This post is intended to inform the DV2018 selectees with information about the lottery. It will be a long post, so take your time and read it well if you want to understand the lottery process a little better.
As expected, the DV2018 selectee numbers have been published in the latest visa bulletin. So – if you are interested, you can see how many people have been selected in each country. The selectee number includes derivatives (family) who are included on the principal selectees case. The global and regional quotas (the 50,000 Green Cards available) also includes derivatives – so a family of 5 takes 5 out of the 50,000.
In the visa bulletin we have several important pieces of information. First the number of entries – nearly 15 million entries (23 million people including family). That is the highest entry count I have seen, so if you were selected you have been very lucky. Then we have the selectee counts per country and the total for global selectees – 115,968. So – 115,968 people were selected from 23 million people – an average of 1 in 200.
Countries do not get individual quotas either in the draw, or as cases are approved. So – some countries have less selectees because there were a lower number of entries. The draw is random within each region – entries from some countries are not given preference over other countries. There is however a rule that states that no single country can take more than 7% of the global visa count. So that means no one country can receive more than (approximately) 3500 visas. That is a MAXIMUM number, not an allocation. Realistically, the only countries that have a likely chance of hitting that limit is Nepal and Egypt. Both those countries have high selectee counts AND a high approval rate. Other countries could have just as many selectees, but will not have such a high approval rate. It is for that reason that Nepal and Egypt will probably have a limit in place in the final VB of DV2017 – because at some point, KCC predict the 7% limit will be hit, so they stop inviting selectees to interview. I do not know where that number will end for DV2017 or DV2018 – so if anyone asks, they will get the “wait and see” answer.
Some countries have been “limited” in the draw already. So for example, Ghana has probably had far more than 1.5 million entries – probably over 2 million people including family members. However we can see they “only” received 3549 selectees (whereas they should have had around 10,000 selectees). Other countries show the same effect. These countries are Ghana, DR Congo, Ethiopia, Egypt, Nepal, Iran, Russia, Uzbekistan and Ukraine, and most likely Liberia and Cameroon. This shows that the draw process is limiting the number of cases or selectees that any one country can receive. The limit is around 4500 selectees, or about 3000 distinct cases. Countries limited in this way have all their selectees concentrated in lower case numbers. At some point the selection process hits the 4500selectee/3000 cases limit and stops selecting people from those countries. So – it will not be a surprise to find that, for example Ghana cases are all in the first 15,000/20000 case numbers. Once the country is stopped, the remaining cases for that country create “holes” which is a case number being skipped. I have explained this in several posts before – but this post explains the draw process and holes well. You will notice in that article that disqualified cases also create holes.
Where can I see the selectee numbers?
The visa bulletin that gives the per country selectee count can be seen here.
The regional selectee count is as follows (with DV2017 / DV2016 numbers for comparison).
AF – 49392 (38500 / 45034)
EU – 41706 (28500 / 27011)
AS – 15997 (13499 / 15002)
OC – 3863 (1450 / 1500)
SA – 4995 (1954 / 3000)
NA – 15
Total – 115,968
Why are there more selectees than visas available?
The government have determined to make around 50,000 Green Cards available through this program, and while they are not obliged to issue them all, they want to issue as many as possible. They know they have to select more people than they have spaces. This is because of the following:
- Some people won’t respond or pursue their opportunity.
- Some will submit their forms but not attend the interview.
- Some will attend the interview but be refused.
- Some will attend the interview and be placed on AP, but then not be able to get cleared before the end of the year.
So – KCC over select, having decided that is the best way to use all the available Green Cards. However, estimating how many “extra people” to select is difficult. Sometimes they get it right, sometimes they don’t. This year, I believe they have selected too many people – and that means some people will miss out).
Why are there more selectees this year?
Each year USCIS (represented by KCC) decide how many selectees to announce. We have seen wild fluctuations in how many people they invite. Recent years have been like this:
- DV2013 – 105k
- DV2014 – 140k
- DV2015 – 125k (First year of electronic application form DS260)
- DV2016 – 91k
- DV2017 – 83k (plus second draw I estimate around 10k)
- DV2018 – 116k
The “ideal” number of selectees seems to be about 100k. However, we seem to be on a 2 year swing pattern. Two years the over select, then two years they under select and so on. DV2018 is a return to over selection after two calm years. Over selected years are stressful, because some people have to wait the whole year wondering whether they will get interviewed or not. I understand that feeling – I was in DV2014 – the most over selected year I know of. So – there was a lot of nervousness for many people and I remember that feeling well.
Will DV2018 go current?
No. Not all regions at least, and possibly no regions.
When we see current for a region it means there are more than enough visas remaining for remaining cases. So – everyone in a region that is current, can get an interview (except if the country is numerically stopped in the VB (Visa Bulletin) as has been the case in some years).
DV2016 and DV2017 went current because they had a low number of selectees. DV2018 is clearly different, and more like DV2015. I am certain that some regions cannot go current. I haven’t had time to work on numbers and I prefer to not predict final numbers these days, but some regions are obviously over selected. OC for instance is massively over selected – with case numbers up to OC26XX. In DV2015 the highest OC case number to get interviewed was 1489. So – there is obviously many OC cases that won’t be getting a chance for an interview.
SA also looks over selected, even with the additional increase in quota.
Other regions are less easy to judge – partly because I don’t have the highest case numbers. Over the next few days I will use previous years data to try and confirm the highest case numbers selected – but at this point all I can say is that there must be some risk for AS, EU and AF regions highest case numbers. Now – I know I am going to be flooded by people asking “am I safe” – so let me say this. There is NO POINT in worrying or asking me if you are safe if your numbers are below these numbers.
AF45XXX (Egypt may have a cutoff)
EU37XXX (UPDATE after CEAC data available – this number seems to high to be safe. Later analysis shows the “risk zone” could start as early as 33XXX)
AS8XXX (Nepal could be considered safe below AS7000)
OC13XX
SA15XX
Those numbers are conservative numbers that I consider safe without much risk at all. It does not mean the cutoffs won’t be higher than those numbers, but if your number is above those numbers you might be at some risk. However, I don’t have a crystal ball and whilst I can calculate rough numbers based on historical information, I am not in a position to give accurate predictions. So – if you ask me for predictions, I will simply answer “wait and see”. If you ask me multiple times, you will find that I ignore you. So please – try and respect my time by reading the information I am providing here and accept that we have a long time (about 1 year) before we know how DV2018 will end.
As best as I can tell, through people reporting their case numbers to me and calculation based on this years selectee counts the maximum case numbers for selectees this year are in these ranges.
AF – Reported early 50,000 range, but I calculated the highest numbers should be at least 60,000.
EU – Reported early 40,000 range, but I calculated the highest numbers should be around 45000.
AS – Reported 13XXX – and that seems a bit low for the selectee numbers released.
OC – Reported 26XX – and that seems about right for the selectee numbers released.
SA – Reported 25XX, but I calculated the highest numbers should be around 3000.
Will there be a second draw in DV2018?
No – as we can now see, they have more than enough selectees for each region – so there is no point in having a second draw.
So how many Green Cards can be given out to each region?
The DV program has 55,000 visas allocated each year. However, the NACARA program is given up to 5,000 of those visas, so we actually can see a number of visas awarded between 50,000 and 55,000. In practice a busy year will see as many as 52,000 to 53,000. DV2017 won’t even see that many awarded since there are not enough selectees in that year.
The visas are allocated to each region proportionally, based on a complex formula which uses populations in each region. So – the regions can receive the following percentages. The percentage would apply to the final global number – so you can apply these percentages to 50,000, and in the end they may give slightly more in each region if the global total goes slightly above 50,000 (by using some of the visas allocated to NACARA).
AF – 43.15%
EU – 36.63%
OC – 1.58%
AS – 15.61%
SA – 3.01%
This year a new country was made eligible – Ecuador in SA region. That means SA have had a small increase in available quota. Comparing quotas to DV2015, AF has slightly higher in DV2018, EU and AS are slightly reduced and OC is unchanged.
Differences that could affect this year.
DV2017 Photos.
Every year the instructions say to use a photo less than 6 months old. However in previous years, disqualification on the grounds of an old photo was rare because it was hard to p[rove the photo was old. However, in DV2018 instruction there was a new instruction that said “Submitting the same photograph that was submitted with last year’s entry (DV-2017) will result in disqualification.” Of course some people choose to not read the instructions or do read them but ignore them. So – I know we have lots of selectees that have re-used DV2017 photos. Theoretically, those entries could have been disqualified before results were announced, but they weren’t. So – there could be a directive to the embassies to disqualify those case, OR they might leave that up to the discretion of the embassy/CO. At this point, we have no idea how that will be handled – the COs may disqualify cases for that reason, or they may just ignore that instruction. But if cases are disqualified for that reason that could mean higher case numbers get a chance.
The Trump “Administration”
Trump has already clumsily tried to interfere with immigration matters since his term began. The “travel bans” are currently suspended by the courts, but the government could appeal, they might win (I don’t think so, but possible) or they could try to implement some other sort of ban. We just don’t know. Trying to predict what Trump will do is like trying to predict what a donkey will do next. The “donkey” probably has no idea himself. However, he could have issued orders to immigration officials to be more stringent in background checks. That would slow processing, particularly on AP cases. So – this is a factor that could affect some regions (AF and AS).
Agents.
There has been a staggering increase in entries in recent years. DV2015 had 14 million entries and derivatives, and by DV2018 that number has risen to 24 million. I know agents have been more active in several countries and have been registering people in huge numbers. In some countries the agents are honest and provide a helpful service with no ill intention. Nepal is like that. BUT in more countries agents are ruining the lottery process. They register as many people as possible, often with little regard for accuracy in the eDV entry. They then blackmail winners by withholding the winning case number details unless the person agrees to pay a large additional fee or agrees to a sham marriage. Agents like that are scumbags. I advise everyone to steer clear of them. However, when agents are involved the chances of refusal are higher. In Ghana for instance around 80% of cases will be refused at interview. This is because agents gave bad information on the entry, then people try and produce fake documents and so on. So – Ghanaian agents swamp the lottery with over 2 million entries and then reduce the chances of approval through their involvement. So – since there are so many more entries this year, I am guessing that is agent involvement and I expect some countries to experience increased refusal rates.
Why do I often answer “read the instructions”?
I get a lot of questions from people on information they should know if they had read the official instructions on how to process the case. So – when I say “read the instructions” – it means read the link provided in the 1NL – which is also here.
Other points to note:
Much of what I write is speculation based on little information. The only way to be certain of the future is to wait until the future arrives!
Some terms I may use:
Derivative rate – how many people per case number. Varies by country and region, but world average is 1.6 – meaning each case accounts for the principal winner and 0.6 of a derivative.
Derivative growth rate – Winners get married and have children during the year. That increases the derivative rate, again varies by country and region, but this can mean a significant increase in applicants. More explanation about derivative rate and growth rate here.
Density – Because of the limited countries, some countries have an increasing number of “holes” in upper number ranges. For instance, in AF region, there will only be 250 actual cases per 1000 case numbers at the highest number ranges (50,000 and above). So – the cases are less “dense”. More explanation about density here.
Non response rate – People that never submit their DS260. More explanation about response rate here.
No shows – people that submit their DS260 but don’t show up for interview.
AP – Administrative Processing. A period of waiting after interview when additional checks are made or missing documents obtained.
OK – hope that helps! If you don’t understand something above – please go back and read everything again slowly. There is LOTS of information here to understand, so it takes some time to sink in.
October 27, 2017 at 01:48
I am from Nepal. Will have the chance to get visa if I my case number is bigger than 6000?
October 27, 2017 at 02:29
Did you read the article above?.
October 29, 2017 at 17:43
Dear sir,
Am on a Ghanaian passport, but currently in South Africa. I applied last year but have not been selected, can I apply this year too?
October 29, 2017 at 18:13
Yes
October 30, 2017 at 05:50
Hi,
Am from kenya got selected 2018AF48xxxxx submitted DS260 in the month of July when should I expect interview date.
October 30, 2017 at 12:59
Your number could be 48XX or 48XXX. So – because you wrote it incorrectly. I don’t know.
October 30, 2017 at 08:22
Hello. Please can someone help me on how to check my visa application status? I am an AF winner of dv 2018.
I summited my application form on 03 june 2017 and i was given a confirmation number.
Now i try to check my status and if i put my case number which is 2018AF28xxx they tell me invalid case number.
When i put the confirmation number wchich is AA006XXXXX STARTING it with MTL they tell me YOUR SEARCH HAS NO DATA.
PLS i need help on how to check tge status of my visa application .
October 30, 2017 at 12:56
CEAC has no data for 2018 cases yet, so you cannot check.
However, your case number is not current yet – so you are waiting. THat’s all. You don’t need to check the status. Read this https://britsimonsays.com/dv2018-basic-questions/
October 31, 2017 at 19:32
Ok Brit. Thank you.
October 31, 2017 at 17:25
Hi..
I’m from Indonesia, I submitted my DS 260 in May but I haven’t recieve any email or NL2. My Case number 2018AS37xx , So please help me can you predict for me about interview. Thank you
October 31, 2017 at 18:45
Your case number is not ready yet (meaning – not current). I don’t have a prediction of when it will be current.
October 31, 2017 at 18:18
Hello everyone
I am kbaa winner dv2018
Dear Britsimon
I have summited my DS260 the 01/10/2017 and my case number is 2018AF000102XX.
When should i expect my 2NL and the interview???!
October 31, 2017 at 18:42
I don’t know. Wait and see.
October 31, 2017 at 22:51
Mr. Simon …
First of all, thanks for such an important contribution to the community, I am from Venezuela region of South-America, I was selected under case 2108SA23XX. From what I observe in your article, my chances of being called are very low, I would just like to ask you two questions:
If you had to compare the behavior of the DV2018 with what previous year would you buy it ???
What do you think my interview opportunity would be according to your theory of disqualification ???
October 31, 2017 at 23:04
https://britsimonsays.com/vb-progress-explained-again/comment-page-1/#comment-90643
December 11, 2017 at 08:46
Hello I am also from Venezuela and mine is 2018SA000019XX does that mean I also have a low chance?
December 11, 2017 at 14:56
Yes, you have some risk because your number is quite high.
October 31, 2017 at 23:19
Marcos. Tenemos una comunidad en facebook para la gente de suramerica se llama lotería greencard venezuela. Ahí nos estamos ayudando entre todos.
November 1, 2017 at 22:29
Hi!
What do you think about Trump’s Twitter comment about DV lottery? (after New York’s event)
November 2, 2017 at 00:22
https://britsimonsays.com/idiotic-comments-trump-dv-lottery/
November 2, 2017 at 17:57
hi, I am selectee for dv2018, but my number is a low EU31xxx, so I would like try to play again this year for dv2019, but a bit scared that it can create a problem to get an interview. Are you sure it is safe?
November 2, 2017 at 19:36
Yes
November 3, 2017 at 18:15
Hi.
Got selected 2018AF48XXX when should I expect interview
November 3, 2017 at 18:17
Late in the processing year – late summer 2018
November 3, 2017 at 18:52
hi am Roland from Cameroon i was selected for the 2018 dv lottery program i submitted my DS260 in june and my case number is 12xxx when can i have my interviews.
November 3, 2017 at 20:20
Wait and see.
November 4, 2017 at 08:04
hi prit with case number is the highest in af region
November 4, 2017 at 14:03
Read above.
November 5, 2017 at 17:37
Hı i am from turkey my case number EU30××× and ı am wondering about if I will be inviter to interview or not?
November 5, 2017 at 17:46
Yes you will.
November 10, 2017 at 14:40
Thanks ?
November 7, 2017 at 15:43
Hi Brit, I know you have answered to many people that it’s safe to register for DV2019, even when they have been selected for DV2018. How do you now? On official page it says something like we can enter even when applying for a visa in another category. I didn’t find anything about applying when already selected for DV. Thanks.
November 7, 2017 at 16:06
I know because I understand the rules. Feel free to ignore my advice.
November 7, 2017 at 16:20
Hi …
My CN AS37xx….did you think my number is safe or not, or I have to apply dv2019..thx
November 7, 2017 at 16:54
Read the article above.
November 10, 2017 at 08:03
Hi,
Am from Pakistan got selected 2018AS000114xx submitted DS260 in the month of July when should I expect interview date.
November 10, 2017 at 14:26
If you get an interview, it will be in the last months of the year (August/September 2018)
November 10, 2017 at 15:31
My CN 2018AS000114xx….did you think my number is safe or not, or I have to apply dv2019 Thanks
November 10, 2017 at 17:01
I cannot say your number is “safe”. You can enter DV2019 with no problem.
November 10, 2017 at 17:08
Hello Simon,
When I see questions like “When will I get the 2NL” , “Is it my number safe”, ” When will I get interview ” etc etc, bring me to ask you the following questions:
1. Will “every selected candidate” get interview?
2. If not , why?
3. Do you have any article explaining those above questions so that you can refer it to me and others?
I am asking those , cause I know that every selectee want to go to the next stage(interview) and I am pretty sure that your response to the above questions will help many of us and will perhaps reduce the number of people who always ask those same questions over and over.
Thank you for your time and consideration
November 10, 2017 at 17:26
I don’t understand how you can need to ask these questions if you have actually read the article above. Please read it!
November 10, 2017 at 18:02
Brit, I am following this thread and I get tired of receiving all these questions that their answers are just in the article above. I truly admire your patience!
November 10, 2017 at 23:03
It’s amazing isn’t it…
November 10, 2017 at 20:04
oh Alik like seriously i love Brit like anything cos i sometimes wonder how people get to ask all those questions when they are even treated properly on the same page they are asking on. i will certainly try all i can to see Brit when i land in USA. lol
November 10, 2017 at 23:00
LOL!
November 13, 2017 at 02:17
Hi, my name is sharika and i am from Fiji island, my case number is OC24XX I have summited DS-260 in July 2017 and till now I didn’t receive any information. Can you please let me know when is the expected time for my interview?
November 13, 2017 at 02:35
Please read the article above. Unfortunately, your number is very unlikely to ever become current. I do not think you will get an interview. I suggest you enter DV2019.
November 13, 2017 at 07:29
hey simon, my name is kibrom, i am from ethiopia, my case number is 2018AF87xx, i have submitted the D260 form before 1 month, but i didn’t recieve any information on my email adress, so when they are going to call me for an interview?
November 13, 2017 at 15:23
I don’t know. Patience.
November 13, 2017 at 07:57
Hello I am from ethoipai and I submitted my ds 260 yet i haven’t receive any email , my case no is 2018AF25XXX so please tell me, .when should I expect interview date.
Thanks.
November 13, 2017 at 15:22
You will wait several more months.
November 13, 2017 at 08:10
Hi Brit,
When will Visa bulletin for this month against January interview be out?? Its already 13th today. Thanks for your patient and wish you joyous week ahead.
November 13, 2017 at 15:21
Patience….
November 14, 2017 at 06:30
Hi..I’m from Uzbekistan and I submitted my ds-260 on May 15, 2017..my case number is 2018EU00016xxx..when can I expect my date of interview? Thanks.
November 15, 2017 at 17:06
Wait and see
November 16, 2017 at 14:59
Hello Brit. Please i am kind of confused here. my case number is 2018AF282xx. Will be involed in January interview?
Please i need you to help and clearify me.
Thanks
November 16, 2017 at 15:21
https://britsimonsays.com/read-visa-bulletin/
November 16, 2017 at 15:26
HI simon….your article very helpful..tank you so much
I hope my case number AS37xx will current on next month and meet the interview, right ?
Thanks Simon for your support. God Bless you
November 16, 2017 at 17:30
“wait and see”
November 16, 2017 at 16:09
Thank you Brit. I have understood it better now.
Thanks again.
November 17, 2017 at 06:20
Hello sir I am the dv winner of 2018 I have submitted document for my second letter but I am only 17 yrs I will reach 18 yrs in Jan 15 so there is any restriction of age or not plz tell me ??
November 17, 2017 at 21:44
No restriction as long as you meet the requirements
November 19, 2017 at 15:27
Ok thank u sir for your help
November 19, 2017 at 21:21
Hello sir, please I would like to know if its too late to submit my DS260 form now, I just found out that I’ve been selected with Case Number: 2018AF0002XXXX. And if I can still apply then how safe is my number. Thanks
November 20, 2017 at 01:03
It’s not too late. Number is fine.
November 20, 2017 at 07:05
Thank you sir
November 20, 2017 at 18:42
Hello
My Case Number is 35 9xx, and i thinks that is too high. Are you sure that im safe ?
Thanks
November 20, 2017 at 20:44
Read above.
November 21, 2017 at 14:58
I read it all, but this post is from 11 June, and now with new visa bulletin for Europe, for January is 8200, and do you still sure about the same safe number ( below EU37 xxx)
sry and thanks for understanding
November 21, 2017 at 15:25
That is still my view.
November 21, 2017 at 19:09
Hi there. what will be the latest date/month for DV18? I’m sitting tight but I just want to know when to start worrying about my case 2018AF00043xxx? by winter? or spring?
November 21, 2017 at 20:27
The last interviews for DV2018 will take place in September 2018 – and those are scheduled in July 2018.
November 22, 2017 at 02:44
I really appreciate your response.
November 24, 2017 at 14:23
Helo Britsiomon, my case number is 2018AF00011xxx, and When will an answer com? please tell me
November 24, 2017 at 14:32
Probably in a month or two. Patience.
November 25, 2017 at 17:54
Hi simon
My case number is 2018AS4XXX CAN you predict it for me when can I get interview
Please me brother I am excited please predict it for me
You are a legend
November 26, 2017 at 14:45
No predictions – patience.
November 26, 2017 at 17:39
Then why u predict it to others
November 26, 2017 at 19:46
Hello, my case number EU370XX … I m from Turkey. According to your view ,if we will be invited,we will be last people who have interview on september. Do we have chance earlier months for interview? What may be earliest month for 370XX? Do you have any idea about it? And we submitted DS260 early on 10 May. Does it have effect early interview? Thanks for your responding…
November 27, 2017 at 23:01
Yes you will wait until late in the process.
November 28, 2017 at 18:35
Does early submit provide early interview us? We submitted Ds260 on 10 may.
November 28, 2017 at 19:09
No – the interview date requires your DS260 to be processed *AND* your case number to be current.
November 27, 2017 at 16:13
Hi,
Am from iraq got selected 2018AS 0000XXXX submitted DS260 in the month of May when should I expect interview date.
November 27, 2017 at 19:05
I have no idea.
November 27, 2017 at 19:20
My case naumber safe or not
Please answer me
November 27, 2017 at 23:11
Look at the number you gave me. NOTHING I can do with that. Now – READ the article above!!!
November 27, 2017 at 20:38
Hi Simon
I have 1 more question.
My case number is AS8xxx and I already submit DS-260 since May 2017 but I just notice that my passport will be expired in May-2019(extend period) so have any problem if I get 2NL? Or do I need unlock my DS260 as my new passport will get next month?(I have do new passport and will receive next month )
Pls advice
November 27, 2017 at 23:09
Once you have the passport, unlock and correct the DS260
November 28, 2017 at 07:53
My case number is AS48XX is safe or not can pediatrician for me please when I will go to the interview
November 28, 2017 at 14:46
READ THE ARTICLE ABOVE!!!!
November 28, 2017 at 18:41
Please answer me mr simon
It’s very important for me
November 28, 2017 at 19:00
IF it really is very important then you should read the article. Don’t ask me again – the article answers your question.
November 28, 2017 at 23:18
You mentioned on another forum that OC won’t go current, is that your best prediction??.. or do you think that prediction can change and go current?? or OC region will raise the selectee number higher??
November 28, 2017 at 23:20
There is no way OC can go current.
December 5, 2017 at 17:59
HELLO BRIT,
I have been selected with the case number AF00021XXX from ghana. i have not submitted my DS260 FORMS. is it too late?
Also upon reading your article, most of the examples cited Ghana. will there be any consequence to us?
December 5, 2017 at 18:02
No it is not too late. As long as you followed instructions, were truthful and present genuine documents, you should be fine.
December 7, 2017 at 18:18
Hi am Melvi Brit am a winner of dv lottery 2018 my case number is AF00038xxx I read somewhere that AP might slow the process in obtaining dv Lottery visas in AF and AS what is the meaning of AP ?
December 7, 2017 at 18:40
You asked this already and I already answered.
https://britsimonsays.com/2nls-january-interviews-sent/comment-page-2/#comment-94849
December 9, 2017 at 10:11
Hi, I would like to know if your initial predictions if “safe” numbers have changed since seeing the progression of Visa Bulletin this year being so different?
Thanks!
December 9, 2017 at 14:38
No
December 11, 2017 at 16:24
hi Brit,
i made a mistake on my 1:name, 2 year of birth, 3 place of birthday. when doing the first entering, but i made a correction when filling the ds260 form, is that going to affect me on the day for my interview.
I wrote kcc about that, and they have message me.
December 11, 2017 at 17:10
The CO might assume that someone who is that “bad” at completing a form is either deliberately changing data to conceal multiple entries or simply cannot follow simple instructions. So yes, there is a chance of denial because of these errors.
December 11, 2017 at 18:26
Hi,
Am from iraq got selected my case number is 2018AS48XX submitted DS260 in the month of May when should I expect interview date.
I appreciate for help me
With best regards
December 11, 2017 at 18:47
It depends on when your case number becomes current. I don’t have a prediction for that.
December 12, 2017 at 13:48
I think I had made some mistakes while filling DS260…does it affect somehow to get 2nd letter and in the interview?
December 12, 2017 at 14:55
You will still get an interview – but you should correct the mistakes prior to the 2NL.
December 12, 2017 at 15:00
do we have to send further documents like transcripts, photos to the KCC along with DS260?
December 12, 2017 at 16:50
No
December 14, 2017 at 16:11
Hello Brit,
I apologise in advance for asking similar questions. But when we analyse the trend of Asian region especially Nepal for past few months, the numbers are in decreasing order. If it continues to be in the same order..then the final numbers are going to be very low.
Do you agree with it or still believe in your initial prediction?
December 14, 2017 at 17:04
The VB progression is EXACTLY tracking to my initial predictions for final numbers. I said Nepal was “safe” below 7000. I expect the cutoff to be similar to last year. If Nepal continues to increase by 600 each month, and we have 7 months remaining, there is no problem to reach my predicted range in those 7 months at the current pace.
December 15, 2017 at 16:11
Hi I am from Egypt and my case number is 2018AF000123XX are my chances low ? And when should I expect it ?
December 15, 2017 at 20:40
You need to show some patience.
https://britsimonsays.com/visa-bulletin-february-2018-interviews-released/
December 16, 2017 at 21:33
HI BRIT, MY OCCUPATION IN MY PASSPORT IS BUSINESS BUT I AM NOT MAKING ANY BUSINESS RIGHT NOW, I AM WORKING PRESENTLY, IS THAT ANY PROBLEM
December 16, 2017 at 23:40
No
December 19, 2017 at 05:38
Hi I am from Mongolia and my case number is 2018AS98** are my chances low ? And when should I expect it ?
December 19, 2017 at 06:26
Wait and see.
December 19, 2017 at 17:22
Hi,
Am from Algeria got selected 2018AF00046XXX submitted DS260 in the 27 jun 2017 when should I expect interview date.
December 19, 2017 at 17:24
Toward the end of the fiscal year.
December 20, 2017 at 12:36
I that February 2018 dv interview schedule is realised
My case number af9343 from Ethiopia
December 20, 2017 at 14:27
dear am Ethiopian and have selected for dv lottery,2018.my case number is AFXXX19XXX.when i should expect for interview please?
December 20, 2017 at 15:16
Wait and see.
December 21, 2017 at 08:17
Hi I am also AF19××× from Ethiopia.If it goes with the same pattern…I expect April or May.by the way 0920644848 is my number we can talk about interview experiences in Ethiopia
Thanks
December 21, 2017 at 09:15
Hey eskindir i got ur phone number my cn AF18*** i will inform u what i got.
December 20, 2017 at 15:19
Do you have a question?
December 20, 2017 at 19:48
Hi Simon
Can I get possible common questions that would be asking through interview period…or any article or blog that could be provide a little bit just a clues..
Thank you in advance….
December 20, 2017 at 19:57
Read the FAQ.
December 31, 2017 at 09:54
Hi
I’m from Morrocco and me and my family are 4. My case number is 2018AF00052x××.
Can you tell me about my chance and in which month I’ll get my 2nl
thanks
December 31, 2017 at 16:07
If you read the article above you would know my answer.
January 1, 2018 at 16:58
Hi Simon,
HAPPY NEW YEAR! 🙂
Question 1:
I have a question regarding the above.
If EU had 28500 / 27011 selectees in the previous two years and only some of those selectees have been invited to interviews, why do you think that people below case number 37xxx may not need to worry?
Statistically less than 28K will be invited to interviews as previously they were the sum of selectees.
Question 2:
Checked my status and it says I am with NVC and need to do steps 1-6 … which is contradictory against what the latest status said. I belive we dont need to do anything if we have a “completed” DS-260 status with case number 311xx.
January 1, 2018 at 19:28
1. Don’t confuse case numbers with selectees. There are many gaps (“holes) between case numbers.
2. Read this: https://britsimonsays.com/dv2018-ceac-data-help-needed/