and unceartiniy marked this dv 2018.But, we will wait and see…….
June 16, 2018 at 16:52
Simon has ever been situation for exam: was 23 000 for agust but interviewed more higher cases same month
June 16, 2018 at 17:07
A case cannot be interviewed unless that case number is current. That is a law. No exceptions.
June 16, 2018 at 19:25
Hi Brit,
1)- How do you know if your CN is current?
2)- If you are on a family status….and only the principal applicant shows completed, spouse and kid shows incomplete….do I need to wait for the 2NL before completing their application. do i need to be worried.
Our CN is AF32XXX.
Thanks
June 16, 2018 at 20:04
1. If you are DV2018 – you are current.
2. All should show complete. You did not submit them – do it immediately.
June 17, 2018 at 02:42
Hi,
Can i use one case number to submit for all of them? Because i tried doing that but the system said the case the is wrong since i have submitted for the principal applicant.
regards.
June 17, 2018 at 02:53
Yes
Read the link here
https://britsimonsays.com/completing-the-ds260-for-dv-lottery-entrants/
June 17, 2018 at 03:15
Thanks i will try that.
When can we expect our 2NL.
when possible can we be schedule.
Cheers
June 18, 2018 at 18:00
Hi Brit,
Thanks a lot for the direction. all the forms have been submitted.
If i may ask how long can it take for us to have the 2NL. AF32XXX
Is there a specific time frame to close the appointment of 2018 winners.
Cheers…LL
June 18, 2018 at 20:06
The article above answers this question…
June 17, 2018 at 00:27
Hi can you let me your email I can help you
June 16, 2018 at 20:14
EU258xx Whats your opinion guys. Hopefully ill get an interview and head to USA 🙂
June 16, 2018 at 21:26
Now do you say EU quota this year is around 18300? dvroger was the one who calculated according to FBI world fact book, then he changed the quota to around 19500 (which I didn’t really understand how or why).. We saw on the forum. Do you agree on this updated EU quota? and from AS one of the friend says above – EU gets 88% as a one of the three beneficiary? Do you also agree that. Well as you see, your opinion about these are important since you made a good calculations last year. Have a good day
June 17, 2018 at 00:52
The quota is a percentage of the overall visas available. 18300 is the EU quota at 50,000.
DV4Roger is convinced the actual global quota is nearer the 55,000, and his 19500 number reflects that. The reason he believes that is that NACARA (which takes 5,000 from the original 55,000) is not using the 5,000 or anything close. He could be correct. I wrote about that in detail some years ago (in the immigration.com forum) after studying the NACARA rules and usage. So – that piece of the puzzle is not news to me. BUT *if* 55,000 is the quota then why do they say 50k and why do they stop the allocation early (as they did last year for instance. Surely if 50k could be breached they would not have had the TERRIBLE scenario of approved AOS cases being told there were no visas. Surely, they could have found 50 or 100 extra visas for people that had paid around $1500 for each case and were already in the USA. But they didn’t – so that says to me that they may now be enforcing the 50k limit, regardless of whether NACARA uses them or not.
As for the redistribution. The redistribution may or may not be happening or happen. We don’t know for sure. The distribution would benefit three countries. They divide the redistributable visas among the three regions within their quota proportions. I think Roger describes it as a 14% increase per region. That is probably the simplest way to think of it. Roger was certain we would see a “bonanza” with the latest VB. He saw that as a test of his understanding of the law and the wording which he felt OBLIGED the VO to redistribute the visas. I certainly did not agree they were obliged to do so. However, since the bonanza would mean a new quota of about 2000 extra visas for EU (so quota of 20,500 at 50k or 21500+ at Rogers idea of the quota), that would have allowed a bigger number for August. So – he thinks the test “failed”. I actually think we might be seeing an increase – and we will know most conclusively with OC.
BUT – none of this really “matters” in one sense. The ONLY thing that matters is what happens in the last VB. So – whilst the constant re-hashing of the laws and re-forecasting is a big hope for some – as I said back in January, sometimes the VO/KCC don’t behave as the math says they should. So – “wait and see”.
June 26, 2018 at 15:02
Hi Brit! What a weird year, ain’t it? Obviously, super-hard to predict what might happen in the last VB for EU…. Having read all your articles and comments, I’m not clear about a couple of things: is redistribution from AF totally out of the question at this point? It seems that by making AF and AS go current that could make redistribution possible for EU. At this point it’s basically a question of embassy capacity in AF. There’s probably a limit as to how many cases they can interview/process in the last couple of months. Right? Looking at data from previous years, it seems hardly possible AF can issue more than 2500 visas per month. So that would mean that by the end of the process, AF total might be around 19,000 (similar to that of 2015). That means around 2,500 visas left unused from AF, even if people are waiting for interviews but who just can’t be scheduled before September 30th. Do you think they might redistribute some of those in the last VB or is it simply too late? Also, I don’t understand what you mean in the above post when you say “I actually think we might be seeing an increase, and we will know most conclusively with OC”.. Can you explain that a bit more? Thanks!
June 26, 2018 at 19:03
I think it will all happen too late to count for much. With thousands of interviews to schedule, they will have a hard time saying there are unused visas, until the visas are actually unused…
Anyway – this is a wacky year – wait and see is STILL the best idea.
June 26, 2018 at 19:05
Oh – OC. That is a canary in the mine. OC should not go over 1500 if the regular quota is imposed. Since they increased to 1400, they are within reach of a higher number for September. So – they could increase above 1500 IF there are additional visas available.
June 26, 2018 at 21:37
Please share link (in the immigration.com forum) about your analysis of NACARA, couldn’t find.
Thanks!
June 27, 2018 at 04:04
I don’t have it – it was probably 3 years ago, maybe more. Use the search feature.
June 16, 2018 at 21:36
Dear Simone,
We still under administrative process since 50 days at US embassy in Egypt , do you think it will jump to more than 60 days.
Our feeling is very bad .
Thanks.
June 17, 2018 at 00:53
There is nothing magic about the number of days. There is no promise that cases will complete in 60 days – some cases take longer than that. Some take MUCH longer than that. All you can do is wait.
June 16, 2018 at 23:14
i hope they are going to schedule interviews for June and July left cases
June 17, 2018 at 00:57
Hi Mr Brit,
Hope you are fine. Thank you so much for your great help for all people. I have one question. I did my interview in Japan on May 14th but it went AP may be due to two reasons one of them as I am from Egypt. The second as I am working in cancer research. Now, I have an offer as a postdoctoral Scholar in US university and they wanna help me to get another type of Visa, possibly H1B, so they asked me to fill in a Criminal Background Check authorization form. I explained to them that may be I will get a green card but as you know the time and the result are unknown for AP cases. So, my question is what is your advice to protect my new position that I get it after difficult competition between the scholars? Do you think filling the form will affect the running screening for DV? Thanks in advance.
June 17, 2018 at 01:00
There is no impact between the processes.
June 17, 2018 at 01:16
So, you recommend to fill it to safe my new position? If yes, what should I do if they finalized it soon and asked me to apply for H1B visa?
June 17, 2018 at 01:21
You can decide with their lawyers. The H1B is not a fast process either, so relax – there is time to make your decisions.
June 17, 2018 at 01:23
Thank you so much. You are so cooperative. Wish all the best for you and your family.
June 20, 2018 at 08:51
Mr. Amer , how many days you are in AP?
June 17, 2018 at 05:03
Hello,
My case number is 2018AS12*** and according to August visa bulletin my case is current. I have a problem with my petitioner.When i fill the ds260, I put a US friend as a petitioner and put “yes” for green card postal address in ds260. Now I don’t have any contact with him. (He didn’t reply to my mails and didn’t answer my phone) So I was unable get affidavit of support from him (I 134 form) (embassy needs it). So,
1) can I change the petitioner at the interview?
or
2)Should I want to edit ds260 to change the petitioner?
3)could I choose another person to get affidavit of support instead of this person,
4)I have enough money in bank, so is it possible to face interview without affidavit of support from another person? Will I get disqualified?
5) if so how much should it be in my account?
Thanks
June 17, 2018 at 18:32
1. Yes
2. No need unless you need to change your USA address. You can do that at the interview.
3. Yes
4. Varies by embassy/CO/case.
5. At least $10k per person.
June 17, 2018 at 08:43
mr simon
Finally my case number is current in this VB for August (AF205XX)
i am from egypt you said that there are a delay in 2NL for some people
i lock the DS-260 in July 2017
will i have a delay in my 2NL?
June 17, 2018 at 18:37
I don’t think so.
June 17, 2018 at 22:02
I just open ds-260 to make sure that my information that I enter is right
Is this cause delay because I open the ds( not unlock) ?
June 18, 2018 at 03:36
Normally no delay.
June 17, 2018 at 10:39
Hi Brit,
My case No. is AF379** the status still shows at NVC, do i still have a chance of getting my 2NL?
Thanks
June 17, 2018 at 17:09
It will keep showing “AT NVC” until you get an appointment and it becomes “Ready”. So some patience.
June 17, 2018 at 18:40
Yes
June 17, 2018 at 11:36
Is that 22xx from egypt still in hazard zone
June 17, 2018 at 18:41
Wait and see.
June 17, 2018 at 12:32
Hello brit, i am 252×× winner from eu. Should i get viza???
June 17, 2018 at 18:43
DV2018?? Wait and see.
June 17, 2018 at 21:30
Hi Brit
Thank you very much for August VB Details,Very informative.
Regards